The reports of the zombie democrats (walking-dead) are greatly exaggerated. Over the month of April I have noticed a marked poll number and approval improvement for democrats across many races;the presidents polls and that Of democratic senators and would be senators have improved so much so that even uncle-Ras (Rasmussen) is forced to admit it. This below is a summing of the poll trends in Ohio and Missouri plus the polling numbers for the president and the democratic Congressional numbers
Ohio US-senate race between the party-of-no
Portman and the Democrat Fisher
all of the poll numbers can be found at www.pollster.com
you will see two graphs here below, first is a graph of poll-of-polls and the second is only the Rasmussen polls (over many months) focus on the trend and on the numbers.
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here is the Rasmussen trend for the same race:
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notice how the Ras-poll is not showing any democratic trend until the poll he released today showing the democrat, Lee Fisher leading the Republican Portman by a single point 1%, while in the poll of polls we see a trend toward the democrat over a long period.
I will tray to show that the decline in democratic numbers started in Juli-August of 2009(the rise of the tea-baggers) and stopped falling in November of 2009, and that sense Mars of 2010 those numbers have been rising (thanks in part to the passing of HIR).
Here below is a similar graphs for Ohio Governor race between the Democrat Strickland and the Republican Kasich
first is a poll-of-polls graph(again from pollster)
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Notice that here too we have the decline of Strickland numbers coinciding with the tea-bagger shock-attack of (the town hall madness) of August 2009. Notice also the recovery of his numbers
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you can see a clear trend, pre-August Strickland was hemorrhaging voters because of the poor economy but the tea-bagger chock exasperated the situation.
here below is the Rasmussen trend.
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We see a sudden closing only in the last two polls.
There seem to be a returning to the norm of pre-town-hall-ambush of democrats leading republicans in polls.
When it comes to Obama's improving poll numbers Rasmussen says:
Obama’s Approval Index rating was up four points in April to -11. This improvement comes after the passage of the health care reform bill at the end of March. This is the best monthly performance rating for the president since October 2009
uncle
There are democrats like Robin Carnahan who are in the process of recovering from the August-ambush, but we have to wait for fresh polls from MO to confirm that, still here too you can see the August slide.
This race is between Blunt and Carnahan
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Carnahan(D) is keeping Blunt(R) below 50% but she needs our help.
Here below is the party numbers notice the impact of the Tea-bagger tactics on the republican party as their party numbers rise from Mars of 2009 and onward (what happen in feb-mars....there was the stimulus debate, which the democrats fucked up)
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but notice what happens to the trend if we remove the Ras-polls, we see that the August-ambush, had the greatest impact on our numbers, than anything else. We were bum rushed and had no counter attack plan(I blame this on Max Baucus and his dithering), but fortunately that was in August of 2009 and not, say August of 2010.
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notice also the recovery. ONE question: have we learned from our mistakes.
Conclusion: The Democrats were caught with their pants down in the August recess of 2009, because of the dithering of Max Baucus and the democrats belief that no thinking person would fall for lies such as "death panels" well, just like crowds the electorate as a whole is an unthinking beast easily scared and you must refute every idiocy even the painfully obvious ones.