Skip to main content

We saw some shift in the polls in the last couple of weeks. A shift from gloom and doom for Democrats in November to some light of hope. Americans, after all, not that ideological. They are result driven. As long as the idea works, they will stand behind it. With a stream of better economic news, the public opinion started to turn the corner, slowely but surely. After all, like President llikes to repeat: a good policy is always good politics.

Enter a new poll, just released by Ap-Gfk:
In a significant reversal, the Americans are now favoring the Democratic Congress, with a 45-40 margin. This is a huge swing from the last month poll which gave GOP an edge of 44-41. It is 8 point swing in one month.

Americans want Democrats to control Congress after this fall's elections, a shift from April, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Saturday. But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only about a third want their own lawmakers re-elected.

The tenuous 45 percent to 40 percent preference for a Democratic Congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44 percent for Republicans and 41 percent for Democrats. The new readout came as the economy continued showing signs of improvement and the tumultuous battle over the health care law that President Barack Obama finally signed in March faded into the background.

"To the extent that Democrats can focus on job creation rather than health care, they tend to do better," said Jack Pitney, a political scientist at California's Claremont McKenna College.

A party of "Hell No" is losing ground.

Compared with the last AP-GfK poll in April, the survey showed Republicans losing some support among married women, a key component of many GOP victories. Democrats picked up ground among young and rural voters.

"I'm a new Democrat," said Harley Smithson, 51, of Baltimore, who said he had recently switched from the GOP. "I want to be with a party that's for something instead of against everything."

Originally posted to karpaty lviv on Sat May 15, 2010 at 08:51 AM PDT.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

JD SoOR, grytpype, Sharoney, JekyllnHyde, Superskepticalman, Ed in Montana, Angie in WA State, buffalo soldier, ljb, Sylv, KeithH, Terri, TXdem, PLS, fcvaguy, catdevotee, Ben P, alyosha, slinkerwink, laurak, askew, Trendar, Better Days, artr2, saraswati, madmsf, newjeffct, sacrelicious, bosdcla14, Emerson, Wintermute, billlaurelMD, ChicDemago, kpardue, Aspe4, TX Unmuzzled, dkistner, Sandy on Signal, HarlemUSA, SallyCat, MarkInSanFran, exNYinTX, Gram E, Creosote, beav, HariSeldon, JLFinch, jeepdad, concernedamerican, Justina, bronte17, Davidsfr, jn2375, 88kathy, wonkydonkey, Cassandra77, understandinglife, sja, whenwego, srkp23, Glic, gayntom, otto, barath, LickBush, pollbuster, bincbom, dchill, itskevin, PeteZerria, MadEye, Vinasai, bustacap, mosolino, TheCrank, Cedwyn, lirtydies, Alna Dem, wader, Quege, Texknight, Braindead, tomephil, mayan, jackmac, psnyder, danthrax, Winnie, lungfish, ranger995, brainwave, grannyhelen, Noodles, Not2Me, jaywillie, BMarshall, GN1927, joan reports, defluxion10, houyhnhnm, liberte, raster44, puffin6092, rlharry, sancerre2001, RebeccaG, Pirate Smile, Anna Luc, LR Frederick, bwintx, Mark Warner is God, JayBat, econlibVA, skywalker, smartgo, WisVoter, KayCeSF, tomjones, CanYouBeAngryAndStillDream, poemworld, lyvwyr101, bablhous, rickeagle, sebastianguy99, Armand451, environmentalist, Gowrie Gal, skippythebox, davidkc, Julie Gulden, bloomer 101, Bluesee, Tarindel, radarlady, jrooth, Ckntfld, v2aggie2, baccaruda, alaprst, rweba, mjd in florida, zeuspapa, ccasas, ajsuited, Brooke In Seattle, YucatanMan, Dobber, kldave, reflectionsv37, goldrick, Viceroy, Ianb007, Pam from Calif, Frank Palmer, washingtonsmith, aaraujo, Overseas, lotlizard, jane123, sunbro, Isara, SBandini, Savvy813, serrano, Silence is Complicity, kerplunk, churchlady, jj24, xaxnar, begone, Abacab, reddbierd, third Party please, danmac, New Deal democrat, tarheelblue, Patriot Daily News Clearinghouse, sherlyle, edwardssl, emeraldmaiden, Themistoclea, Dvalkure, koNko, martyc35, kestrel9000, Esjaydee, lokiloki, Wary, fou, Hobbitfoot, MJ via Chicago, global citizen, Libby Shaw, CF Perez, plf515, el cid, MarciaJ720, doinaheckuvanutjob, AllDemsOnBoard, Roatti, Madam Deb, means are the ends, frankzappatista, blueoregon, ohiojack, Blicero, Eikyu Saha, bstotts, Granny Doc, Temmoku, Aaa T Tudeattack, DBunn, bear83, lightfoot, Mithridates, goheelsgodems, asilomar, Loudoun County Dem, byDesign, dmh44, tgypsy, Cottagerose, Kathie McCrimmon, SemDem, mamabigdog, WeBetterWinThisTime, suburi, CenterLeft, Stwriley, jeanette0605, noofsh, Jimdotz, deepeco, Tenn Wisc Dem, Strabo, Seneca Doane, GMFORD, Templar, ubertar, second gen, millwood, Moderation, Jack the R, jhop7, owl06, RudiB, Wreck Smurfy, JML9999, keikekaze, Jahiz, sable, wblynch, vet, Casey in TN, Empower Ink, chicago minx, GANJA, Dem in the heart of Texas, revm3up, mconvente, Louisiana Fiddle Gal, ShadowSD, DraftChickenHawks, ScottyUrb, OleHippieChick, last starfighter, Senor Unoball, NewDealer, elwior, skohayes, billvb, ajr111240, wonderful world, monkeybrainpolitics, alliedoc, willipr, pamelabrown, hwmnbn, smartdemmg, Jake Williams, pademocrat, pickandshovel, Jeff Y, Ladyhawk, Dean Barker, mofembot, Seamus D, petulans, Hawkjt, o the umanity, luckylizard, Blogvirgin, A Man Called Gloom, ekyprogressive, Ellinorianne, Danise94, dmhlt 66, immigradvocate, vmdairy, oldliberal, maggiejean, Bule Betawi, pileta, MTmarilyn, rsmpdx, bushondrugs, DeepLooker, aufklaerer, greengemini, LeftOfYou, DFutureIsNow, velvet blasphemy, BlueInRedCincy, CamillesDad1, DefendOurConstitution, Daily Activist, sillycilla, prgsvmama26, followyourbliss, manucpa, worldly1, elziax, zizi, MKSinSA, scotths, uno beagle, DClark4129, lastman, jazzence, Corneliusmingus, hyper, Ibis Exilis, Kiku, sfarkash, rubthorn, mdmslle, 57andFemale, Muzikal203, Knarfc, secretidentityx, PoliticalJunkessa, ArthurPoet, Tortmaster, Bene Gesserit1, mahakali overdrive, Livvy5, Adept2u, French Imp, SweetMartha, lompe, CalGal47, smileycreek, BrighidG, rb137, marabout40, pyegar, veracityus, brunoboy, amk for obama, jethrock, Draxinum, fidellio, TheWesternSun, stunzeed, Radical def, 2questions, BonnieSchlitz, noclue, elginblt, ItsSimpleSimon, ThisIsMyTime, Cure7802, DrFitz, DiegoUK, sharonsz, Betty Pinson, BlueFranco, ericlewis0, joelal, quityurkidding, science nerd, dwayne, stevenaxelrod, cany, cherylm, farrelad, ssldenver, JanG, Onomastic, Wilsonv, gobears2000, bmat, I love OCD, Valerie8435, Quackerz, platypus216, VoteBlue, La Gitane, poorbuster, BlueJessamine, the national gadfly, Eclectablog, Mistral Wind, soothsayer99, lynncosbm, deeproots, princesspat, AsianAfricanAmerican, Billdbq, Haf2Read, zukesgirl64, grannysally, dghosty, theone718, BarackStarObama, floridablue, Darnell From LA, LSmith, durrati, alienufo, whaddaya, MinistryOfTruth, blue aardvark, blackwaterdog, SteelerGrrl, aymandaman, Regina in a Sears Kit House, AgentOfProgress, azguyrn, YaNevaNo, lightshine, Nena20409, LiLaF, weatherdude, Caractacus, HamptonRoadsProgressive, John Yossarian, KiB, FireBird1, Gay CA Democrat, Hookah, We Won, delmardougster, Mebby, Eric Nelson, Susan G in MN, AnnieR, AreDeutz, draa, SocialRazor, crystalforpgcouncil

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site