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We saw some shift in the polls in the last couple of weeks. A shift from gloom and doom for Democrats in November to some light of hope. Americans, after all, not that ideological. They are result driven. As long as the idea works, they will stand behind it. With a stream of better economic news, the public opinion started to turn the corner, slowely but surely. After all, like President llikes to repeat: a good policy is always good politics.

Enter a new poll, just released by Ap-Gfk:
In a significant reversal, the Americans are now favoring the Democratic Congress, with a 45-40 margin. This is a huge swing from the last month poll which gave GOP an edge of 44-41. It is 8 point swing in one month.

http://www.google.com/...

Americans want Democrats to control Congress after this fall's elections, a shift from April, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Saturday. But the margin is thin and there's a flashing yellow light for incumbents of both parties: Only about a third want their own lawmakers re-elected.

The tenuous 45 percent to 40 percent preference for a Democratic Congress reverses the finding a month ago on the same question: 44 percent for Republicans and 41 percent for Democrats. The new readout came as the economy continued showing signs of improvement and the tumultuous battle over the health care law that President Barack Obama finally signed in March faded into the background.

"To the extent that Democrats can focus on job creation rather than health care, they tend to do better," said Jack Pitney, a political scientist at California's Claremont McKenna College.

A party of "Hell No" is losing ground.

Compared with the last AP-GfK poll in April, the survey showed Republicans losing some support among married women, a key component of many GOP victories. Democrats picked up ground among young and rural voters.

"I'm a new Democrat," said Harley Smithson, 51, of Baltimore, who said he had recently switched from the GOP. "I want to be with a party that's for something instead of against everything."

Originally posted to karpaty lviv on Sat May 15, 2010 at 08:51 AM PDT.

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