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While the returns from South Carolina are developing at a glacial pace, there is one unique result developing: there might not need to be a Democratic runoff, but there may need to be one on the Republican side.

Despite having twenty-plus point leads in polling, Nikki Haley currently leads right-wing Congressman Gresham Barrett by just thirteen points (42-29). Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, state senator Vincent Sheheen is lapping the field in early returns, winning with 56% of the vote. State Education Chief Jim Rex trails at 25%, with state Senator Robert Ford at 19%.

In other Palmetto State races: (1) AP has already declared Jim DeMint the winner on the GOP side, but an upset might be brewing on the Democratic side where presumptive frontrunner Victor Rawl is trailing Alvin Greene (59-41). (2) Returns are very early on the House level, but runoffs in the 1st and 3rd districts seem likely on the GOP side. Meanwhile, with only one precinct in, incumbent Republican Bob Inglis (SC-04) is getting blasted (66-17) by Trey Gowdy. Only a handful of votes have been tallied, though.

UPDATE (5:19 PM): Meanwhile, back in the Commonwealth of Virginia, the two other key races for November have also been called by AP. Scott Rigell has won the GOP nomination in VA-02, while Keith Fimian will get another crack at Democrat Gerry Connolly in VA-11.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:17 PM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  I wonder how Haley would fare (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Phil S 33, Munchkn

    in a runoff?

    "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

    by TLS66 on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:19:37 PM PDT

  •  Does Rex get to keep the Working Families Line? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Or does SC have a Sore Loser law, and would it apply?

    Not that it will matter soon after CA passes 14, Moderates only need apply, for Every elected office in the Country ;-(

  •  Poor SC Republicans (8+ / 0-)

    ... having to choose between an adulterer and a racist.  Why can't they have somebody who's both, so they don't have to make a choice?

  •  Keep an eye on SC GOP "advisory" #1 (4+ / 0-)

    Asks SC Republicans whether or not they want to make the HIR mandate illegal.

    Currently getting about 87% of the vote.

    Not legally binding, and if it were, the SCOTUS would vote it down 9-0.

    In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice; but in practice, there always is a difference. - Yogi Berra

    by blue aardvark on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:21:14 PM PDT

  •  Random question (0+ / 0-)

    What about the Republican primary in VA-09? Politics1 says Boucher has several GOP opponents, but I can't find results for the GOP primary there anywhere.

    The Republican Party is neither pro-republic nor pro-party. Discuss!

    by Nathaniel Ament Stone on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:21:29 PM PDT

  •  seriously? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Inkan1969, Munchkn

    I heard Green is a joke of a candidate.

    "Intolerance is something which belongs to the religions we have rejected." - J.J. Rousseau

    by James Allen on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:21:46 PM PDT

  •  The Tea Party... (9+ / 0-)


    "Anybody who desperately wants to believe lies will not even notice the truth standing next to them wearing a big red neon sign." - Keith Olbermann

    by Diogenes2008 on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:22:29 PM PDT

  •  Operaion Chaos if Greene wins... (4+ / 0-)

    Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

    by Jonze on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:22:29 PM PDT

  •  Election night! (9+ / 0-)

    It's like pr0n for political nerds!

    Go Halter.

    "Pray for the dead and fight like hell for the living."

    by Casual Wednesday on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:23:14 PM PDT

  •  Polls close in three minutes in Arkansas... (6+ / 0-)

    If you're in line you can vote.  Stay in line Halter voters! Or at least find a Lincoln voter to leave the line with...

    Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

    by Jonze on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 05:28:54 PM PDT

  •  Pleas let us be done with Inglis. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    What a dweeb.

  •  Finally people remember (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    that there are democrats running in SC.  Local stations have called it for Sheheen.  It's getting frustrating how all the attention is on Haley's dog-and-elephant show, so I'm glad the grownup in the race is finally getting some attention.

  •  Some updated numbers and a couple of comments (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    with 49% of the vote in, Gowdy is up 50-24 over Inglis.  Gowdy is a local upstate prosecutor who is well respected in conservative circles politically, and generally in performing his job.  This is really tea party revenge at work, and Gowdy is quite likely to win in November as his district is quite conservative.

    With 42% of the vote in statewide, Haley leads Barrett 46-25, with McMaster and Bauer trailing at 16 and 13% respectively.  These numbers are quite close to the last polls.

    Assuming these numbers hold, it will be a close finish in the runoff - Haley has overcome the rumors of infidelity (she basically told her accusers to put up some real evidence or shut up, and they seem to have chosen the latter).  She may be both the Sanford's choices (Jennie Sanford is a prominent endorser of Haley as well), but the endorsement that is making the most difference here is Sara Palin's.  For the Republicans here that is a big deal, and since the other tea party-ish candidate (Bauer) seems to be getting no traction, it likely will be Barrett representing the older Rep. establishment, and Haley the ultraright.

    One more comment: both the infidelity claims and the "raghead" comments may have given Haley somewhat of a sympathy vote - the attempts at smearing her were so blatantly over the top and not the usual South Carolian/Lee Atwater type of smear (like the phone calls before the GW Bush/McCain primary in 2000 that intimated that McCain had an illegitimate daughter just before the vote) and so the result was not what was intended...

    James L. Petigru, SC Unionist: "South Carolina is too small for a republic and too large for an insane asylum."

    by SC damn yankee on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 06:20:21 PM PDT

    •  Haley will be the GOP nominee (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      The runoff is all about turnout.  Haley can get it, Barrett can't.  Haley almost finished it tonight, (final numbers @ 49%)  so I'd be shocked if she doesn't win the runoff.  Haley wins the runoff 60-40.

      She'll probably be the next governor of South Carolina too, because the SCDP is incompetent.  How do you botch TWO Senate races IN A ROW???  

      Vincent Sheheen is a great candidate, as is Ashley Cooper, but the state party is a wreck.  

      The Dems have held the Education post primarily due to the Republicans nominating first religious right candidates, then anti-public school candidates.  Dr. Rex is a great guy, but he should have run for re-election, not governor.   Frank Holleman is a strong candidate, but the GOP isn't shooting itself in the foot this time.

      "I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat." - Will Rogers

      by wayward on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 08:11:05 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  A couple of comments from the coast (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I think Haley has been blessed in terms of the ass-holedness of her opponents.

    Every news story in the state is sure to point out that she has converted to Christianity no matter how irrelevent it is to the story itself.  I think is she had maintained her given first name and had a less homogonized last name it would be a bigger deal.  But no worries- she rejected her initial non-christian (shik) religion and her original name.  

    Also- Gresham Barret's son used to live a block from me, never mowed his damned yard and did little upkeep.  He moved a year or two back so now we are left with Joe Riley's son as sole lazy political heir in the neighborhood.

    I feel poorly for Rex- he was the only D to win statewide since 2002 and he is true Dem.  Shaheen just strikes me as too DLC friendly.  I would be thrilled if we pisked up Lt Gv, Comptroller and held Sec of Ed with the new candidate because that is about the best we could hope for.  

    •  What is interesting about Haley and her religion (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      is that when she first ran for state office she played up her heritage and how she exposed her children to the Sikh faith as well...  All that is gone now in her run for governor.

      BTW, with 79% of the vote in, she is up 48-22 over Barrett, and earlier flirted with 49-50%.  Most likely we will see the two of them in the runoff.

      As far as Shaheen, he is extremely well liked in the state house, and really has a better background/experience for the governor slot.  He is known for reaching across to the other side, and given the Sanford connection for Haley, he actually might get considerable support for the non-teabaggers in SC who always felt Sanford just wanted to one-up the legislature rather than work with them.

      It really has been amazing how many times Sanford has vetoed legislation only to be overrode by a Republican House and Senate...  (Of course it is important to point out that the legislature is much stronger relative to the governer than in most states here, so they are used to throwing their weight around).

      Good news in the race to replace Jim Rex at Education - Frank Holleman looks like a winner, and he is one of the most qualified people I have seen running in that race.  There will be a runoff in the Republican side between Citadel grad/retired brig. general/Newberry college president Mick Zais and a couple of women battling it out for second place.  All three seem to be pro-voucher as far as I can tell.

      James L. Petigru, SC Unionist: "South Carolina is too small for a republic and too large for an insane asylum."

      by SC damn yankee on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 07:04:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Superintendent of education and governor (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        The GOP runoff will be between Zais and Elizabeth Moffly.

        Zais does not support vouchers, although he supports tax credits for private tuition and scholarship.  Moffly has waffled on the issue.  She supports them now, but was less supportive of them in 2006, endorsing Jim Rex over Republican nominee Karen Floyd.  She was later part of Rex's transition team.

        Holleman is the strongest Democrat on the ticket in the Democrats' best race, but the GOP isn't shooting themselves in the foot this time, unlike years past.

        Sheheen will get Republican support from the anti-Sanford crowd, but Haley neutralizes a lot of Sheheen's advantages, in that she is young and telegenic, and in a state like SC, the Democrat needs every advantage he can get. Sheheen is a much better candidate than Tommy Moore, but Haley is better than Sanford and 2006 was a much better year for Democrats than 2010 is shaping up to be.

        If Dems have good turnout, like they did in 2008, Sheheen wins, otherwise, Haley wins.

        "I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat." - Will Rogers

        by wayward on Tue Jun 08, 2010 at 08:26:11 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  DeMinted (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    CAN WE PLEASE get rid of jim deMinted! Can't stand the fool and I am trying to be nice but he makes it real hard to be with reThugs!
    BTW....our precenct had almot 2/3 voting dem and that was the PRIMARIES!
    MOST reThugs were white almost 30-1. The Dems were more like around closer to 50/50 whites/black. Makes me proud!
    •  Ugh- good ole DeMint (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      I never thought I'd see a Senator to the right of Strom Thurmond.  But I was wrong.  Strangely I went to Clemson with his son & never put one and one together.  He was a nice guy but definitely prettier than he was smart (didn't look a thing like his dad.)  

      The only good thing about Demint is he is sure to make an ass of himself in the next two years and be helpful for the Dems in that respect.  And yes- I am grasping at straws.  

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