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A humble request to pollsters and campaigns across America:

For the love of God, I am trying to pack for Netroots Nation. Would you folks please stop releasing data and making news for just ten damned minutes so that I can finish that unpleasant task?

With love--

Speaking of Netroots Nation, if you are in town and want to hear your humble curator of the Wrap, the top-flight crew over at Swing State Project, and some of the top talent here at DK chew the fat about the 2010 elections, I'd suggest you come to NN and attend our panel, which will be blasting off at 4:30 PM on Friday.

Meanwhile, it is another cornucopia of campaign trail goodies on the Tuesday edition of the Wrap. Indeed, we have eighteen morsels to digest, and that's before we even get to the Ras-a-poll-ooza.

With that in mind, pull up a knife and a fork, and let's get after it....


AR-Sen: Multiple pollsters speak to Lincoln's dire straits
Yesterday, local media outlet Talk Business published a poll showing her down a whopping 25 points. Democratic Senator Blanche Lincoln rolled out a poll to refudiate* that sour patch of data, showing her down by "only" nine points (45-36). Unfortunately for Senator Lincoln, two different pollsters landed in the general range of the Talk Business poll today. Republican pollsters Magellan Strategies came out this morning with a poll that showed Lincoln getting doubled-up by Republican nominee John Boozman (60-29). Magellan is a GOP pollster, of course, but any hopes that said poll would be easily dismissed as right-wing wishful thinking by a right-wing pollster were dashed this afternoon. That was when the independent pollsters at Ipsos followed suit (PDF file), showing Boozman also thumping Lincoln, albeit by a slightly more muted nineteen-point margin (54-35). Clearly, the concern of many folks that the general election would be over the second Lincoln won the Democratic runoff appear to be justified.

(*)--That refudiate was for the (several) commenters aghast at my failure to use the word during last night's Wrap.

FL-Sen: Crist has clear lead over Rubio, according to PPP
PPP is out with new data in the Sunshine State, and their numbers show that Independent Charlie Crist has soldified his position at the front of the three-man field. If the Democratic nominee is Congressman Kendrick Meek, Crist leads the field with 35%, with 29% for GOP nominee Marco Rubio (Meek is further back at 17%. If billionaire Jeff Greene buys the Democratic nomination, it looks even better for Crist: Crist 38, Rubio 29, Greene 13. Helping Crist is the fact that many Democrats have essentially anointed him as their de facto Democratic nominee, as he polls better with Democrats than either Independents or Republicans.

KS-Sen: Primaries have clear leaders, but races still fluid
Both the Republican and Democratic primaries for the U.S. Senate are in the same position, as we are now two weeks out from Primary Day. Both races are spread out enough to declare a leader, but close enough that the outcome could easily change between now and the primary on August 3rd. A new poll from SurveyUSA tracks earlier polls in that they have Congressman Jerry Moran leading the GOP side, and Lisa Johnston out in front for the Democrats. Moran leads fellow House member Todd Tiahrt by a slightly smaller margin (50-36) than in previous polls. Meanwhile, Johnston holds the same modest margin she held in the previous SUSA poll: Johnston has 23%, with Charles Schollenberger at 14% and David Haley at 12%.

NV-Sen: PPP confirms trend--Harry Reid into the lead
PPP becomes the latest pollster to confirm what has been suspected for a while: Harry Reid has surged into the lead over Republican Sharron Angle. Reid has a two-point lead (48-46) over Angle, according to the poll released today by the NC-based pollster. Huge changes from earlier in the year among both Independents and moderates have helped to propel Reid's surge.

SC-Sen: AP factchecks Greene's maiden campaign voyage
A sign that you have reached a unique level of campaign relevance: when the AP chooses to do a fact check on a seven minute address you give to a local chapter of the NAACP. But such was the level of interest in the first campaign appearance of accidental Democratic nominee Alvin Greene. did the Greene-ster do? Not so very well, evidently. While he scored well on some of his broader thematic elements, he got into the weeds a little bit on the specific details.

WI-Sen: Republican pollster gives Feingold narrow advantage
Magellan Strategies, the GOP's pollster whose sheer volume of output could easily get them dubbed "The New Ras", is out with a new poll (PDF file) in the Badger State. The Magellan poll shows Democratic incumbent Russ Feingold leading, albeit only slightly, against likely GOP rival Ron Johnson. Feingold owns a two-point edge over Johnson (45-43), which has tracked with some other pollsters in the state. The poll did not test Feingold against the other GOP candidate in the field, businessman Dave Westlake.


GA-04/GA-12: Incumbents easily turning back primary challenges
While votes are still being tabulated, it looks like both Democratic incumbents faced with serious primary challenges are emerging unscathed tonight. Conservative Democratic incumbent John Barrow is having little trouble with Round 2 of his battle with primary challenger Regina Thomas. Barrow currently holds roughly a 2-to-1 lead over Thomas, with about two-thirds of precincts checking in. It looks like Barrow's general election challenger won't be known for a little while longer: at present, the GOP primary looks likely to result in a runoff. Meanwhile, in Atlanta, 4th district incumbent Hank Johnson is above the runoff threshold, although his share of the vote against Vernon Jones and Connie Stokes has hardly been a major-league show of strength (55%).

NJ-03: GOP crying foul over third-party challenger
It is rare that an internal poll becomes a major point of contention in a campaign, but that is exactly what's happening in New Jersey's 3rd district. A while back, incumbent Democrat John Adler released an internal poll showing him up double digits on GOP nominee Jon Runyan, with a 3rd party teabagging candidate lapping up a sizeable percentage of the vote. This drew the ire of Republicans, who noted that local teabagger groups had never heard of the teabagger candidate in question. This led to the predictable charge that the Independent candidate in question, Peter Destefano, was planted by the Adler campaign to siphon votes from Runyan. Destefano denies the charge, and the Adler campaign blew off the accusation, as well.

NY-01/NY-20: Pair of vulnerable Dems get crucial third party line
Good news out of the Empire State for a pair of Democratic incumbents who are looking over their shoulders a bit as they head into November. Both Long Island Democrat Tim Bishop and upstate freshman Democrat Scott Murphy snagged the ballot lines for the Independence party. Fusing the Democratic Party line with one of those third party lines (another big one for Democrats is the Working Families Party) has proven critical for candidates in close elections of the past.

NY-23: Hoffman claims mammoth lead in new internal poll
It is rare that a Republican showing a primary lead so big as to render said primary uncompetitive would be welcome news for the Democrats. However, when it is former third-party Goliath and occasional trainwreck Doug Hoffman this is lapping the field, that might be good news for the blue team, after all. Hoffman has new internal data out, courtesy of McLaughlin, showing him with a thirty-two point primary lead over state legislator Matt Doheny (52-20). Of course, thanks to those multiple party lines, both men are already ensured of competing in November: Hoffman snared the Conservative Party line, while Doheny has the line of the aforementioned Independence Party. No general election results were released.

TN-09: New public poll has Cohen easily winning renomination
If a new public poll conducted for a local television station in Memphis is to be believed, former Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton is about to join disgraced former Democratic candidate Nikki Tinker on the ash heap on Tennessee electoral history. The poll, conducted for WMC-TV has incumbent Democratic Rep. Steve Cohen with a forty-point edge (65-15) over Herenton in their forthcoming primary. Cohen, who is white, has had to endure an ugly campaign by Herenton, who went so far as to suggest it was only right and proper for a majority-black district to be represented only by a black representative.


AL-Gov: Bradley Byrne, Meet Artur Davis?
Man, if there is a cliche that seems to be a perfect match for Alabama politics, it is the old stand-by "with friends like this, who needs enemies?" Bradley Byrne has offered an endorsement of the man who defeated him in last week's GOP gubernatorial runoff: state legislator Robert Bentley. But in so doing, Byrne also took a parting shot at Bentley. He said that while he supports him, Bentley still needs to answer for his ties to the Alabama Education Association, the powerful teachers lobby that has been locked in a war with Byrne throughout the election cycle. It wasn't quite as disgusting as what Artur Davis dropped on Ron Sparks' head, but one has to imagine that Bentley did not exactly welcome the backhanded compliments of his former rival.

AR-Gov: Ipsos poll finds very different result in Beebe-Keet race
Yesterday, I reported (with modest skepticism) that the same Talk Business poll which had Blanche Lincoln getting boat-raced by John Boozman also had Mike Beebe up only narrowly (49-40) over little-known GOP contender Jim Keet. Today's Ipsos poll seems to counter that poll (PDF file). Ipsos has the popular Democratic incumbent with a sizeable twenty-two point lead (57-35) over Keet. According to Ipsos, Beebe is rolling along with 67% job approval, including majority support from Republicans.

FL-Gov: PPP teases major polling shift in gubernatorial race
Rarely does the Wrap gets sucked in by polling "teasers", but this one is liable to have me hitting "refresh" a few times in the morning over at the PPP website. The pollster is revealing that the newly fractious gubernatorial primary on the GOP side between Attorney General Bill McCollum and health care gazillionaire Rick Scott has changed the calculus of the race--to the benefit of Democratic frontrunner Alex Sink. The main reason why--the supporters for each of the GOP candidates simply cannot stand the other guy, meaning it will be a mighty arduous task to reconcile the party after the August primaries.

GA-Gov: Barnes wins Democratic primary, GOP headed to runoff
Voters went to the polls today in the Peach State and the returns seem to indicate that pre-election polling in the race was spot-on. Former Democratic Governor Roy Barnes appears poised to claim the Democratic nomination outright, avoiding a runoff as he has hovered all night between 60-65% of the vote. Meanwhile, it looks like a Handel-Deal showdown on the GOP side, as they have cleared the field by several points with more than two-thirds of the precincts in. Handel leads with 32%, with Deal a clear second place at 25%. John Oxendine, once thought to be a lock for at least the runoff, has seen the bottom drop out of his campaign, as pollsters projected yesterday. Oxendine has slipped all the way to fourth at just 17% of the vote, beaten even by longshot former state legislator Eric Johnson (at 19%).

KS-Gov: Brownback has dominant lead in GOP primary
If the new data from SurveyUSA is to be believed, Sam Brownback's primary challenger for the GOP nod for Governor barely qualifies as a speed bump for the veteran of Washington DC. Brownback holds a 73-19 lead over little-known challenger Joan Heffington, according to the SUSA poll. Brownback will be favored in the Fall, as he challenges Democrat Tom Holland.

MI-Gov: Plenty of undecideds leave outcome of Dem primary unclear
It is still a two-man race for the Democratic nomination for Michigan Governor, as a nine-point lead for one candidate is still clouded by the fact that close to half of the Democratic electorate is on the fence. That is the finding of the latest Detroit News Poll in the state, which gives House Speaker Andy Dillon a 34-25 edge over Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero. Many critical voting blocs are still up for grabs, especially African American voters (48% of whom are undecided). The primary election will occur in two weeks.


Day two of the apparent Ras-sie pushback continues, as every morsel of polling data released today shows Republicans beating the spread in a wide variety of races.

CT-Sen: Richard Blumenthal (D) 53%, Linda McMahon (R) 40%
CT-Sen: Richard Blumenthal (D) 52%, Rob Simmons (R) 38%
CT-Sen: Richard Blumenthal (D) 52%, Peter Schiff (R) 34%
ID-Sen: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) 64%, Tom Sullivan (D) 27%
NE-Gov: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) 71%, Mike Meister (D) 18%
OH-Sen: Rob Portman (R) 45%, Lee Fisher (D) 39%

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 07:46 PM PDT.


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Comment Preferences

  •  Campaign news for you Steve (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Steve Singiser, elwior, beltane

    Democracy for America trained candidate Jim Nichols won his primary for Georgia State Senate District 17 tonight!

    State Senator, District 17
    97% of precincts reporting
      Total Precincts: 53
      Election Day Voting: 49 / 53   (92%)
      Early Voting (In Person): 53 / 53   (100%)
      Early Voting (By Mail): 53 / 53   (100%)

      Republican Candidates Votes   % of Votes  
      Rick Jeffares   7,834   43.8%  
      Todd Hilton   5,617   31.4%  
      Ester Fleming, Jr   4,422   24.7%  
      Totals 17,873  
      County Results

      Democratic Candidates Votes   % of Votes  
      Jim Nichols   4,018   62.7%  
      Nicholas P. Day   2,391   37.3%  
      Totals 6,409  
      County Results

    Congratulations Jim! Kick-ass! On to November! - Time to reboot the New York State Senate

    by Andrew C White on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 07:54:14 PM PDT

  •  What made Lincoln so unpopular in AR? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I understand that the far left hated her over healthcare vote, but I don't understand how the rest of AR seems to have turned against her with a vengeance. Is it that AR is finally, like the rest of its southern brethren, starting to elect Republicans below the presidential level? Is AR finally reddening like the rest of the south?

  •  Crist needs Meek to stay in though the election.. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Crist being painted as the defacto Dem will hurt his pull with Republicans as the fall campaign season begins.  He benefits from Meek being in and running as the Democrat.  

    Heineman takes Nelson's seat in two years?

    Fisher has been a terrible candidate.  

    Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

    by Jonze on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 07:57:32 PM PDT

    •  well as an Ohioan I sure as heck hope (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Fisher gets cracking. Portman is far worse than Voinovich ever was, IMO.

      •  He has an 8-to-1 cash advantage. (0+ / 0-)

        And Fisher was sold as so much better than Brunner because he was a good fundraiser.  

        Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

        by Jonze on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:12:50 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Jennifer's fundraising (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          elwior, Jonze

          was artificially depressed, even if no one wanted to believe it. Now the same people who were bullied, intimidated and threatened — who KNOW it happened, even if it was publicly denied — are keeping their checkbooks closed. Outreach and apologies would have been helpful but haven't occurred. An appearance last week at a fundraiser for the candidate most of Jennifer's supporters are now working for would have been helpful too, especially since it was a few blocks from his home and his wife managed to show up. Lots of frustration here.

          De-orangify Congress: Justin Coussoule for Oh-08

          by anastasia p on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:46:11 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Well, a mere six-point lead (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        in a Rasmussen poll means Portman is still behind — for now. But you are right. Portman is pretty much the only one campaigning in Ohio. He just scarfed up the Fraternal Order of Police endorsement today — along with most of the statewide Democratic ticket, except for the auditor candidate who they're upset with for not giving raises to their people as county commissioner in his undoubtedly cash-strapped county (They didn't endorse in that race).

        De-orangify Congress: Justin Coussoule for Oh-08

        by anastasia p on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:43:03 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Georgia (0+ / 0-)

    I can't understand how The Big Dog's anointed candidate fared so poorly? I have never liked him, but thought he was very popular in the south (among Democrats)?

  •  Useless Dem Barrow (GA-12) wins primary (0+ / 0-)

    ..against woefully underfunded Regina Thomas, again. (Same thing happened two years ago, though she did get more of the vote this time.) Barrow had to spend a good chunk of cash so far (700k) but doesn't face a strong Republican challenge.

    With any luck though the Democrats lose this seat in November.

    Here we are now Entertain us I feel stupid and contagious

    by Scarce on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:03:46 PM PDT

  •  TX Gov Race (7+ / 0-)
    Gotta love this one on Bill White's Facebook page today....

     Bill White

    Rick Perry announced six days ago his plan to cut the
    drop out rate--Texans 18 years and under should not get drivers licenses without certifying school attendance or enrollment in home
    school, private school or GED courses. Apparently Perry didn't know--or doesn't care--that this has been Texas law since 1989, and he ha...s been responsible for enforcing it since 2001.

    I'm a Kennedy Catholic.

    by EquiStar on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:04:49 PM PDT

    •  Another good one... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Steve Singiser, elwior, COkdub

      Bill White:

      In Houston we took down thousands of billboards, improving neighborhoods. This hard-fought action had overwhelming public support. Now Perry brags that the billboard lobby is behind him. Please help us put the public interest first.

      Who can take Perry seriously?!!  He's just a figure head for corporation run government.

      I'm a Kennedy Catholic.

      by EquiStar on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:06:19 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Rick Perry is jackass (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      EquiStar, elwior, Corneliusmingus

      Bill White is just the kind of Democrat who wins in Texas.

      Here we are now Entertain us I feel stupid and contagious

      by Scarce on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:06:41 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Right?! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        It's beyond jackassdome.  It's his disgusting level of entitlement that irks me.  All the while literally screwing Texans.  (Many of whom simply say "Please sire, may I have another?)

        I'm a Kennedy Catholic.

        by EquiStar on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:08:24 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Give some love to the anti-Barton BP Apologizer (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          EquiStar, elwior

          Yes, Mr. President, David Waldman says: Filibuster Reform Now

          by divineorder on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:32:52 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Thats nothing new... (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          Rick Perry jumps on whatever bandwagon he thinks can assure him a couple more votes.  He's pretty much sarah palin with athletic support.  In this case I find the third party green candidate extremely amusing and runs pretty much parallel to Tea Bagger economic policies.  Both of which (White and Glass) are taking shots at Perry every chance they get and with Perry not willing to debate, they are having fun doing so.

          Liberals, fighting the conservative way since 1776...

          by Final Frame on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 04:54:42 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Well, that's because (0+ / 0-)

            the Green Party candidate is funded by a huge Republican backer.

            I REALLY hope that bites them in the sweet patootie in the end.

            I'm a Kennedy Catholic.

            by EquiStar on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 06:39:28 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Had to look on facebook... (0+ / 0-)

              Since Katy Glass does not have an official website as of yet, to find out where she stands on issues (other then the debate she had with White which proved NOTHING).  She states that she is a combination of extremes from both left and right but the only left side stance I saw was on gay marriage and how its no ones right to know what goes on behind closed doors.

              Other then that it was almost all Republican talking points (even though she runs under the libertarian flag).  Though I thought Libertarians wanted an open border, not troops on the ground like Rick Perry does.  Though I'd like her to expand on how she wants to only teach the "basics" in public schools and do that without property taxes (or taxes of any kind).

              She really doesn't sound like a Libertarian.  So from this point on I'm gonna say we start calling her the 2nd Republican.

              Liberals, fighting the conservative way since 1776...

              by Final Frame on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 07:18:03 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

  •  GA-Gov is Palin v Gingrich now (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    yella dawg, elwior

    Palin's nod helped Handel surge to the top of the polls in recent days, while Deal had an endorsement from Gingrich.

    "Go well through life"-Me (As far as I know)

    by MTmofo on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:11:29 PM PDT

  •  FL-Sen Pollster Chart (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Here we are now Entertain us I feel stupid and contagious

    by Scarce on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:12:30 PM PDT

    •  It seemed Meek (0+ / 0-)

      bottomed out and Rubio reached his height. Now ones going up and the other two are going down.

      Support Progressive Candidates!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:40:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Meek looks DOA to me (0+ / 0-)

        I'm hearing Greene's attack ads against him on tv and I don't hear a thing on major media from Meek responding.

        Heck, if Greene wasn't attacking him people wouldn't even know he was running.

        I would not place a bet on the Meek/Greene primary.

        "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." -- George Bernard Shaw

        by Inspector Javert on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 08:26:32 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Steve I packed last night (0+ / 0-)

    And all of my booth materials have either arrived or are scheduled to arrive tomorrow. This past week has been uber hectic.

    Stop by booth #906.

    And fliers share a ride.

    Teh stoopidTM, it hurts. Buy smart, union-printed, USA-made, signs, stickers, swag for everyone:

    by DemSign on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:13:18 PM PDT

  •  I got my money on Tom Holland (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    he's got the best campaign manager.

  •  I do hereby coin "Fact or Fox?" (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Or, a slight alternative,

    "Fact or Foxn?"

    GOP: Creating the multitude of problems we face, then paralyzing the Senate.

    by bejammin075 on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:15:53 PM PDT

  •  Bernero! (0+ / 0-)

    The Michigan governor's race has me excited.

    Bernero has been building a lot of momentum recently and he is gaining on Dillon.

    And I think that he has some populist/outsider street cred. in Michigan.

    I think that he can win this.

    by DingellDem on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:16:07 PM PDT

    •  I'd like to see Snyder vs Bernero... (0+ / 0-)

      I don't know who I don't want worse - Hoekstra or Cox.  I know that I don't want either so much that I'd take a guaranteed Snyder win for Gov rather than risking Gov. Hoekstra or Gov. Cox by pitting either of them against Bernero or Dillon.

      Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

      by Jonze on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:21:37 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Come on. Shoot for the moon. (0+ / 0-)

        You know you want Virg Bernero.

        If Hoekstra wins, Bernero can run as an outsider against the Washington insider.

        And half the Republican Party hates Mike Cox anyway.

        Bernero can beat those guys.

        by DingellDem on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:35:48 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I think Dillon could beat Cox... (0+ / 0-)

          Because he's pretty centrist.  I think Virg would scare a lot of Republicans into holding their nose and voting Cox.

          Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

          by Jonze on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:39:49 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  We have had too many calculating Dems. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:

            I'm not sure I can vote for Dillon.  I'm a teacher an MEA member and he's a turncoat.

            I will probably not vote for governor in the general if Dillon is the nominee.  I toyed with the idea of voting for the Republican instead to make sure the party knows it can't nominate guys like him.

            But that would be disloyal.  So, I will probably just vote in the down-ballot races and leave governor blank.

            I'd say there is a ten percent chance I'd change my mind if Dillon changes his policies in the general election.  There's not much chance of that.

            So, I'm all in with Bernero.


            by DingellDem on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 08:55:22 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  We better ease off on using "fefudiate" (0+ / 0-)

    We don't want to accidentally turn it into a real word and give Palin a win.

    •  Disagree. Refudiate is actually much better and (0+ / 0-)

      more efficient than a lot of words that have made their way into the lexicon.

      Besides -- wouldn't you rather giver her a calling as the doyen of interesting words than political noisemaker?

      Everybody's got a gift...

      Free speech? Yeah, I've heard of that. Have you?

      by dinotrac on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 04:05:57 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The Big Dog in Arkansas (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    That was when the independent pollsters at Ipsos followed suit (PDF file), showing Boozman also thumping Lincoln, albeit by a slightly more muted nineteen-point margin (54-35).

    Wouldn't it be interesting if Bill Clinton stumped Arkansas with Blanche Lincoln on a three week bus tour of Arkansas leading up to Election Day. I'm thinking media circus. It can be all about the horrors of enabling even worse obstructionism by the Republicans by electing Boozman. I'm talking about a series of barnstorming Clinton speeches berating the politics of retreat. It could be epic.

    "If you are going to tell people the truth, be funny or they will kill you." Billy Wilder 1906 - 2002

    by LeftOfYou on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 09:02:22 PM PDT

  •  Blanche seems like a Republican anyway (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    no loss to the Dems, she was a traitor and derailed legislation at the last minute, when it will terrible effective to scuttle progressive ideas.  

    80 % of success is just showing up

    by Churchill on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 09:06:48 PM PDT

    •  She's a creep, but I'd still prefer her. (0+ / 0-)

      She probably supports the Dems 70-80 percent of the time, a repub will oppose them 100 percent of the time.

      "Philosophy is useless; theology is worse"--Dire Straits

      by Bush Bites on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 04:27:19 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  she opposes on stuff that really matter (0+ / 0-)

        I don't care about her one bit.  These yellow dog Democrats are just traitors, like that idiot Lieberman, and screw things up at the last minute with their drama bullshit, will she or won't she, come on, she's an idiot, plus she's inside the tent and knows the soft spots within the Democratic party.  Then she leaks that to the Republicans.

        80 % of success is just showing up

        by Churchill on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 06:50:21 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  i.e. (0+ / 0-)

          she opposes the stuff where her vote is needed, and goes along with things that are passing anyways. Just like many on the other side of the chamber do.

          "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it." -- George Bernard Shaw

          by Inspector Javert on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 08:27:30 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Any AZ-5 polling (0+ / 0-)

    external or internal?  I'm interested to see if Schweikert wins the Repub. primary or if the Rove protege does.

    I consider myself refudiated.

    by AZphilosopher on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 10:12:44 PM PDT

  •  Magellan's WI poll: sewage methodology (0+ / 0-)

    They used past voter files, categorically excluding anyone too young to vote in '08. Wisconsin always leads the nation in turnout of 18 and 18 year olds, and Russ always wins big with these new voters. Feingold by 120,000 votes.

    "Clark, we need Superman's help in the Gulf." "Right on it Mr. President, soon as I can find a phone booth."

    by ben masel on Tue Jul 20, 2010 at 10:39:44 PM PDT

  •  Netroots Nation (0+ / 0-)

    Will "Fair and Balanced" Fox News be giving gavel to gavel coverage of NN the way they did CPAC?

    Oh, silly of me to ask.....

    Reality is just a convenient measure of complexity. -- Alvy Ray Smith

    by John Q on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 01:47:19 AM PDT

  •  Instead of admitting we were right, watch (0+ / 0-)

    Bloatway D leadership blame us for Lincoln's situation and painfully obvious result.


    What we call god is merely a living creature with superior technology & understanding. If their fragile egos demand prayer, they lose that superiority.

    by agnostic on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 01:51:49 AM PDT

  •  Seems things are looking a little less grim (0+ / 0-)

    esp. in FL-Sen and NV-Sen.

    Some of the House races look good too.

    We all differ in ways that matter. But we're all the same in the ways that matter most.

    by plf515 on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 03:28:36 AM PDT

  •  Hey! I like refudiate. It's actually descriptive (0+ / 0-)

    and economical -- combining refute and repudiate into one.

    Sounds like a keeper to me.


    if we could get people to stop saying "Incentivize" and "Administrate"....

    Free speech? Yeah, I've heard of that. Have you?

    by dinotrac on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 03:52:39 AM PDT

  •  No Illinois governor polls? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Given the human fondness for train wrecks, a double train wreck election like the one we've got going should be riveting.

    Or am I talking about the Senate?

    Crap -- Only in Illinois: double double train wrecks.


    Free speech? Yeah, I've heard of that. Have you?

    by dinotrac on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 03:57:32 AM PDT

  •  Alvin Greene and Sarah Palin (0+ / 0-)

    AP fact checks Alvin Greene.  Something AP never did to Sarah Palin.  And find correct overall themes and a few botched details.

    Well Alvin, one out of two's not so bad.  Sarah botches both and still is considered a serious candidate --- for President.

    So it's not what you know, it's who you know, Alvin.  And you need to get a million of your closest friends out to vote against Jim DeMint.

    What does it say about American politics that Alvin Greene's policy positions are better than Jim DeMint's, his grasp of facts is better than Sarah Palin's, his ability to communicate clearly is better than George W. Bush's, his legal problems involve behavior less egregious than John Ensign's--and he's considered not to be qualified for the US Senate.

    Interestingly enough, the facts about South Carolina education he got incorrect on technicalities are statements most South Carolinians would agree with.  Folks there have been saying, "Thank God for Mississippi" for 60 years.  And while his statement about expenditures for prisons and schools is not exactly correct, the fundamental assertion is; South Carolina spends more per inmate on prisons than it pays per student for schools.  And gets less beneficial results.

    50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

    by TarheelDem on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 04:11:43 AM PDT

  •  Didn't Sink have a name recog. problem? (0+ / 0-)

    Maybe she's finally overcoming that.

    "Philosophy is useless; theology is worse"--Dire Straits

    by Bush Bites on Wed Jul 21, 2010 at 04:25:36 AM PDT

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