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After a July that was fairly quiet on the electoral front (only three states went to the polls: Georgia, Oklahoma, and the Alabama runoffs), the ballot boxes will be filled once again the coming days. Four states in all will head to the polls this week, with plenty of races to keep horserace junkies intrigued in each state.

What follows is the clip and save preview of the races popping off on Tuesday (and, in Tennesee's curious case, Thursday) of this week.

KANSAS

KS-Gov: Most of the intrigue in Kansas' primary elections comes courtesy of veteran U.S. Senator (and onetime presidential aspirant) Sam Brownback. It was Brownback, after all, who got the ball rolling in at least four different races with his 2009 decision to leave the Senate and seek the governorship being given up by Democrat Mark Parkinson, who had already signalled that he would not seek a full term in his own right.

Brownback does face a primary on the GOP side, but it is not expected to be competitive. A recent SurveyUSA poll in the state gave Brownback a 50+ point lead over realtor Joan Heffington. State senator Tom Holland has already secured the Democratic nomination, but is considered an underdog in November.

KS-Sen: Brownback's Senate retirement created the first open seat for the Senate in 14 years, and that led to two defections from the House on the Republican side. Going head-to-head are two Republicans elected to the House in the mid-1990s. Western Kansas Rep. Jerry Moran has generally been considered the more moderate of the two, but he has parlayed enough right-wing support to earn a modest lead over Wichita-area Congressman Todd Tiahrt. On the Democratic side, there are a quintet of second-tier challengers. Evidently, the combination of Moran and Tiahrt being early entrants into the fray, coupled with a sense that the climate wasn't going to be optimal, seemed to sway leading Democrats away from the race. Polls have shown college professor Lisa Johnston narrowly leading the field.

KS-01: With Moran leaving the House seat he has occupied since 1996, a raft of Republicans took the leap into the race, a certain GOP hold in one of the reddest districts in America. A trio of frontrunners have emerged, with businessman/birther Tracey Mann and state Senators Jim Barnett and Tim Huelskamp all tied in a recent SurveyUSA poll. Democrats have coalesced around former Salina Mayor Alan Jilka, but Jilka is bound to struggle in this district that gave Barack Obama just 30 percent of the vote.

KS-02: Freshman Republican Lynn Jenkins, who knocked off conservative hero Jim Ryun during his 2008 comeback attempt, did get primaried in her first re-election bid. But state legislator Dennis Pyle has never quite caught fire, and Jenkins is considered a pretty solid favorite. Democrats, meanwhile, are likely to nominate Sean Tevis, who ran a very impressive 2008 state legislative bid and was a late entrant into this race.

KS-03: With Democrat Dennis Moore handing off the torch from this swing district (Obama 51-48 in 2010), his wife Stephene hopes to take the baton. She is all but assured of the Democratic nomination on Tuesday. Her likely Republican rival is almost certainly going to be state legislator Kevin Yoder, although with nine candidates in the field, an upset is always a possibility. The general election is expected to be very close, with the seat on the target lists for both parties.

KS-04: A SurveyUSA poll taken just during the past few days identifies the favorites for both parties in this battle to replace Todd Tiahrt. The district is reddish (58-40 McCain in 2008), but Democrats are high on their well-funded challenger: state legislator Raj Goyle. SUSA polling in June showed Goyle actually trailing unknown retiree Robert Tillman, but a quick pre-primary advertising blitz handled that effectively. Goyle now has a 40+ point lead. Meanwhile, Republicans have a more muddled field, which has become a three-way race at the last. For the longest time, it was a battle of the businessmen, as manufacturing exec Mike Pompeo and Florida transplant Wink Hartman paced the field. But moderate state senator Jean Schodorf has surged at the wire, and could figure in the conversation on Tuesday. This week's SUSA poll had Pompeo at 31 percent with Schodorf (24 percent) and Hartman (21 percent) within striking distance.

MICHIGAN

MI-Gov: Perhaps the marquee race of Tuesday night is the pair of primaries which will decide the major party nominees to replace outgoing Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm. The Democratic primary is a heads-up duel between two very different candidates, ideologically. State House Speaker Andy Dillon has carved out a reputation as a moderate, post-partisan lawmaker, while Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero is running a much more fiery and ideologically populist campaign. Dillon had the early lead, but a pair of recent polls (including the most recent poll from the respected local numbers guys at EPIC-MRA) confirm that Bernero has pulled into a lead. It is worth noting, however, that roughly a third of the electorate is undecided, which is amazing this late in the game. Meanwhile, even more flummoxing is the race on the GOP side, where three or four contenders have a legitimate shot at the nomination. Businessman Rick Snyder is targeting moderates and even Democrats in this open primary state. That has propelled him into a tiny lead, according to the last EPIC-MRA poll here. Attorney General Mike Cox and right-wing Congressman Peter Hoekstra are a point or two behind. Trailing well behind, but perhaps a dark horse in the field, is Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard. Bouchard has quite the triumvirate of endorsers, as Ted Nugent, Joe Arpaio, and Joe the Plumber are in his corner.

MI-01: Bart Stupak's late exit from this district, based in the state's Upper Peninsula, clearly has shaken up the field here. Surgeon Don Benishek has been in the race the longest (he was in the field when Stupak was still running), but state Senator Jason Allen raised a ton of cash almost immediately upon entering the race. A third possibility is the lightly funded Don Hooper. Hooper has nowhere near the campaign structure of the other two men, but might surprise on the grounds that he has been the ballot in the 1st district numerous times as a sacrificial lamb against Stupak. Democratic state legislator Gary McDowell had the field cleared for him, and is conserving resources (he is, thus far, outgunned financially by either Benishek or Allen).

MI-02: Almost all of the firepower here in this open district in Western Michigan is on the GOP side, as the race is to replace right-wing Rep. Peter Hoekstra. Jay Riemersma, a former NFL tight end, is the most recognizable name in the field, and has raised a lot of cash. Two state legislators, Bill Huizenga and Wayne Kuipers, also figure in the race here, as does teabagger Bill Cooper. With seven Republicans in the field, don't be surprised if 30 percent gets the job done in this one. On the Democratic side, 2008 nominee Fred Thompson is going heads-up with county commissioner Nicolette McClure. The district has a distinct Republican lean (McCain carried this district 51-48 despite abandoning the state early), and the survivor of that seven-way primary will be the likely favorite in November.

MI-03: If you want a sleeper race in November, this race to replace retiring longtime Republican Rep. Vern Ehlers might be the one to keep an eye on. Democrats have an unusually strong candidate for this district in Pat Miles. Miles faces former county commissioner Paul Mayhue in the primary, but Mayhue had just $257 on hand at the last reporting period. On the GOP side, young GOP state legislator Justin Amash was early to get in, and is a favorite of the Club for Growth crowd. He is considered to be the betting favorite. Former county commissioner Steve Heacock and state legislator Bill Hardiman also figure to be in the running.

MI-07: Given the swing-y nature of the district (it was carried narrowly by both Obama and GW Bush), a bad climate could spell trouble for freshman Democrat Mark Schauer. However, Schauer's fortunes probably rest heavily on the Republican selected to challenge him. The more well-known of the co-favorites is former Congressman Tim Walberg, the man defeated by Schauer in 2008. Walberg is a right-winger from way back: :ess than two weeks ago, he made the face-palm inducing statement that the teabaggers were the first people-powered movement in American history. Walberg is getting a run for his money, however, from attorney Brian Rooney. Rooney is attempting to join his brother (Florida Rep. Tom Rooney) in the House. Rooney is hardly a moderate, but is considered one in the battle against Walberg. Schauer would probably prefer to see the guy he has already defeated, but the nature of the cycle could make either man into a formidable challenger.

MI-09: The other freshman member of the Michigan delegation, Democrat Gary Peters, is probably a bit safer in November than his colleague Mark Schauer. That said, there are a pair of Republicans who are bludgeoning each other in an effort to take Peters on. Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski is a former state legislator who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate in 2002. He is being challenged by former Hill aide and P.R. consultant Paul Welday, who has self-funded his campaign to some extent. The two have been landing haymakers on one another, which might ultimately work to Peters' benefit. My favorite candidate in the four-person GOP field, however, might be former judge Richard Kuhn, who first ran for Congress a mere 46 years ago.

MI-13: If an incumbent is going to go down this week, it will almost certainly be in the 13th district. Longtime incumbent Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick has been hounded by a number of things, not the least of which is the criminal travails of her son, former Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick. State Senator Hansen Clarke is running a legit opposition to Kilpatrick, and a couple of polls have shown him in excellent shape to pull of the upset. If there is one thing working in her favor, however, it is the presence of six Democrats on the ballot, which could dilute the anti-Kilpatrick vote.

MISSOURI

MO-Sen: Despite the presence of an eye-popping 12 Republicans on the primary ballot to replace retiring GOP Senator Kit Bond, all eyes will really be on just two of them this Tuesday. Longtime Congressman Roy Blunt, one of the leaders of the GOP caucus for most of the decade, is the undisputed frontrunner for the nomination, and has been raising money at an incredible clip (not surprising, considering his tight relationships with virtually all of the GOP D.C. power structure). He is getting an energetic (if underfunded) challenge from state senator Chuck Purgason. It is unrealistic to think that Purgason can pull off the upset: he has spent $32,000 to the more than $4.5 million that Blunt has thrown down. But Blunt's percentage of the vote in the primary could go a long way towards figuring out how much teabagger discontent Blunt will have to deal with down the line. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Robin Carnahan is expected to sail through the Democratic primary.

MO-04: Given the reddish tint of his district (McCain 61-38 in 2008), Republicans are finally gunning for longtime Democratic incumbent Ike Skelton. The 70-something Skelton has normally been immune from strong GOP challenges, but there are a host of well-funded Republicans testing the waters in 2010. The two frontrunners appear to be Religious Right activist and former state legislator Vicky Hartzler and state Senate GOP caucus chair Bill Stouffer. Both have raised almost half a million dollars in their bid to knock Skelton off. The good news for Skelton: the spending both candidates have had to commit to winning the primary means that the Democrat will have a better than 5-to-1 fundraising edge over whoever emerges from the GOP side of the ballot.

MO-07: This race is unlikely to mean anything in November (no Democrat has polled in the 40-percent range here in years), but there is a crowded GOP field to replace Roy Blunt in the House. Auctioneer Billy Long has spent the most cash, but he is expected to be challenged hard by state senators Gary Nodler and Jack Goodman. On the Democratic side, Scott Eckersley has thrown $100K of his own cash into the fray, and is probably a favorite over underfunded attorney Tim Davis.

TENNESSEE

TN-Gov: There is no race more genuinely indicative of how extreme the Republican Party has become in America than Thursday's Republican primary for governor in the Volunteer State. Frontrunner Bill Haslam, the wealthy owner of Pilot Travel Centers and the Mayor of Knoxville, has spent his way into a double-digit lead in most polls. Desperate to make up ground, his rivals have thrown deep in an attempt to corner some far-right support. Just in the past 10 days, GOP contenders for governor have played the secession card (Congressman Zach Wamp) and the Islamophobia card (Lt. Governor Ron Ramsey). Despite these political equivalents to the Hail Mary pass, the guess here is that Haslam holds on, especially since Tennessee is one of the few Southern states that does not have a runoff election. Democrat Mike McWherter, son of former Governor Ned McWherter, is unopposed on the Democratic side. Haslam would be a clear favorite over McWherter in November. The other two, on the other hand, could make it a race.

TN-03: The battle to replace Wamp will essentially be decided on Thursday. Democrats would have an uphill climb in any event in the 3rd district (carried by John McCain with more than 60 percent of the vote), but the two contenders here combined have raised less than any one of the half-dozen leading Republicans vying for the spot. The two leaders on the GOP side are former state GOP chairman Robin Smith and attorney Chuck Fleischmann.

TN-06: With Democrat Bart Gordon heading to the exits after nearly three decades in the House, this trending GOP district is a prime pick-up opportunity for the red team. And they are taking advantage, with no less than three candidates who have easily outraised the leading Dem contenders (attorney Brent Carter and veteran Ben Leming). The only thing working in the Dems' favor is the fact that all three GOP leaders (Diane Black, Lou Ann Zelenik, and Jim Tracy) have had to deplete their treasuries in the primary cycle (none have more than $256K on hand). Zelenik beat gubernatorial contender Ron Ramsey to the Islamophobe punch a month ago, but an internal poll for Diane Black suggested that it did not bolster her bid. That poll (with the requisite grain of salt) had Black well ahead of the field with 41 percent of the vote to 22 percent for Zelenik and 20 percent for Tracy.

TN-08: Maybe the best primary of the week could be this three-way trainwreck in Tennessee. In a seat that should be a prime pickup opportunity for the GOP (56-43 McCain), the Republican contenders instead are immolating themselves in an absolute blaze of glory. The fairly clear favorite candidate for the GOP establishment is farmer/gospel singer Stephen Fincher. Indeed, the NRCC has spent at least part of the week talking up their man in the race. The problem for Fincher is that he is getting hit on all sides from two other candidates. One is free-spending self-funder George Flinn, a Shelby County commissioner who actually lives in the heavily Democratic 9th district. In one of the greatest explanations for carpetbagging ever, he admitted that his candidacy in the 8th is wholly predicated on the fact that he couldn't get elected in his home district. He also has been exposed as a stimulus hypocrite, so it will be interesting to see if his $3 million investment in his own campaign will yield fruit. Physician Ron Kirkland is the third wheel in this contest, and has also raised seven figures for his bid. Expect fireworks in this one, and expect near-certain Democratic nominee Roy Herron (a state senator and one-time gubernatorial contender) to conserve his resources and prepare for his opponent.

TN-09: Perhaps the most repugnant campaign of 2010 is the longshot challenge by former Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton. It is hard to imagine a campaign in contemporary America reliant on more overt racial appeals than the one Herenton is wielding against second-term Democrat Steve Cohen, who is a white Congressman representing a largely African-American constituency. Herenton's ugly campaign does not seem to have helped him in the polls (a recent public poll had Cohen up 65-15), nor has it helped him with African American leaders: the Congressional Black Caucus decided to back Cohen earlier this week.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:00 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  I'm feeling psyched this election. (4+ / 0-)

    Lets kick us some rethug ass this november!

    •  LOL (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Neon Vincent

      yeah, all we have to do is tout the "accomplishments" of the last two years.

      •  Here are Dem accomplishments in MI. (5+ / 0-)
        1. The auto bailout saved GM and Chrysler.
        1. The Great Lakes Restoration Initiative granted $63 million for environmental projects in Michigan during its first year.  More is on the way.

        MI GLRI funding

        3)Michigan companies received $1.35 billion in Recovery Act money for advanced battery manufacturing.

        MI Green Battery Manufacturing

        4)Michigan received $20 million in federal grants to small green energy production companies.

        MI Green Technology

        1. The Obama Administration created a new national park in Michigan - River Raisin National Battlefield - and a new federal wilderness area - Beaver Basin Wilderness.  A general management plan was finalized and an act introduced in Congress to create another wilderness area in the Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore.
        1. Michigan receives millions each year for brownfield cleanup and redevelopment from the federal government.

        MI Brownfield Page

        http://twitter.com/mikeingels

        by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:15:47 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Note: MI has been in recession for a decade. (3+ / 0-)

          If one looks at Michigan's GDP, we have pretty much been in recession since 2001.  And this decade of recession has crossed presidencies, governorships and parties.

          It was always going to take a long time to dig Michigan out of the doldrums.  And I think that Obama and the Dems have done some really great work at establishing a floor and creating alternative industries to replace the lost economic activity.

          But the party has to make the case.  And Obama seems to have gotten the message.

          http://twitter.com/mikeingels

          by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:42:52 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  MI-08! Lance Enderle! (9+ / 0-)

    You've left out MI-08.

    See Brainwrap's important Diary here.

    - It's beyond ironic that ophthalmologist Rand Paul is so myopic

    by second gen on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:06:21 AM PDT

  •  MI-02 (8+ / 0-)

    The Democrat is "Fred Johnson."

    "Fred Thompson" is a douchy actor.

  •  Is Kos going to start supporting candidates? (2+ / 0-)

    Seems like he'd always be plugging candidates and sending people to their actblue pages in past election years.

    This year, not so much.

    "Philosophy is useless; theology is worse"--Dire Straits

    by Bush Bites on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:18:39 AM PDT

    •  That's because Kos is radioactive in 2010 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Bush Bites, ZenTrainer

      and many in TN, MO, and KS are avoiding the Democratic wing of the Democratic party, choosing instead to align themselves with more conservative interests and centrist, pro-business groups.

      It seems that the whole "hold serve" strategy for Dems is to wait until after Labor Day and see where the enthusiasm is at that time.

      Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

      by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:15:43 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well, maybe in some areas. (0+ / 0-)

        But if he concentrates on candidates in, say, the Northeast or Pac Northwest, the DNC at least won't have to put resources there while trying to fight the wingnuts in the South, Southwest and parts of the Midwest.

        "Philosophy is useless; theology is worse"--Dire Straits

        by Bush Bites on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:32:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Can you think of a contested race in those areas (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          annieli

          that Kos isn't already supporting?

          I mean, California's got huge elections this fall and none are exactly a cakewalk for the Dems.  I'd imagine this is an effort by the GOP to keep California cash from impacting out-of-state races, finding self-financed gazillionaires to run hugely expensive "might makes right" races against the Democrats.

          And with the housing market in freefall, and state governments getting hammered, I think California is still ground zero for Democrats in 2010.

          All politics is local.  I know Orange to Blue is supporting candidates like Trevedi in PA.  But it appears that this is a year to retrench, hold on, and get ready for a big 2012.

          Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

          by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:36:38 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  KS-02. Tevis seems like a huckster to me. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Neon Vincent, FreeStateDem

    I'm voting for Hudspeth even though I'm worried about her campaign and funding (100% corporate-free sure has a nice ring though!). In order to learn ANYTHING about Tevis' 'plan', you have to create an account on his website and give him your email addie. Ridiculous. I think he's the Facebook candidate. Why should we trust him to be a good Dem if we don't even know where he stands on issues? Screw that. And that type of campaign isn't going to fly with older voters. But I desperately want to see Jenkins defeated, no matter how but Tevis creeps me out.

    There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

    by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:20:21 AM PDT

    •  Sean Tevis, the XKCD candidate? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      optimusprime, FreeStateDem

      http://option4.seantevis.com/...

      He's a hoot.  I contributed to his campaign in 2008 and I'm glad to read that he's running again.

      "The party of ideas has become the party of Beavis and Butthead." ~ Paul Krugman.

      by Neon Vincent on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:27:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yep, that's him. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        FreeStateDem

        I don't trust him. Try his web site. Why in the hell should I have to give him my addie to learn about him? That's just not right.

        There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

        by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:29:28 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  If you can find a place to do that... (3+ / 0-)

          ...you're ahead of me.

          I was excited about his candidacy, but he's really dropped the ball on the web presence, which should be his thing.

          "I set up a stage, put up a few banners, stuck a podium up there, and started shouting 'Yes we can.' Next thing you know there's 150,000 people here." -Joe

          by Geiiga on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:25:51 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I just don't understand it. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            FreeStateDem

            I read an article about him in the Pitch, and still didn't know where he stands on things other than his enthusiasm for 'open government' and changing things via his 'plan'. I want to know if he's a Blue Dog or not. I have no effin' idea what he'll vote for or against. Thanks, but no thanks.

            There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

            by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:57:41 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Looks like this story was a day early. (0+ / 0-)
          Sean Tevis's web site is now fully functional. Still don't know what I think of his plan, but like the Royals trading Rick Ankiel and Kyle Farnsworth, there's addition by subtraction by virtue of removing the incumbent in this race, the brainless Lynn Jenkins.

          "I set up a stage, put up a few banners, stuck a podium up there, and started shouting 'Yes we can.' Next thing you know there's 150,000 people here." -Joe

          by Geiiga on Mon Aug 02, 2010 at 09:13:15 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  KS - Secretary of State is also extremely (4+ / 0-)

      important this year since ultra-winger. AZ-racial-profiling-law-co-author Kris Kobach is running on the Rethug side.

      In the primaries:
      Republican
      --Former Salina resident J.R. Claeys
      --Past Chairman of Kansas Republican Party Kris Kobach
      --Shawnee County election commissioner Elizabeth Ensley

      Democrat
      --Former Kansas Securities Commissioner and current Secretary of State Chris Biggs
      --State Senator Chris Steineger

      Biggs is expected to win for the Dems. I'm not certain of the polling on the Rethug side but I'm crossing my fingers for anyone but Kobach, for whom Sheriff Arpaio has campaigned.

      There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

      by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:28:08 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Tevis doesn't... (0+ / 0-)

      ...even live in the 2nd District- and has had no visible campaign that I have seen beyond a goofy website.

  •  MI-7: Rooney has no chance. (2+ / 0-)

    I live in MI-07.  Walberg will win this primary by 20 percentage points or more.

    http://twitter.com/mikeingels

    by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:25:51 AM PDT

  •  In Missouri (3+ / 0-)

    All I can say is..Please stop the Blunt trauma!!  Bachman was here raising money for him.  

  •  For heaven's sakes, diarist! (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, Slaw, ypsiCPA, ShowMeMoBlue

      In MI-02, it's FRED JOHNSON, and DR. FRED JOHNSON at that.

      Dr. Johnson is an associate professor of history at Hope College in Holland, and a former U.S. Marine officer.

      This OUTSTANDING candidate is a strong, intelligent progressive who has KICKED BLACKWATER'S ASS on the campaign trail, as well as the GOP who installed the contractor (READ: MERCENARY) mentality within the military.

      He ran in 2008 against Hoekstra the incumbent, and didn't get SHIT from the Democrats' campaign committee, and is now in a tough nomination battle with conservaDem ringer McClure from Lake County.

      Please revise this diary and folks, please, please, please give Dr. Johnson's campaign some love

      Fred Johnson for Congress, PO Box 1522, Holland, MI 49422 Web site: www.fredjohnsonforcongress.com

      AND FYI: "Grandpa" Fred Thompson is a former teabagging GOP senator from Tennessee, a shit actor and a lousy human being, IMHO.
     

  •  In TN we need some Democratic (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Sandy on Signal

    Party Leadership. Some group who could find some viable candidates to run for office.
    How hard could that be really?

    Tracy B Ann - technically that is my signature.

    by ZenTrainer on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:39:28 AM PDT

    •  Tennesssee has become (0+ / 0-)

      redder than Utah. The jesus freaks have overcome the rational. It's now upper Alabama

      •  Not true. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        FreeStateDem

        By the way, do you live in Tennessee?

        Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

        by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:19:37 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I lived there in the early 80s. (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Sandy on Signal, ZenTrainer

          Senators: Gore and Sasser.

          Governor was Lamar Alexander, who was fairly moderate back then.

          It did change once the Fundies got involved in politics, from what I observed after I left.

          Is that incorrect?

          "Philosophy is useless; theology is worse"--Dire Straits

          by Bush Bites on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:37:01 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Have you been watching the 5th? (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          StepLeftStepForward

          There is a very funny guy named Vijay Kumar running against Cooper.
          He has great billboards. I pass one a lot that, because of the line of utility poles looks like it says "BAN THEIRS". I couldn't figure that out till I saw it from another angle.
          It actually says "BAN THE IRS".
          He has another one something about JIHAD. He is running on some kind of "universal jihad platform" to stop Islam where ever it occurs.
          Say what you will about politics in TN but you can't say they aren't amusing.

          Tracy B Ann - technically that is my signature.

          by ZenTrainer on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 12:16:19 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  The fact that Haslam, (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ZenTrainer

        who projects a more moderate image and doesn't seem to care much about gays, guns and God, is far ahead of the wing-nut candidates is a sign that maybe even in Tennessee the Republicans are starting to come to their senses.

    •  It's all about downticket races, ZenTrainer... (4+ / 0-)

      You know that the TNDP has been focused like a laser on candidate recruitment for the TN State House.  And if you ask me, they hit a home run.  David LaRoche looks very solid in his challenge to Joe Carr.  Matt Kenigson looks solid against incumbent do-nothing Beth Harwell.  I feel confident that come November, we're going to see a solid GOTV effort.

      Mike McWherter hardly inspires confidence as a Democrat, but he's got such strong ties in the business community, I think he might have a shot when it's all said and done.  And it's entirely possible that the grown-ups are conceding the Governor's race to Haslam in an effort to keep turnout down, thereby hoping to win the House.

      This is my take on it, but I do not have any special knowledge apart from the fact that Chairman Chip Forrester and others have been totally focused on the House since January 2009.

      Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

      by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:19:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Good news about Kenigson! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Benintn

        And I'm glad you're feeling confident. That gives me a bit of hope.

        Tracy B Ann - technically that is my signature.

        by ZenTrainer on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:59:53 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  The Republican takeover in the last election (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Benintn

        was like the proverbial dog chasing the car. They didn't know what to do with it once they had it.

        They passed the guns-in-bars bill that most Tennesseans opposed.

        Some anti-abortion stuff, of course.

        I'm pretty sure our Democratic governor drove the budget talks.

        I can't think of another "accomplishment" off the top of my head.

        •  That's what 'accomplishment' looks like to the (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          fiddler crabby

          GOP.  They don't want to solve tough problems.  They want to engage in political parlor games like English Only bills, laws protecting religious discrimination by Christianists against others, anti-gay legislation, guns in bars, etc.

          It's small ball.

          But Democrats can turn things around in 2010.  And you're right about Bredesen - he accomplished amazing things getting as much of his budget passed as he wanted.  And he had tremendous help from Kent Williams, Mike Turner, Jim Kyle, Craig Fitzhugh, and Lowe Finney.

          Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

          by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 11:56:46 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  1.7 million = predicted turnout in MI. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap

    MI SOS Terri Lynn Land predicts that Michigan's primary turnout will be 1.7 million.  That's roughly 24% of registered voters in the state.

    Heritage Newspapers

    Of course, Michigan's overall population is more than 9.9 million.  That means that only 17% of Michigan's overall population will participate on Tuesday.

    Republicans will likely have an advantage in primary participation, but let's say for the sake of argument that primary ballot selection divides evenly.  That will mean that 8.5% will participate in each party primary.

    The Republican side of the primary has five candidates.  The last poll showed Rick Snyder in the lead with 26% of the vote.  8.5% multiplied by .26 equals 2.21%.

    This means that this Tuesday, a candidate will win a major party nomination for governor with 2.21% of the vote.

    http://twitter.com/mikeingels

    by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:40:52 AM PDT

    •  I wonder if there will be any deal making... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      DingellDem

      with a Cox/Hoekstra/Snyder and Bouchard.  Bouchard is running a distant 4th but has enough support to play king maker.  Would he want the Lt. Governor gig?

      Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

      by Jonze on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:15:32 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Too late. (0+ / 0-)

        His name is on the ballot.  His commercials are cranking.  If anything, he has shown more traction in recent days.

        A five candidate primary with four pretty evenly matched candidates is a complete crapshoot.  And add the high probability of bizarre crossover voting and you have a complete mess.

        Honestly, primaries like this don't reflect any kind of will from the electorate.

        http://twitter.com/mikeingels

        by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:20:44 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Bernero! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    John Lane, Slaw, FreeStateDem

    http://twitter.com/mikeingels

    by DingellDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:46:52 AM PDT

  •  But I want Marceaux to be the (7+ / 0-)

    GOP nominee in Tennesse!

    But I'm not givin' in an inch to fear, 'cause I promised myself this year. I feel like I owe it to someone.

    by Its the Supreme Court Stupid on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 08:52:30 AM PDT

    •  Floyd R. Turbo -charged politics (1+ / 0-)

      Floyd R. Turbo was a middle-aged "everyman," a politically conservative type who taped editorial messages for television (ala Gilda Radner's befuddled Emily Litella character). In the days before public access cable, ordinary citizens were alloted time on local television to air their views, usually in opposition to another's previously stated views, and at late or odd hours. Billed as "Mr. Silent Majority" (from a phrase used by President Richard Nixon) and based on characters Carson encountered in his northeast Nebraska childhood), Turbo dressed in a plaid hunting jacket and hat, and stood nervously in front of a TV camera as he delivered his opinions on gun control, war, women's liberation, and hunting.

      "...calling for a 5" deck gun is not parody. Not by a long shot." (gnaborretni)

      by annieli on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:16:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  All of us do. (4+ / 0-)

      Unfortunately multimillionaire oil company tycoon Bill Haslam looks like a shoe-in.

      Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

      by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:25:17 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  "everyone say "Amen", " (5+ / 0-)

      Amen.  That was beautiful, Basil.  Now, what did you mean to tell us?

      He's my favorite Repub in the TN-GOP.  He is running in at least 2 races on our ballots for Governor and  Congress TN-03, too.  Don't know if he is running against anyone on the local level.  My guess is yes.  

      Wouldn't you love to see him on t.v. for the next couple of years?  Face palm.  

  •  Quick report on KS-04 (3+ / 0-)

    My town is pretty red, and 90% of the signs are for the moderate Republican Schodorf. If she doesn't win the primary, some of the moderates may well vote for the Democrat Goyle in the general.  This is how we've ended up with Democratic governors over the years.

    Goyle is running a very good campaign - I'm looking forward to voting for him in the primary.

    you don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows

    by Dem Beans on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:08:41 AM PDT

    •  Best of luck to you down there. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Dem Beans, FreeStateDem

      I'd love to see Goyle win this. When was the last time you even had a Dem rep? I can't recall...

      There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

      by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 10:11:21 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I think it was around 2000 (2+ / 0-)

        Dan Glickman was the Representative for years. Wichita used to be a big labor town with aircraft manufacturing, but the crazies out-organized us and they've done a better job driving the message.

        I'm just glad Tiahrt is gone, what an absolute disgrace he is.  When I first moved into this CD last year I went to his site to read up on my new Representative.  It was filled with attacks and invective on the "Democrat" party, and I was so deeply offended I wrote him and reminded him that he represented me, too, and my taxpayer money was funding his site.  To his credit, one of his aides in DC phoned me to apologize.  But he still sickens me.

        you don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows

        by Dem Beans on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 11:33:02 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He's a disgrace. (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Dem Beans, FreeStateDem

          I remember Glickman's name but wasn't sure which district he represented.

          I presume you've seen the blog, The Idiot Factor: Tiahrt's Folly?

          Tee hee:

          Rarely has it been necessary to dedicate an entire blog to the stupidity and ignorance of one House of Representative member, but Kansas’ own Todd Tiahrt is just such a man. Using fundamentalist churches for support and relying on pure graft and corruption to keep his office, this man needs to be exposed at all times for his ignorance and miss-use of his position.

          The blogger posts fairly regularly. I love it.

          There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

          by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 12:54:44 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  A note about Tennessee primary turnout (4+ / 0-)

    It's worth noting that Tennessee voter turnout is dominated by Republicans voting in the primary 3-way for governor.

    As of last Friday's update on early voting, GOP participation in the primary was two times as large as Democratic participation.

    Whether this translates into an enthusiasm bump in the general remains to be seen, as Democrats have kept their powder dry for the most part and are focusing their attentions on the general elections in November.  Mike McWherter cleared the field in the governor's race and Roy Herron tied down the nomination nod in TN-8 for Democrats, becoming the heir apparent to long-time incumbent John Tanner.

    A 3-way GOP primary in TN-8 has driven turnout in West Tennessee, and the suburbs of Nashville are turning out in droves to vote in the 3-way slugfest in TN-6.  In Knoxville, where favored son Bill Haslam is mayor, early voting turnout is more than 10:1 Republican to Democrat.

    Full Disclosure: I am not Ben Leming. But I think he's pretty cool.

    by Benintn on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:13:26 AM PDT

    •  My Dem friends are voting R (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TN yellow dog, Benintn, sow hat

      just to stop Zach & Robin.  I pulled a D ticket, but there was only one contested race and that was for the 3rd District.  

      Some of my Dem friends have asked me who they should vote for in the GOP primary, as if I could make a recommendation to them.  I tell them its a race to see who is craziest: Wamp, Ramsey, Basil Marceaux, all vying for Guv.  In the 3rd, we have Van Irion, who doesn't even live in the 3rd district but entered his crazy ass anyway.  We have TN GOP Queen of Mean: Robin Smith,  Chuck Fleishman who is spending oodles of his own money so he can repeal Obama care, .... sheesh.  It is  a sorry lot, if ever there were one.  

    •  Tennessee Madness (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      TN yellow dog

      The real contested primaries have been on the Republican side.

      Here in Memphis, we have been bombarded with 30 second Republican ads night and day.  The GOPers are fighting it out amongst themselves for the most crazy amongst the crazies.  

      My only solace is that these Republican far right wingnuts are eating into their own fortunes while they literally destroy their other Republican opponents.  The ads, one right after the other, have taken on the semblance of Saturday Night Live skits.  Although, definitely funnier than SNL.

      In the 9th congressional district, the race between Cohen and ex-mayor Herrenton seems to be Cohen's.  Herrenton played the race card early on, but Memphis had several years of Herrenton's corruption as mayor.  The new mayor is daily discovering even more mismanagement and corruption from Herrenton's term,  as the newspapers dig into the cronyism and patronage and backroom deals that Herrenton performed.

      In general, however, there have been hardly any political advertisements for the 9th district Democratic primary.  And, polling indicates that Cohen, a white man, will easily win over both white and black voters in this majority black city.

    •  We can only hope they out-crazy each other (0+ / 0-)

      And that by November the voters are sick of watching them out-crazy
      each other.  

      But Dems are not very fired up.  Too bad, these clowns should be easy
      to beat.

  •  I'm really liking Tom Holland for KS-Gov. (3+ / 0-)

    Brownback's popularity in the state is under 50%, and he's a known quantity. He's unlikely to get any more popular, particularly in a state where the right-wing evangelical power that got him elected is on the decline (my test case for this is my mother, who's a Republican evangelical conservative who told a Moran volunteer the other day that she wasn't voting for any more Republicans until they start being for something rather than against everything -- the volunteer said she'd been hearing that a lot).

    Holland, on the other hand, told the Chamber of Commerce to stick it.From Holland's letter:

    The priorities and actions of the Kansas Chamber of Commerce have become highly partisan and detrimental to the development of our state’s economy.  As the next Governor of Kansas, I look forward to the day when I can work with a state chamber organization that constructively engages all stakeholders and works to foster real economic development in Kansas

    "I set up a stage, put up a few banners, stuck a podium up there, and started shouting 'Yes we can.' Next thing you know there's 150,000 people here." -Joe

    by Geiiga on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:22:44 AM PDT

    •  I really hope he wins. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      FreeStateDem

      Glad to hear the anedoctal story from your mom. I'm hearing that some conservative Kansans aren't too thrilled about Jenkins' Noper performance either.

      There is no more important struggle for American democracy than ensuring a diverse, independent and free media. - Bill Moyers

      by StepLeftStepForward on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:52:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Missouri: Prop C and the Missouri 4th (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    phrogge prince, ShowMeMoBlue

    I have already voted.  

    The big story Fox will run with is Proposition C.  It nullifies the Federal mandate requiring everyone to have health insurance.  It should win by 60% (I hope not), and that victory will be touted as evidence the American people oppose "Obamacare."

    I live in the Missouri 4th. This is the biggest challenge Skelton has had in the 20 years I have lived in the district.  His Republican opponent will really be running against Pelosi.

    I don't have any Republican "friends," so I have no idea who Skelton's challenger will be.  Hartzler has very good ties to the religious right, and I think she is favored.  

    My take is that Hartzler is a Bachmann clone only Hartzler is not as intelligent. I shudder to think that she could be my representative in Washington.

    With reluctance, I'm voting for Skelton.

    There are times in politics when you must be on the right side and lose.

    by MoDem on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:32:21 AM PDT

    •  If Prop C passes in Missouri (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MoDem, phrogge prince

      It will be 24 hour news coverage touted as a victory for the Republicans.

      Shall the Missouri Statutes be amended to:
      *Deny the government authority to penalize citizens for refusing to purchase private health insurance or infringe upon the right to offer or accept direct payment for lawful healthcare services?

      *Modify laws regarding the liquidation of certain domestic insurance companies?

      It is estimated this proposal will have no immediate costs or savings to state or local governmental entities. However, because of the uncertain interaction of the proposal with implementation of the federal Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, future costs to state governmental entities are unknown.

    •  The mailings re: Prop C are truly deceptive (0+ / 0-)

      and I'm afraid it will pass. Naturally, neither Obama or the HCR bill are even mentioned in the three mailings I have received:  unfortunately, most Missourians are going to be inclined to support Proposition C.  :-(

  •  What is the DSCC doing about this? (0+ / 0-)

    Polls have shown college professor Lisa Johnston narrowly leading the field.

    at 7.8% with Charles Schollenberger the actual current polling leader at 9.4% link

    In the Democratic primary, Charles Schollenberger is the best choice in a novice field. The longtime political activist and former Congressional staffer has been around the game since the 1970s, which helps to compensate for his lack of experience in actually holding an office.

    Schollenberger believes in cutting the federal budget by limiting earmarks and pruning defense spending. He’s a strong advocate of green job potential for Kansans through wind energy.

    He edges out Lisa Johnston, whose background (a doctorate in educational policy, a career first in teaching, then administration at area universities) could be an asset in a Senate short on educational experts. But a life in academia seems insufficient preparation for the long knives of national politics. Johnston should burnish her credentials by seeking a state or local office. . . Johnston should burnish her credentials by seeking a state or local office.

    What a compelling argument, like "polishing a turd" by electing yet another party hack?

    "...calling for a 5" deck gun is not parody. Not by a long shot." (gnaborretni)

    by annieli on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:34:04 AM PDT

  •  Hello! MI-08 has a story (0+ / 0-)

    MI-08 appears to be a case of Republican election rigging - is someone going to cover this?

    Sandi Berhns on LiberalLand

    Brainwrap has a roundup

    I got on the rec list covering it

    Karoli got after it on Crooks & Liars

    "Not dead ... yet. Still have ... things to do." -Liet Kynes

    by Stranded Wind on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:36:01 AM PDT

  •  *ahem* ON WISCONSIN !!! *ahem* (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    StepLeftStepForward

    We are still part of the union no ?

    Okay, well anyway, we have some races too.

    WI 8th Rep. Steve Kagen is up for re-election. Progressive Sen. Russ Feingold is also up for re-election and the hero , Milwaukees Mayor Barrett a strong Democrat, is running for Governor of the state of Wisconsin and they all need some money. I just thought you all would be interested in knowing these things. LOL

    Thank you

    :)

    The Diaries of Blackwaterdog,Tia Rachel and Tim Wise are why I'm still here.

    by WeBetterWinThisTime on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 09:52:37 AM PDT

  •  "There oughtta be a law" (0+ / 0-)

    In one of the greatest explanations for carpetbagging ever, he admitted that his candidacy in the 8th is wholly predicated on the fact that he couldn't get elected in his home district.

    Should the people in the district be placated because he at least spends most of his time in the same state?

    More and better? I'd settle for just better.

    by Anthony Page aka SecondComing on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 10:05:41 AM PDT

  •  Another note about Tennessee (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    StepLeftStepForward

    I know this is more focused on governor and Congressional races, but in Nashville, we have two progressives in the state legislature primaries who are going to need every vote they can get.  In Senate District 21, unequivocal progressive Jeff Yarbro is challenging the 83-year old DINO Doug Henry.  And in House District 58, community leader Steven Turner is challenging absentee Rep. Mary Pruitt who, while not being a DINO, has still managed to inexplicably miss 87 votes in the last legislative session despite the fact that the Capitol is in her district.

    I realize how bad everything else in Tennessee looks, but we have a real shot at electing two young, energetic progressives to the General Assembly even in a year like this.

  •  MI-03 (0+ / 0-)

    No Democrat has even been competitive in this district since I've been alive, so I'm not betting that Miles will win. Therefore I'm probably going to vote in the Republican primary for the candidate who will do the least harm. Amash is a 30 year old nutjob who believes the everyone should have been born into a wealthy family...those who weren't just didn't try hard enough. If he wins the primary, he'll be an easier target for Miles, but he could also be in position to hold the seat for 30+ years. That's too big a risk for me to stomach.

  •  Here in MI-08 (0+ / 0-)

    Lance Enderle is running a write in candidate against Kande N. who dropped out when things didn't go easy for him. The winner faces Chimp close

    I'll be voting for Lance and Bernero.

    As for Dick Michigan:

    Businessman Rick Snyder is targeting moderates and even Democrats

    If there is one thing I despise, it is corporate CEO's who take jobs from America and send them overseas. It's bad for workers. It's bad for the economy. It's unpatriotic. Snyder is the worst of them all, and we have a poor batch of candidates between the pubbies and Dillon.

    Virg Bernero or nobody.

    Support Fair Trade. Buy American! Keep jobs at home. Political Compass Economy -6.62, Social -4.82

    by John Lane on Sun Aug 01, 2010 at 06:37:56 PM PDT

  •  MI-08! (0+ / 0-)

    Lance Enderle is running as a write-in on the Democratic primary ballot.  The original candidate bailed on us -- Brainwrap has written about this, and so have

    Crooks and Liars
    Mr. Rogers' Neighborhood
    Michigan Liberal

    GO LANCE!

  •  concerning Kansas... (0+ / 0-)

    ...I live in the 2nd congressional district- and the post above mentions that Sean Tevis is the favorite in the Democratic Primary.  I have never even heard of him- and he is not listed on the state party candidate list as being a candidate.  I think he dropped out of the race.

    Cheryl Hudspeth from southeast Kansas appears to be the frontrunner in that race.

    On the senate side, the Democrats are really non-existent.  Lisa Johnston may be the "front runner", but she has not been visible in any type of media.  The other "major" contender is Charles Schollenberger- and he has not run any type of visible campaign either.  He has, however, garnered most of the newspaper endorsements- which in a vaccuum type of campaign will probably suffice for democratic primary voters.

  •  Sam Brownback (0+ / 0-)

    I read somewhere that Rick ("man-on-dog") Santorum was instrumental in converting Sen. Brownback to Catholicism.  Just a little trivia fact to share, in case anybody's interested.

    exmearden: Grab every minute of joy you can. 8/30/09

    by Land of Enchantment on Mon Aug 02, 2010 at 05:25:51 PM PDT

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