Good news out of Alaska via Swing State Project. Really encouraging that in a two way race right now Joe Miller only leads Scott McAdams by 8 points 47-39 with 14 % percent undecided.
Meanwhile Joe Miller seems to be getting quite paranoid that the Murkowski campaign and the RSCC are election tampering. The paranoid tea party crowd - the gift that keeps on giving.
Donate to Scott McAdams via our Progressive Electorate Daily Kos Act Blue Page
Murkowski, as expected, would trounce McAdams. However, in all likelihood Miller will be the Republican nominee. Now if Murkowski runs as a Libertarian it's a much different ballgame and anybody's guess. But we have to expect at this point that we've got a two way matchup between Scott McAdams, clearly the people's candidate and Joe Miller - candidate of Mama Grizzly and the Astro-Turfing Tea Party folks.
From the Public Policy Polling memo
Joe Miller’s surprising victory in Tuesday’s Republican Senate primary has given Democrats at least a glimmer of hope in Alaska, although that would fade if the defeated Lisa Murkowski ends up running in the general election as the Libertarian candidate.
Miller leads Democratic nominee Scott McAdams 47-39. McAdams benefits from a more united party, getting 81% of the Democratic vote to Miller’s 73% of the Republicans. The candidates split even with independents at 42%, a good number for Democrats in a year where their candidates are largely getting blown out with that group of voters.
In a three way race with Murkowski running as a Libertarian Miller would still lead but with only 38% to 34% for Murkowski and 22% for McAdams. The folks who go for Murkowski favor McAdams 47-23 in a two way contest so somewhat counterintuitively she would actually hurt Democratic chances even though she’d de facto make it a race with 2 Republicans and a Democrat.
Murkowski’s 50/43 approval spread still makes her one of the more popular Senators in the country in PPP’s polling but her 52% support from Democrats is actually better than her 47% with Republicans, speaking to the trouble she had in Tuesday’s primary. Miller is unpopular with 36% of voters seeing him favorably and 52% negatively. McAdams is still largely anonymous with 53% of voters offering no opinion about him.
So while we definitely don't want Miller as a U.S. Senator, by winning this primary he opened the door for Scott McAdams. The Republican Party will be forced to spend much more money in Alaska
than anticipated.
Remember that a $10 donation in Alaska would by a radio ad and go a lot further than it does in more populated states.
From Mudflats on Friday
Less than 48 hours after Scott McAdams was declared the winner of the democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Alaska, he is already the #5 fundraiser on ActBlue. Let’s get him to number one NOW. He needs capital to get this campaign rolling into high gear. Even a small donation will buy some bumperstickers, or a yard sign. Heck, this is Alaska... $10 will buy a radio commercial!
Remember that every state gets two senate seats, regardless of its population. That means a $100 donation to Scott McAdams is the equivalent of almost $2000 to a senate candidate in Texas. So if you want your political dollars to have the most bang for their buck, and if you want a great new Democratic Senator for the state of Alaska, you know where to put them. Don’t you feel influential?
Rand Paul, Sharrrron Angle and Joe Miller. Three's Company. Three Stooges.
BTW - I've come to the conclusion that Joe Miller looks like a wimpy version of Chuck Norris