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politco - Ben Smith

In a clear sign of the grassroots pressure on Republican leaders, National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn just put out a statement embracing Christine O'Donnell -- a dramatic contrast with his group's curt response last night -- and writing her a big check.

Ben Smith reads this as grassroots pressure on Cornyn.

Last night, the NRSC had no use for O'Donnell. This morning, they send her a check. Either they think she's got a chance, or they are caving to grassroots pressure as Smith says.

PPP has Coons ahead of O'Donnell by 16 points, 50-34; this is compared to polling regarding Mike Castle, who would have lead Coon 45-35.

That's a 26 point poll swing, which may account for Cornyn's testiness.

It also means that no, O'Donnell has no real chance. And Smith is correct; Cornyn caved to outraged Tea Brain Republicans.

This is starting to pay more dividends. Not only do we win DE-Sen; the GOP is flushing money down the toilet to keep the Tea Brained happy.

Nate Silver's 538 gave Coons a 83.7% chance of victory over O'Donnell - and that was prior to the PPP poll showing Coons with a 16% lead. The most recent data Nate had to work with was a Rasmussen poll giving Coons an 11% lead.

Update: The Hill

Jim DeMint believes O'Donnell makes the party stronger.

But DeMint, the leader of the Senate Conservatives Fund, said the GOP was on track to being a stronger party ideologically with her victory.

"I don’t want the majority back if we don’t believe anything," DeMint said on Fox News. "So I think if we want the numbers, if we want the majority, then we’re going to have to stand on some principles that the American people believe in."

Originally posted to aardvark droppings on Wed Sep 15, 2010 at 10:09 AM PDT.


Does O'Donnell have a chance?

15%12 votes
37%30 votes
17%14 votes
7%6 votes
21%17 votes

| 79 votes | Vote | Results

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