While it is true that the Democrats are on the defensive in trying to keep their majority, there are a handful of GOP-held seats that the Democrats could flip this midterm with our help. This diary will highlight 10 of those GOP-held house seats. 8 of these seats have recent polls showing the Democratic candidate ahead or close behind. 2 of these candidates are taking on the GOP's worst candidates and deserve our help.
Note: Links for ActBlue in district (if available), links for candidate's website in candidate's name, all poll info from DCCC blog unless noted and I've added ads from these candidates as well.
Global Strategy Group for the DCCC (10/4-6, likely voters):
Colleen Hanabusa (D): 48
Charles Djou (R-inc): 44
Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos (10/2-3, likely voters):
Colleen Hanabusa (D) 48
Charles Djou (R) 47
Undecided (R) 5
One interesting note about polling for this race that was discussed in the primaries from CQ Politics:
Cultural sensitivity when doing surveys in Hawaii is so nuanced that one pollster commented that polling there is more like Japan than in any other part of the United States.
First of all, many survey participants -- particularly Japanese-Americans -- will say they are undecided when they are questioned about their voting preferences.
Japanese-American women, especially, tend to be underrepresented in polling because they decline to answer -- a circumstance that Boylan argued could give Hanabusa an edge in the race.
Campaign Update: Bera has out-raised Lungren again in the 3rd quarter $550,000 to $480,000. Bera has a cash on hand advantage of $2.1mm to Lungren's $1.7mm.
PPP for DailyKos (9/18-19):
Bera (D) - 38%
Lungren (R-inc) - 46%
Undecided - 16%
Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. (9/27-10/3, likely voters):
John Carney (D): 51
Glen Urquhart (R): 36
Univ. of Delaware(9/16-30, likely voters):
John Carney (D): 48
Glen Urquhart (R): 31
Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos (10/9-10/10, likely voters):
Suzan DelBene (D): 46
Dave Reichert (R-inc): 49
Fairbank Maslin Dem. Internal Poll(10/4-5):
Suzan DelBene (D): 44
Dave Reichert (R-inc): 48
DCCC Poll (9/12-9/19):
Garcia (D) - 40%
Rivera (R) - 33%
Porter (Whig) - 2%
Arrojo - 7%
Anzalone Liszt Internal Poll (8/30-9/2):
Seals (D) - 49%
Dold (R) - 36%
Public Policy Polling for the Daily Kos (10/2-3, likely voters):
Cedric Richmond (D): 49
Joe Cao (R-inc): 38
Richmond rolled out the big endorsement with President Obama doing a commercial for him:
PA-15: Grove Insight for the DCCC (9/27-29, likely voters):
John Callahan (D): 43
Charlie Dent (R-inc): 45
Below are two candidates who have an uphill fight to replace the Odious Michelle Bachmann (MN-06) and Minority Leader His Orangness John Boehner (OH-08):
DNC Ad hitting John Boehner: