Exciting news. The DNC has released a new memo on early voting that shows that the massive Republican wave hasn't appeared yet.
Via Huffington Post:
- We are winning. In key states, such as NV, IA, CA, WI, WA, IL and WV, Democrats are outpacing Republicans in early vote. In other states, such as CO, Democrats tend to cast votes later than Republicans (as they did in 2008), and we are confident that margin will close.
- The Republican ‘surge’/’wave’ has not materialized in early vote, and it’s not going to. When we
look at early vote results by distinct vote history levels (mid-term voters / presidential-year only
voters), Democratic early voting is comparable, and often higher, than Republican voting.
- In key congressional districts, Democrats are out-performing in early vote. In many key districts,
Democrats are outpacing Republicans both in raw ballots cast and participation rates.
Summary table from memo:
Now, it is not surprising that we are ahead in early votes in CA, IL and WA with our registration advantage. But, in a wave election where Republicans are supposed to be incredibly motivated to vote, this is encouraging news.
Another exciting piece of news from this memo is the data on 2008 first-time voters who early voted in 7 states:
State | Dem | GOP | Dem Advantage |
CA | 64,141 | 38,240 | 25,901 |
IA | 5,928 | 4,693 | 1,235 |
MD | 3,525 | 1,509 | 2,016 |
NC | 9,261 | 8,120 | 1,141 |
NV | 11,228 | 5,701 | 5,527 |
OH | 7,623 | 5,367 | 2,256 |
WI | 1,349 | 1,486 | -137 |
Let's keep up the GOTV efforts and prove the pundits wrong.
Links to GOTV and/or Donations:
Organizing for America
Local Democratic Party Links
Donate to ActBlue