Update 11:24
As of this writing Amendments 5 and 6 are going to pass!!!
That will save about 4 seats in 2012, and may make the State races competitive.
As of this writing, Sink is down 3 with only Palm out. I don't think there are enough votes for her to make up the 150 K margin.
Update 11:35 Scott's lead is 2.5% with 89% counted. The lead is down to 150K - this will be close. Can we get to a recount!!!
Update 11:54Lead cut to 1.8%. Fox news in Tampa thinks there is a good chance of a recount. Everything is counted except for 6% in Duval, Palm and Dade. The precincts that are out are African American in Duval.
12:19
Bush is deploying lawyers to watch Palm Beach canvass. Margin closing fast. Sink lawyers already there. 10 years almost to the day of the fiasco at Palm Beach, the same think is happening. The margin in Palm for Sink keeps growing. She may just win. I will have a long day tomorrow.
She might just pull this off.
The key race I am following is for Governor. I worked in the Boiler room today at Sink HQ in Tampa on the Voter Protection Effort. A Sink win probably means several House seats throughout the next decade, and would probably be the biggest win of the night.
With 35% in, Sink is down 4. In general Dems trail until Broward, Palm and Dade come in, so this isn't a bad. number.
39%, Scott 50, Sink 47
<8:16> Still Scott 50, Sink 47. Nothing from the Panhandle yet (not good), only early votes from South Florida (good).
May be a very late night.
<8:24>Scott 50, Sink 46. Sink wins Pinellas by 6. Obama won it by 6 in 2008, that is a good number for her.
<8:28> Scott 51, Sink 46. 48& in. It will get worse as the panhandle comes in before Broward, Dade and Palm come in.
<8:38> Scott 51, Sink 46, 49%
<8:42> Here comes the Panhandle. Still Scott 51, Sink 46 with 50%
The exit poll has good news on this front. Sink is dead even. The issue, though, is that Scott won the early vote by about 100K. So can the margin today offset the early votes. The Statewide electorate is a bit of a surprise as well, with Democrats outnumbering Repugs.
<8:50> Still 5 points with 54% in.
<9:03> Still 5 points with 55&. Still nothing but early votes from South Florida.
<9:21> Sink winning Hillsborogh as well as Pinellas. Winning Osceola, most of Polk is in. She is going to win the I-4 Corridor. Did heavy turnout in orlando save her? That was the hope at the office...
<9:27>I-4 win being offset by bad numbers north and southwest. Still nothing from Sarasota - where the Sink people had hopes but which normally leans GOP. Still nothing from the Southeast.
<9:42>Scott still leads by 5 with 66& in. Much of the Panhandle is in. 7% from Broward, nothing from Dade or Palm. Sink is carrying Hillsborough (her own county) by 49-48. That margin is disappointing.
I have been here before. It looks bleak. And then turns with 15% left. But I am not sure the margin is there for Sink at this point...
<9:49> Same margin, Sink loses Sarasota. Votes starting to come in from South Florida - not enough to offset strength up north.
<10:02>Same margin, 69% in. Counts always slow down around 10....And tehn the South comes in all at once.
<10:07>AND HERE IT COMES: Sink closes to within 4. Panhandle almost all in. Still plenty of votes in SF, but some left in central Florida.
<10:12>Scott 50, Sink 47 with 74% in.
<10:22> back to 4, 50-46. Most of central Fl is in: where Sink got killed in some counties. Still over half left in broward, and 80% left in Palm
I don't think there are enough votes for Sink: but note that this race isn't called yet.
There is a reason for that.
I am not sure there is enough.....
This might be a very late night.....
Are there enough votes in SF!!!!
<10:35> Sink is down about 150K at this point. <y estimate is she is going to net about 140K in the South. Scott will net about 40 in the remaining Panhandle counties.</p>
I think she is going to lose by about a point, but it really depends on if the African American precincts in the South have been counted yet.
<10:42> At this point I don't think Scott is going to net another 10K ouf of the rest of the state. But he is up about 170K, and I just don't think Sink can make it up. But it is always important to remember that precincts do not equal % of vote remaining. I think she loses by about 80K.
<11:04> So here we are again. The results have slowed to a crawl, as the canvassing boarda in the South plow through the last results, and the more rural counties finally finish there counting. At 10"12 we had 64% in. We have 79% now. Sink's margin in Palm is surprisingly small. But is that because the Dem precincts are out???
<11:12> Sink back down by 3, with 85% in. Broward is all in. Effectively we are waiting for Dade and Palm. Though I think Sink is lost.
The House races are here. The news here looks terrible. We are losing every close House race. Grayson trails Webster in Florida 8 by 29 with 35% in.
<8:18> Webster 56, Grayson 39, with 65% in.
<8:38> CNN calls it for Webster.
CNN calls FL-24 for Adams. First House switch in Florida.
Boyd running better than I expected in FL-2, has lead with 24%
http://www.cnn.com/...
The Senate Seat is a blowout.
Update 1
My district, Florida 12, is actually surprisingly close at this point. Edwards trails by 7 with 40% in.