Summary:
Indiana has 9 representatives: 5 Democrats and 4 Republicans. Primary is done.
Iowa has 5 representatives: 3 Democrats and 2 Republicans. Primary is done.
Kansas has 4 representatives: 1 Democrat and 3 Republicans. Primary is Aug 3
Possibly vul: IN-02 (D)
IN-08 (D)
IN-09 (D)
IA-03 (D)
KS-04 now open but was (R)
Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC
and my previous diaries.
District: IN-01
Location Northwestern IN, bordering IL and Lake Michigan, south from Gary about 100 miles map
Cook PVI D + 8
Representative Peter Visclosky (D)
VoteView 127
First elected 1984
2008 margin 71-27 over Mark Leyva
2006 margin 70-27
2004 margin 68-32
Obama margin 62-37
Bush margin 2004 44-55
Current opponents Mark Leyva
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe. Visclosky has $650K COH, Leyva has little.
District: IN-02
Location Northern central IN, south from South Bend to Kokomo map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Joe Donnelly (D)
VoteView 235
First elected 2006
2008 margin 67-30 over Luke Puckett
2006 margin 54-46
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 54-45
Bush margin 2004 56-43
Current opponents Jackie Walorski
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Vulnerable. Donnelly has $850K COH, Watorski about $150K
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Lean D
UPDATE from comments:
District: IN-03
Location Northeastern IN, bordering MI and OH, including Fort Wayne map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Mark Souder (R) Resigned in scandal
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 43-56
Bush margin 2004 68-31
Current opponents Thomas Hayhurst. Republican will be chosen by special election.
Demographics 33rd most Republican in Cook PVI
Assessment Ordinarily safe for Republicans. Hayhurst has a more impressive $250K, but this is strongly Republican territory.
District: IN-04
Location Central IN, including western and southern suburbs of Indianapolis map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Steve Buyer (R) Retiring
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 43-56
Bush margin 2004 69-30
Current opponents Republican: Todd Rokita. Democrat: David Sanders
Demographics 25th most Republican per Cook PVI, 47th fewest Blacks (1.3%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans. Rokita and Sanders each have just over $100K COH, but Sanders is mostly his own money.
District: IN-05
Location Central IN, including northern and eastern suburbs of Indianapolis map
Cook PVI R + 17
Representative Dan Burton (R)
VoteView 410
First elected 1982
2008 margin 66-34 over Mary Ruley
2006 margin 65-31
2004 margin 72-26
Obama margin 40-59
Bush margin 2004 71-28
Current opponents Tim Crawford
Demographics 22nd fewest in poverty (5.2%), 10th most Republican per Cook PVI
Assessment Safe for Republicans. Burton has $380K COH, no info on Crawford.
District: IN-06
Location Southern part of eastern IN, bordering OH map
Cook PVI R + 10
Representative Mike Pence (R)
VoteView 431
First elected 2000
2008 margin 64-33 over Barry Welsh
2006 margin 60-40
2004 margin 67-31
Obama margin 46-53
Bush margin 2004 64-35
Current opponents Barry Welsh.
Demographics 41st fewest Latinos
Assessment Safe for Republicans. Pence has $645K COH, Welsh has little.
District: IN-07
Location Indianapolis and suburbs map
Cook PVI D + 14
Representative Andre Carson (D)
VoteView 147
First elected 2008
2008 margin 65-35 over Gabrielle Campo
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 71-28
Bush margin 2004 42-58
Current opponents Marvin Scott
Demographics 50th most Blacks (29.4%)
Assessment safe. Carson has about $300K COH, Scott has little.
District: IN-08
Location The southern part of eastern IN, including Terre Haute and Evansville map
Cook PVI R + 8
Representative Brad Ellsworth (D) Running for Senate
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 47-51
Bush margin 2004 62-38
Current opponents Democrat Trent VanHaaften , Republican Larry Bucshon
Demographics 34th most Whites (93.7%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Assessment Ellsworth, a conservative Democrat, fit the district well, running way ahead of both Bush and Obama. Van Haaften looks like the same sort of Democrat; Bucshon looks like a Tea Partier, which helps. Bucshon has $113K COH, Van Haaften a little more; but Bucshon gave himself $55K.
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Tossup. This is Republican territory, but it's a blue dog vs. a nut job, so who knows?
District: IN-09
Location Southwestern IN, including Bloomington map
Cook PVI R + 6
Representative Baron Hill (D)
VoteView 229
First elected 2006
2008 margin 58-38 over Mike Sodrel
2006 margin 50-45
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 49-50
Bush margin 2004 59-40
Current opponents Todd Young
Demographics 60th most rural (47.7%) and 58th fewest Latinos (1.5%)
Assessment After a close race in 2006, Hill won easily in 2008, he should be OK, he has nearly $900K COH, Young about $150K
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Lean D
District: IA-01
Location Northern part of eastern IA, bordering WI and IL map
Cook PVI D + 5
Representative Bruce Braley (D)
VoteView 151
First elected 2006
2008 margin 64-36 over David Hartsuch
2006 margin 55-43
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 58-51
Bush margin 2004 46-53
Current opponents Benjamin Lange
Demographics 61st most Whites (92.1%)
Assessment Safe. Braley won pretty easily vs. a well-funded opponent in 2006. Braley has $650K COH, Lange has little.
District: IA-02
Location Southeastern IA, bordering MO and IL, including Cedar Rapids map
Cook PVI D + 7
Representative Dave Loebsack (D)
VoteView 93
First elected 2006
2008 margin 67-39 over Mariannete Miller Meeks
2006 margin 51-49
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 60-38
Bush margin 2004 44-55
Current opponents Mariannette Miller Meeks
Demographics 53rd most Whites (92.4%)
Assessment This is an increasingly Democratic district, and Loebsack should be OK; he beat the same opponent easily last time. Loebsack has over $400K COH, Miller Meeks about $60K.
District: IA-03
Location Central IA, including Des Moines map
Cook PVI D + 1
Representative Leonard Boswell (D)
VoteView 194.5
First elected 1996
2008 margin 56-42 over Kim Schmett
2006 margin 52-46
2004 margin 55-45
Obama margin 54-44
Bush margin 2004 Bush by 250 votes (of 300,000)
Current opponents Brad Zaun.
Demographics 75th most Whites (90.1%)
Assessment Boswell has won easily in this swing district, and he should be OK. He has $600K COH and Zaun about $20K
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Likely D
District: IA-04
Location Northern central IA, including Ames map.
Cook PVI Even
Representative Tom Latham (R)
VoteView 290
First elected 1994
2008 margin 61-39 over Becky Greenwald
2006 margin 57-43
2004 margin 61-39
Obama margin 53-45
Bush margin 2004 51-48
Current opponents Bill Maske
Demographics 20th most Whites (94.7%), 27th fewest Blacks (0.8%), 54th most rural (49.5%)
Assessment Latham has won easily in the past
in this swing district. Latham should be safe. He has $700K COH and Maske has little.
District: IA-05
Location Western IA, bordering SD and NE, including Sioux City and Council Bluffs map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Steve King (R)
VoteView 419
First elected 2002
2008 margin 60-37 over Rob Hubler
2006 margin 59-36
2004 margin 63-37
Obama margin 44-54
Bush margin 2004 60-39
Current opponents Matthew Campbell.
Demographics 33rd most Whites (93.7%), 18th fewest Blacks (0.6%), 53rd most rural (50.6%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans. King is something of a nut, even for a Republican, but he wins easily. He has $300K COH, Campbell has little
District: KS-01
Location The western 3/4 of KS, bordering NE, OK, and CO map
Cook PVI R + 23
Representative Jerry Moran (R) Retiring to run for Senate
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 30-69
Bush margin 2004 72-26
Current opponents 7 Republicans are vying for this seat, the 12th most Republican per Cook PVI. The only Democrat is Alan Jilke.
Demographics 61st most rural (47.6%)
Assessment Whichever Republican wins is a strong favorite
District: KS-02
Location Eastern KS, except for Kansas City. Includes Topeka map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Lynn Jenkins (R)
VoteView NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 51-46 over Nancy Boyda
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 43-55
Bush margin 2004 59-39
Current opponents Dennis Pyle.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Jenkins seems safe. She has $750K COH, Pyle has little.
UPDATE from comments
District: KS-03
Location Kansas City and suburbs map
Cook PVI R + 3
Representative Dennis Moore (D) Retiring
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 51-48
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Current opponents At least 5 confirmed Republicans per the Wiki. For the Democrats, Thomas Scherer and Stephene Moore
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment With Mooore quitting at the last minute, this does not look good. Scherer is entirely self-funded so far.
SSP rating: Lean R
My rating: Lean R
District: KS-04
Location Eastern part of southern KS, bordering OK, including Wichita map
Cook PVI R + 14
Representative Todd Tiahrt (R) Retiring to run for Senate
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 40-58
Bush margin 2004 64-34
Current opponents A lot of Republicans are running, and at least 3 Democrats: Donald Betts (site is unavailable; is Betts out?) and Robert Tillman (no site) and Raj Goyle
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment With Tiahrt out, this might be in play. Goyle is raising money like crazy, and has over $800K COH. But this is a strongly Republican district
SSP rating: Likely R
My rating: Likely R