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FL-Sen: Mike Haridopolos is starting to look like one of those guys who just seems to track muck wherever he goes – or has been. How do you like this for both ridiculous and corrupt? He received an astounding (a) $152K (b) in taxpayer money to (c) write a book that (d) no one would ever read – and that (e) never got published because (f) the manuscript was too shitty to print. Getting that much (a) to do (c) is remarkable in any environment, but particularly when (a) is in the form of (b), and (d) ensures that the whole venture will be a major money-loser. (E) and (f) are really just the punch line – which makes Haridopolos the joke (and Florida taxpayers the serious losers here).

MA-Sen: I get the sense that Deval Patrick's decision to blab to the National Journal about the candidates he's talked to who might run for senate must either have been deliberately planned or really unappreciated. Patrick said that 2010 special election candidate Alan Khazei and Newton Mayor Setti Warren told him they are "in, for sure" – leading Warren to tell Wicked Local Newton that he's merely considering the race and has no timetable for an announcement. Was Patrick fluffing Warren in a helpful way, or was he just cracking out of turn?

MT-Sen, MT-Gov: Was this even a thing? Dave Catanese asked Gov. Brian Schweitzer if he and Sen. Jon Tester might trade places – the term-limited Schweitzer running for senate and the flat-topped Tester running for governor. Schweitzer said nuh-uh.

TN-Sen: I won't call it a "must-read," but a strong "should-read" piece in the Tennesean gives some good background on Nashville Mayor Karl Dean, who may be one of the strongest (only?) Dem options to take on Sen. Bob Corker in 2012. Dean has a Phil Bredesen-like "moderate" background, has been largely successful as mayor, and also has a very wealthy wife. But the article notes that Dean first has to win re-election as mayor this August (though he's the favorite) – and more importantly, he hasn't express any particular interest in running for senate. Maybe a run against freshman Gov. Bill Haslam in 2014 might be a better choice.

VT-Sen: Republican state Auditor Tom Salmon says he'll decide on whether to challenge Sen. Bernie Sanders this week. He has a conference planned for noon Thursday.

IN-Gov: Mike Pence, a very likely gubernatorial candidate, offered quite a bit less than a full-throttled defense of Gov. Scott Walker's attempts at union busting, perhaps in an effort to avoid a rift with the man he's hoping to replace, Gov. Mitch Daniels. But given that Daniels' decision not to follow Walker's lead engendered a ton of teabagger vitriol, I'm wondering if Pence's move to go soft here might cause him trouble in a potential GOP primary.

ME-Gov: Speaking of Scott Walker, Gov. Paul LePage, elected with 38% of the vote, says that he, too, will pursue his lifelong dream of destroying collective bargaining rights. LePage may run into static from the GOP legislature, though, before he has the chance to fully transform himself into Kochbot 2.0.

MS-Gov: It's always a little tricky when someone is referred to as a businessman of some sort, but I'm going to guess that newly-announced Republican gubernatorial candidate Ron Williams, "owner of Pascagoula-based Hazmat Services Inc.," is a lot closer to the Some Dude end of the spectrum than the zillionaire kapitalist side.

WI-Gov: Speaking of Scott Walker yet again, the RGA has a new ad coming out in support of said governor, but of course, NWOTSOTB. Meanwhile, a fellow who says he did "micro-targeting" for Obama in 2008, Ken Strasma of Strategic Telemetry, has a poll out which he says supports the idea that Walker could be vulnerable to a recall. And through the use of un-revealed "micro-targeting models," Strasma also thinks that there would be more than enough people willing to sign a petition in each of the eight Republican state senate districts where senators are currently exposed to the legal possibility of a recall.

WA-Gov: Show of hands – does anyone here think Gov. Christine Gregoire will actually seek a third term? Hey, maybe we're all wrong, but the very fact that she's even been entertaining the idea has already been a big enough surprise. Anyhow, Gregoire says she'll decide by "early summer."

Meanwhile, Democratic King County Executive Dow Constantine, whose name proverbially "came up" last December (see SSP Amazing Daily Digest, Issue #44) as Rep. Jay Inslee was seen to be holding his fire, sounds largely like a "no." Constantine said he might "at some point be interested in an opportunity," but "I have on my plate a few matters in King County government and I'm going to remain focused on that this year." Of course, with Gregoire now fogging in the control tower, everyone else is probably going to be put in a holding pattern.

CA-36: This may not be a huge surprise, but Janice Hahn said that now ex-Rep. Jane Harman was querying her about her future political plans when she was a guest of Harman's at the State of the Union address in January (going so far as to ask Hahn whether she'd be interested in running for CA-36), then tipped Hahn about her resignation announcement hours before she made it. This helps explain Hahn's particularly energetic burst out of the gates, but it doesn't explain – or excuse – Debra Bowen's anemic start. Two weeks after announcing, Bowen's website is still nothing more than a splash page with a big "Contribute" button, and I haven't seen a single announcement of any high-profile endorsements. Does a sitting Secretary of State really have that few friends in high places?

FL-25: When you've lost Eric Cantor… the no. 2 Republican in the House was in Miami for a fundraiser, but already-doomed Rep. David Rivera was pointedly asked to stay away. Worse, Cantor said he has "concerns" about Rivera, and worse still, he was seen meeting with former state Rep. Renier Diaz de la Portilla, a possible replacement for Rivera. (Diaz de la Portilla, who served just one term in the state House a decade ago, is the brother of former state Sen. Alex, who was touted as a possible FL-25 candidate last cycle, and current state Sen. Miguel.)

NY-13: Rep. Mike Grimm is obviously doing the sensible thing here, working with Democrats (and somewhat less-insane-than-usual Republicans) to secure funding for government programs that actually matter to New Yorkers. Money for cops = popular! Of course, "the sensible thing" has pissed off local teabaggers, which could prove a problem for Grimm as he seeks re-election.

NY-25: The namejacking anti-abortion Susan B. Anthony List is running an ad thanking Ann Marie Buerkle for her vote to cut off funding to Planned Parenthood. Kudos to Dave Catanese, who says the size of the buy (which includes online ads) is $75,000, and that the ad itself is expected to run 182 times. It sounds like SBA is also planning to spend another $125K running radio ads in a number of other GOP-held districts: IL-08, IL-14, NH-01, PA-07, and PA-08.

OR-01: Another GOP name has surfaced as a possible challenger to David Wu: State Sen. Bruce Starr says he's considering a run. I think it would be more interesting to get a sense of which Dems are likely to succeed Wu, though, since odds seem slim that a Republican will hold this seat. But of course, most Democrats aren't saying much, and that includes DCCC chair Steve Israel. When your own party's re-election chief says "no comment" about your future, you're long past the point where you should be stepping aside.

Census: The good folks at the Census Bureau will have redistricting data this week for DE, KS, NE, NC, and WY. In other census news, be very glad that Robert Groves is the director of the bureau and the guy he replaced is long-gone. Steve Murdock told the Houston Chronicle that "it's basically over for Anglos" in Texas and that it's a "terrible situation." Wow.

Crossroads GPS: Karl Rove's dark money front organization says it's already spent a million bucks on House race ads this year, which the DCCC "has been unable to come close to matching," according to The Hill. The article makes reference to the David Brock-Kathleen Kennedy Towsend (oy) group that's supposed to be the Dem answer to Crossroads, but has anyone heard a peep from "American Bridge" yet?

Dave's Redistricting App: Dave's got some new census data for all you mappin' fools to play with.

Las Vegas Mayor: Diarist atdleft has a good roundup of ads currently in rotation in the Las Vegas mayoral race. If you haven't been following this one, current mayor Oscar Goodman is term-limited out, and a field including two Dems (Larry Brown and Chris Giunchigliani), one Republican (Victor Chaltiel), and one independent (Goodman's wife Carol) is vying to replace him. There's a top-two primary on April 5th and a run-off (if no one gets 50%) on June 7th.

Teabaggers: Even though 84 Republican freshman joined the House this January, just 11 have joined Michele Bachmann's Tea Party Caucus – and the caucus is now actually smaller than it was when it first started. Anyhow, at least a few of these (click the link for the article) are probably sitting in blue enough territory that this decision will cause heartburn for them on the campaign trail. (But see the classic rock-and-hard-place conundrum faced by Mike Grimm in the NY-13 bullet above.)

Twitter: The Fix compiled a list of their favorite Twitterers in all fifty states. I haven't checked it out yet, though, so I don't even have an opinion. But enjoy!

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Comment Preferences

  •  Recall (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, DAO, James Allen, supercereal

    Recalling a WI state senator is a great idea.  Focus on the most vulnerable, and pounce.  

    Apres Bush, le deluge.

    by melvynny on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 06:41:05 AM PST

  •  CA-36 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    David Nir, AUBoy2007

    Okay, seriously, the hell's up with Bowen?

    •  I always thought (0+ / 0-)

      Debra Bowen would be a good candidate for Senate or Governor.

      Janice Hahn (a friend of mine) seems to be showing she really wants this. Now that Marcy Winograd, who primaried Harmen, is running, we could see an interesting result because of the new top two law.

      The daily floggings will continue until morale improves.

      by Tuba Les on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 10:46:39 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  I never understood why people thought (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen

    Gregoire wouldn't seek a third term since she has never suggested otherwise publicly.  Where else would she go?  She is still a little young to be a retired pol and there isn't an open Senate seat.  

    It's just a name like the Death Zone or the Zone of No Return.All the zones have names like that in the Galaxy of Terror. H.J.F.

    by msstaley on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 06:49:44 AM PST

    •  Her approvals are in the toilet however. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      That's got to weigh on her decision.

      One should no more deplore homosexuality than left-handedness. ~Towards a Quaker View of Sex, 1964 (Proud left-handed queer here!)

      by AUBoy2007 on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 08:46:48 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  God, I hope she doesn't run (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        Her whole history has been slamming and screwing over her strongest base (Seattle).  If she once again runs, I will work as hard as possible for her primary opponent (hopefully Inslee, but there is no lack of good potential candidates in this state), and I will once again vote against her in the primary.

        Obviously I have voted for her in the general, but that is because the R opponent has been one of the more disgusting pieces of work to ever run for the office in WA.  She would likely be destroyed going for a third term while another D candidate would have a decent chance of holding the Governor's mansion for the good guys.

        (tried to rec your comment but the stupid thing still doesn't work well)

        I like lemurs -6.50, -4.82

        by roadbear on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 08:55:54 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

    •  As AUBoy noted (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Very poor approvals, in addition to incredibly tight elections both times (including in 2008, a pretty blue year with a damn strong top of the ticket). And also the fact that, as I understand it, third terms have generally not been sought by incumbent governors in WA, despite the lack of term limits.

  •  Wanna hear the REAL punchline... (0+ / 0-)

    ...on Mike Haridopolis (FL-SEN)?

    He's being paid $75,000/year (in private funds) to teach a course in Florida Politics to University of Florida students doing a semester in Tallahassee.

    More here.

  •  What's worse about Haridopolis (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    The Caped Composer, ObamOcala

    is that he might win!  He now has a cushy job at the Univ. of Florida giving lectures every now and then.  This "Ken Doll" has led a charmed life.  Married a doctor, so he can play.  Not a bad gig if you can get it.  "Taught" at Brevard Community College, and now UF, but has the gaul to tell teachers they need to take less pay.  Maybe if the state didn't waste so much money on worthless fucks like him, there would be enough money for real teachers!

    In an insane society, the sane man would appear insane

    by TampaCPA on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 07:00:15 AM PST

  •  K. Dean in TN (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, Benintn

    Don't hold your breath waiting for a challenge from Nashville Mayor Dean to Gov Haslam for a couple of reasons. First, Haslam will buy the next election with his daddy's Pilot Oil money. Second, he'll easily carry east TN (traditionally republican since the civil war and Haslam's home in Knoxville). No candidate  can win the governorship without East TN. Bredeson won it by 45 votes for his election only because the East TN republicans turned on his opponent Van Hillary for personal reasons. Third, all rural counties south and west of Nashville vote Republican. The Rethug culture wars won the hearts and minds of the old south Christian population. Voting republican is what Jesus wants and don't forget it or hell is in your future.

    Finally and least explicable, Tennesseans have consistently re-elected every gov for a second term since I moved here in 1960. I can't explain it but it's a fact that has been repeated even when voters were faced with crappy governors (e.g. Don Sundquist).

  •  NWOTSOTB? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    My pet peeve: use of clever insider acronymns.

    Do they make the diarist seem smart? Sure!

    Do they make readers who know the reference feel smug and smart? You betcha!

    The rest of us? Annoyed.

    Speaking of Scott Walker yet again, the RGA has a new ad coming out in support of said governor, but of course, NWOTSOTB.

    NWOTSOTB = No Word On The Size Of The Buy

    How about, ..."we don't know how big the ad campaign will be." ?

    Our cause: a More Perfect Union

    by Roby NJ on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 08:08:24 AM PST

    •  Well (0+ / 0-)

      When it's full-on campaign time and you've got 7 different ad buy stories in the digest where there's no word on the size of the buy, I imagine acronyms become handy. David and the other SSP editors have been doing this for a while, and the DKos community is smart enough to catch on pretty quickly.

      •  Good for them (0+ / 0-)

        Probably saves them a lot of time when you add it all up. A few minutes a day? And the DKos community that's not smart enough or doesn't read all those election campaign articles with the clever insider acronyms -- so what, it's not a big deal. It's not like they want to communicate effectively on the front page to a wide audience.

        Our cause: a More Perfect Union

        by Roby NJ on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 10:56:11 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

      •  Exactly right (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        We don't use a lot of home-grown acronyms, but this is one of them, and I "created" it for a reason - because my hand was falling off trying to write this out a dozen times a day! Folks will get the hang of this one - I'm not worried. :)

  •  VT Senate (0+ / 0-)

    Don't lose any sleep - or waste any time at all - re: Tom Salmon.   He's a nutcase who has zero chance against Bernie.

  •  Oklahoma (0+ / 0-)

    I got tired of searching after about 10 pages, but looks like the only Oklahoma tweeter followed is the Oklahoman, which doesn't give me much confidence in this list. A better choice -- or at least an additional choice -- would be OKPolicy

  •  Dean is running for Mayor. Not Senate. (0+ / 0-)

    I'd say the Dean feature is more for Republicans who are trying to keep Dean from moving toward 2016 and the Governor's mansion.

    Dean's taken flack from Republicans about his heavy-handed tactics, and even some Democrats have been upset with his mishandling of the Nashville State Fairgrounds redevelopment project (which was in the works for 4 years but sabotaged by a group of GOP-backed NASCAR fans and others).

    Anyway, Bredesen is the better bet for 2012.  But it seems that the money people in Tennessee are aligned behind Corker and see him as a libertarian-esque spendthrift.  Corker is likely to face some opposition from the Tea Party for his vote in favor of the bank bailouts (TARP) and his weak stand on financial regulatory reform (flirting with Chris Dodd, then screwing up).  Corker's friends in the payday loan industry make him a really nasty guy, and the fact he's on the Banking Committee reflects that the GOP is morally bankrupt when it comes to matters of finance and economic justice.

    Of course, that makes him perfect for Tennessee.

    Stop clapping. Stop screaming. Open your mind. Listen.

    by Benintn on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 09:00:52 AM PST

    •  typo... 2014. (0+ / 0-)

      The smart money is that Lamar(!) Alexander will retire, Bredesen will run for Senate (and win), and Dean will have a heck of a dogfight against the Haslam/Tom Ingram/Corker machine.

      Stop clapping. Stop screaming. Open your mind. Listen.

      by Benintn on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 09:03:25 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Funny about the "Over for Anglos" comment (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    killjoy, James Allen

    regarding the census.  Maybe that's why the repubs here are going maximum overdrive to kill any and everything in the state that even smells like it would help normal people.  They want to get their licks in and create poison pill laws, rules, regulations, and blockages to keep thing the way they want regardless of who is in power in the future.

    Of course, a good number of these same repubs are hoping to bring about the Apocalypse so their "savior" will come and pull them from Earth during this lifetime.  It's the ultimate end game for the "I got mine, screw you" crowd.

    I support the troops! I want them to return home in something besides caskets and body bags. (-6.5,-4.1)

    by minidriver on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 09:49:36 AM PST

    •  Leaving only scorched earth, wrecked government, a (0+ / 0-)

      muntains of debt behind for the brown people is the GOP m.o. everywhere whites are or are becoming  the minority.  

      It's very much been the story in California, Florida, and Arizona for years.  Places that were minority majority all along - Hawaii and New Mexico- never got properly built up in the first place, just strip mined for everything they had.

      If you're wondering why Oklahoma has been becoming a high fortress of teh crazy lately, it's that the reactionary white wacktvists of Dallas and Fort Worth have seen the minority majority and Democratic takeovers coming for several years.  They've been telling each other to move to bedroom communities just across the Red River if they have to commute to work, or if they own businesses to move them to OKC if they can.  The Dallas oil patch crowd quietly owns the Oklahoma GOP (too) and that's Plan B for when the GOP loses the Texas Legislature sometime in the next 10 years.

  •  David, as for OR-01 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I just diaried it a few days ago and came up with a short list on both sides, including Starr.

    Or-01, The Lay of the Land

    I also give a description of the political geography of the district.

    So far the names I'm hearing on the Dem side are State Labor Commissioner Brad Avakian, a progressive former legislator from Beaverton, Suzanne Bonamici, a state senator representing Avakian's old district, and Brad Witt, a populist state rep from a rural part of the district, who also was the Secretary Treasurer of the Oregon AFL-CIO, works for UFCW, and used to be with IAMAW (Machinists and Woodworkers).

    "Intolerance is something which belongs to the religions we have rejected." - J.J. Rousseau

    by James Allen on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 11:07:57 AM PST

    •  Also- (0+ / 0-)

      Senator Starr was just re-elected, so he doesn't have to worry about his senate seat out in Hillsboro until 2014.  But in the 2009 session he accidentally created a big stir with a bill that would have regulated pit bull ownership, and put down any dogs that weren't insured and licensed.  Small government my ass.

      "Intolerance is something which belongs to the religions we have rejected." - J.J. Rousseau

      by James Allen on Tue Mar 01, 2011 at 11:15:50 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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