Skip to main content

Jessica King

Wisconsin Democrats have recruited a strong candidate to face Republican state Senator Randy Hopper in his upcoming recall election:

Jessica King, who was narrowly defeated in her bid for the 18th Senate seat by Republican Randy Hopper, will make a "special announcement" Wednesday, according to a press release from the Wisconsin Democratic Party.

The announcement will be made at noon April 13 at Beckets in Oshkosh. King is currently deputy major of Oshkosh and a City Council member.

Jessica King is the deputy mayor of Oshkosh, and only lost to Hopper by 163 votes in 2008. Since she previously ran against Hopper, she will start the campaign with higher name ID than she did in 2008. This is an advantage which has propelled many second-time challengers into office.

The organizing that went into the recall petition is another big advantage for King over 2008. Consider:

  • Democrats filed 23,946 recall petition signatures against Randy Hopper, giving them contact info for almost 24,000 strong anti-Hopper voters.
  • In 2008, the total vote count for state Senate in the Hopper-King race was 83,622 (PDF, page 9), putting the win number (50% +1) at 41,812.
  • Turnout in the recall election will be lower than in 2008, which featured a Presidential general election at the top of the ticket. So, the win number is going to be a lot less than 41,812.
  • If turnout in Wisconsin equals 2010 levels, the win number will be roughly 30,300, meaning Wisconsin Democrats have already signed up 79% of the voters they need to win.
  • If turnout in Wisconsin is equal to the recent Supreme Court election, the win number will be more like 20,750, meaning that Wisconsin Democrats have already signed up 115% of what they need to win the election.
Although there are few precedents on which to base such an estimation, it's a solid guess that recall election turnout will be somewhere between that of the Supreme Court contest and the 2010 midterms. As such, Democrats have signed up somewhere between 85% and 110% of the votes they need to win, allowing King to start the campaign on the brink of victory.

It's rare that a candidate can start an election having not only identified enough supporters to win the election, but also possessing the contact information of those supporters. Jessica King has exactly those advantages, and as such starts her rematch against Randy Hopper in a very strong position.

Originally posted to Daily Kos on Tue Apr 12, 2011 at 03:00 PM PDT.

Also republished by Badger State Progressive.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site