Skip to main content

1. As I've been saying all along, Mitt Romney is a terrible candidate and a bad politician. It is extraordinary he's come this far. But when you lose an election to two of the biggest jokes in electoral politics, you're clearly a complete disaster. Romney coasted along because he never got exposed. Well, he's been exposed.

2. He's likely not going to get a single delegate out of South Carolina, having lost every single congressional district and just about every county. It was about as complete and brutal of a beating as we've seen.

3. This election was important because it was in the base of the party. So far, Romney has lost the base in Iowa, and significant lost the heart of the party in South. If Romney thinks he can win a general election with upper income New England blue bloods and the Mormon vote, he's clueless. He's going to have to win over the GOP base. I see ways to do it, but I'm not going to tip my hand until I see Newt beyond Romney's reach.

4. The Romney Campaign is under pressure from the GOP establishment. Pressure is what usually makes campaign make errors. Some just can't handle it. It is up to the candidate to project calm and right the ship. Clearly they've fumbled and thrown several interceptions to boot. They need to throw out the playbook and redraw the chalkboard. But let me be clear: the GOP establishment will not tolerate Newt Gingrich under any circumstances. They'll do anything to stop him.

5. Newt was outspent heavily and still won. Why? Message still matters.

6. Romney going back to the "defense of capitalism" stuff is an almost surefire loser. Know why? Look at this graph of the Gallup moving average:

Romney was gaining points every single day right up to the top of that graph which is the date of his New Hampshire victory. Then...he suddenly just stopped growing. Even after winning a primary, albeit in his home state. Still...despite that victory, he just stopped growing. Why? Bain. Newt's Bain ad rolled out the day before the New Hampshire primary and stopped Romney in his tracks shortly thereafter. He just hit a brick wall, and then he started falling and Newt rose.

Don't let the media fool you. That ad worked and THEY KNOW IT. Newt definitely knows. I saw his SuperPac guy tonight and he hinted that they're going to return to it. Know why? It fucking worked. The GOP establishment is so afraid of the Bain attack being legitimized by bipartisan agreement that they'll do anything to shut it down. Like Maddow said, it is almost like him saying "here's my glass jaw...don't hit me there!"

The debates won this election for Newt, for sure. But it was the Bain ad that stopped Romney from running away with this election.

7. Romney's hiding something devastating in his taxes. Where there is smoke, there is almost always fire.

8. Newt is running for the nomination. Romney, cluelessly, is still running for the general election.

8:17 PM PT: A post from Erick Erickson at Redstate:

The other day, Dan McLaughlin explained who the GOP establishment is. That characterizes Mitt Romney’s base even in the exit polls. Unfortunately for him, the base of the party is at war with that precise group.

The buzz in Washington now is that the Republican Establishment fears Gingrich will cause them to lose the House and not get the Senate. Put another way, the current Republican leadership fears that the man who helped the GOP take back the House for the first time in 40 years and his allies in the tea party who helped take back the House in 2010 will cause the GOP to now lose.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

GainesT1958, Grassroots Mom, Ed in Montana, Angie in WA State, Ptolemy, nota bene, Trix, fcvaguy, Mogolori, Chi, itsbenj, tundraman, hester, BrooklynJohnny, teacherken, madmsf, alkatt, Bob Love, dengre, Shockwave, jdld, mslat27, verasoie, recentdemocrat, WI Deadhead, frisco, Christian Dem in NC, Delilah, bronte17, missLotus, sja, Ian S, fishwars, jalbert, revsue, Texknight, SneakySnu, tomephil, edrie, Dube, danthrax, American Zapatista, pat bunny, virginislandsguy, wdrath, Steven Payne, riverlover, econlibVA, Sembtex, Curt Matlock, tomjones, CanYouBeAngryAndStillDream, justmy2, rambler american, Gowrie Gal, rapala, CPT Doom, hanswall, vcmvo2, 3goldens, NoMoreLies, SherwoodB, citizenx, ChemBob, Beetwasher, majcmb1, Pam from Calif, Dem Beans, lotlizard, kaliope, Ekaterin, mightymouse, noweasels, begone, BachFan, MeMeMeMeMe, Cartoon Peril, fou, Lefty Coaster, OMwordTHRUdaFOG, middleagedhousewife, TayTay, thenekkidtruth, profh, Clive all hat no horse Rodeo, BB10, fiddlingnero, Stripe, nannyboz, duha, sea note, cpresley, BentLiberal, DBunn, Habitat Vic, camlbacker, Dartagnan, martucio, jeanette0605, Matt Z, suejazz, yg17, letsgetreal, jnhobbs, leonard145b, Empower Ink, JDWolverton, mconvente, TX Freethinker, LibrariAnne, Youffraita, bythesea, jakebob, jamess, tofumagoo, smartdemmg, icebergslim, Jeff Y, catly, doppler effect, statsone, squarewheel, oldliberal, satanicpanic, clent, BerkshireDem, Bule Betawi, WhizKid331, be the change you seek, Norm in Chicago, petral, geodemographics, uno beagle, Shelley99, Munchkn, sfarkash, Little Flower, catilinus, Lefty Ladig, BlueOak, smileycreek, Renie57, gramofsam1, on board 47, Polly Syllabic, ATFILLINOIS, gulfgal98, samanthab, Egalitare, NYWheeler, sharonsz, rja, ericlewis0, petesmom, cany, Actbriniel, slice, Onomastic, kerflooey, Dretutz, bgbrad, ultraviolet uk, freesia, Arkieboy, mrsgoo, smoothnmellow, floridablue, LSmith, worldlotus, toby esterhase, Vatexia, stlsophos, Lucy2009, DEMonrat ankle biter, left over flower child, isabelle hayes, Williston Barrett, Siri, We Won, IndieGuy, oldcrow, Lorinda Pike, Mr Robert, peachcreek, MartyM, doroma, cuphalffull, redstella, Vote4Obamain2012, bigrivergal, dotdash2u, Quasimodal, frustrated1, SwedishJewfish, Dallas L, Herodotus Prime, YoungArizonaLiberal, parsonsbeach

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site