John Kasich's not getting any more popular. 33% of voters approve of him to 53% who disapprove. Only a little more than half of Republicans think he's doing a good job (58/25), while Democrats (9/80) are almost universal in their disapproval. If voters could do the 2010 election over again they'd vote for Ted Strickland by a 20 point margin, 56-36, numbers that not coincidentally track closely with the Senate Bill 5 repeal result from last fall.I've long posited that unpopular wingnut governors in Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida would end up being some of the best allies of the Obama reelect effort. At least in Ohio, that much seems true.
Sherrod Brown continues to look like a strong favorite for reelection to the Senate from Ohio, leading Republican challenger Josh Mandel 47-36. The race has tightened a little bit though since PPP's last poll, which found Brown leading by a 49-34 spread.Brown is below 50 percent, so he's not out of the woods. But he's looking surprisingly spry for what was supposed to be one of the biggest GOP opportunities in 2012. Those numbers are particularly heartening since conservative groups like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Karl Rove's outfit have already spent millions attacking him.
So to recap, Ohioans hate their governor and wish they'd reelected the Democrat instead, they like their freshman senator enough to give him the big early lead, and they really really really don't like the GOP frontrunner, and give the Democratic president a solid and consistent lead.
Again, Republicans will spend hundreds of millions in attack ads, but none of those will make people like Romney or Kasich or Mandel any better. They can try to drag the Democrats in the muck, but thus far, it hasn't even worked against Sherrod Brown, a freshman senator who is far less defined than the president of the United States of America.
These are not good numbers for Republicans in what is a must-win state for them.