Skip to main content

We've learned two big lessons thus far this year: 1) Mitt Romney really sucks as a candidate, and 2) Nevada Republicans are (thus far) the most incompetent in the nation. Democratic pollster Mark Mellman explains just how bad they flubbed it:
[Nevada] Republicans missed a key opportunity to organize and grow their base. In part because of historic turnout in the 2008 Democratic caucus, Democrats transformed what was a nearly 6,000 person registration disadvantage in late 2006 into an advantage of almost 35,000 after the caucus. That momentum carried through to Election Day, by which time Democrats amassed a 100,000 person registration advantage. By comparison, Republicans have actually lost ground in the run up to their Caucus, as GOP registration declined by some 18,000 between November 2010 and January 2012.
Republican turnout in the Nevada caucuses fell from 44,324 in 2008 to 32,894 this year—meaning that John Freakin' McCain was exciting Republicans more than Mitt Romney and field. For a party that claims to be so fired up about beating President Barack Obama, they sure don't seem to be reflecting that sentiment at the polls.

In Nevada, GOP voter registration is down, voter turnout is down and party competence is down—it took Republicans two days to count those votes this year, while they were able to do it in one day in 2008 (with more votes to count).

The Nevada GOP is in trouble. They got a respite in 2010 because of national trends, but whether it's the drop in Latino support, or the drop in, er, everyone else's support, and given demographic trends in the state ... I'll say it now—Nevada will now, or by next election cycle, be as blue as California.

Originally posted to kos on Thu Feb 09, 2012 at 10:10 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site