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Surging from behind, Santorum has taken an impressive lead over Mitt Romney in the latest Public Policy Poll, achieving a 15% lead over previous leader Mitt Romney.  Santorum's momentum also shows up in Gallup's national poll, averaged over five days, putting him within two points of Romney, (see below.)

Real Clear Politics reports,

The survey from Public Policy Polling (D) shows Santorum with a sizable 39 percent to 24 percent lead. Texas Rep. Ron Paul comes in a distant third with 12 percent, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has 11 percent.

PPP (D) surveyed 404 Republican primary voters from Feb. 10-12. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

And, Survey USA reports a statistical tie in California in their latest poll of registered Republicans.
4 months to the California Primary, but fresh after caucus wins in Colorado and Minnesota and in Missouri's non-binding primary, Rick Santorum draws to within a whisker of nominal frontrunner Mitt Romney, 33% for Romney, 31% for Santorum, effectively even, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno.

Santorum leads Romney among seniors, among evangelicals, among pro-life voters, among Tea Party members, among those who say they are "very conservative," and in the Central Valley region of California.

Romney leads among women, among younger voters, among moderates, and among California's pro-choice Republican primary voters. But even among the most affluent voters, a typical Romney stronghold, Romney's advantage is just 4 points, 35% to Santorum's 31%.

Camp Romney appears to be stunned as this forebodes their worst nightmare, they had hoped marginal wins at CPAC, and maine would forestall -- more headlines about Santorum siezing the lead, and a possible tailspin of Romney support during the several week lull before the February 28 primaries in Michigan and Arizona.  Polls prior to Santorum's cuacus wins last week showed Romney leading by 28% in Arizona, and 15% in Michigan.

Today's Gallup Tracking Poll has Romney at 32% (down 2 from previous poll),  Gingrich, unchanged, at 16%, Paul at 8%, and Santorum improving his number by 3, at 30%.

Romney strategists has been reassuring their supporters that he will use his substantial cash advantage to neutralize Santorum in Michigan, however, skeptics wonder if this will be as easy as it was with Gingrich, and also point out the risk of backlash from fellow Republicans.  

A swing from Romney being up 15% in Michigan, to being 15% down over one week is a sizable challenge to Romney's claim of inevitability, and perhaps, even to being crowned the front-runner.

I can't wait to see poll updates from Arizona.  

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (8+ / 0-)

    The means is the ends in the process of becoming. - Mahatma Gandhi

    by HoundDog on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 10:55:41 AM PST

  •  Ah those surges of Santorum... nt (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    Today, strive to be the person you want to be.

    by GoGoGoEverton on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:01:54 AM PST

  •  Crazier and crazier... the the reptilican base (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog, dotsright

    is going medieval, if not Jurassic.

    May you live in interesting times--Chinese curse

    by oldcrow on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:05:04 AM PST

    •  That would be a great political ad, having (0+ / 0-)

      one of the candidate quoting from the Pulp Fiction, "I'm going to get medival on your ass!"

      Seems to fit Gingrich's style rather than Santorum's or Romney's -- but, I'm sure Romney's political ad manager has the tape running in his office, time to time, for inspiration.

      The means is the ends in the process of becoming. - Mahatma Gandhi

      by HoundDog on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:20:50 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

  •  Boy (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog, dotsright, kyril

    I hope Santorum doesn't get spread too thin on Super Tuesday.  

    This aggression will not stand, man.

    by kaleidescope on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:11:43 AM PST

  •  Dang, the AZ primary may actually be important... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog, kyril

    this year but now it's too late for me to re-register as a Rethug and vote for ol' frothy mix!

    Just another faggity fag socialist fuckstick homosinner!

    by Ian S on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:15:49 AM PST

  •  Money alone won't save MI for rMONEY (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    It may already be lost.

    I won't be surprised if Betsy DeVos and Saul Anuzis both announce they are supporting Santorum instead of the presumed "favorite son." DeVos has enough cash AND enough of a network that can very quickly become a "shovel ready" campaign organization which Santorum can ride to an upset victory.

    When you are right you cannot be too radical; when you are wrong, you cannot be too conservative. --Martin Luther King Jr.

    by Egalitare on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:27:35 AM PST

  •  Rmoney really shot himself in the foot (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    when he stated he'd "let the auto companies go bankrupt." Folks in Michigan have long memories and won't forget that he was willing to let our most important industry collapse.

    "George Washington: "The power under the Constitution will always be in the people.... and whenever it is executed contrary to their interest, or not agreeable to their wishes, their servants can, and undoubtedly will, be recalled." 1787

    by moose67 on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:46:43 AM PST

    •  Excellent point, which is why I was puzzled to see (0+ / 0-)

      Romney leading by 15% in previous polls of MI.

      The means is the ends in the process of becoming. - Mahatma Gandhi

      by HoundDog on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 12:24:33 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  Well - that poll is only within the GOP - right? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        HoundDog

        No one said they were smart.... and it means some people have decided Santorum is a better choice.  I can't explain the workings of the conservative mind.

        "George Washington: "The power under the Constitution will always be in the people.... and whenever it is executed contrary to their interest, or not agreeable to their wishes, their servants can, and undoubtedly will, be recalled." 1787

        by moose67 on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 12:28:44 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

  •  Santorum surges from behind, crests (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    Really. The headlines one could write, and how the biggest problem of Romney is finding a lower base to outflank and out crazy Santorum.  It was bad enough with Gingrich, except Gingrich is so vain and so lazy he tripped himself.

    Santorum will relish the new bully role and do it to himself as well.

    In the meantime Romney must be thinking what a twisted world the republicans are in needing every sick, mean, lousy and crazy idea affirmed before they kiss his ring.

    Oh wait, that's Santorum kissing the ring. On the finger, on the finger all you guys with your mind on the behind.

    He will never admit it to you, but in your heart you know he is just as fascinated with the body and as much in denial as any  closeted politician on the planet.

    If you think that you and a bunch of other people can just show up on Wall St, camp out and have any effect whatsoever.... well, you will be run off in 20 minutes., you will leave town having wasted your effort 6/18/11.

    by BeeDeeS on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 11:59:03 AM PST

  •  Chaos is Good (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    Thanks for the research.  Great job.  Chaos is always a good thing on the other side.

    "Bamboo Shadows Sweep the Stairs, but raise no dust." Traditional Zen Poem

    by VeganCoyote on Mon Feb 13, 2012 at 02:50:21 PM PST

  •  Not Sure Who I Want to Win (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    In the past, Romney has done the best against Obama among the GOP candidates; thus, I've rooted for someone other than Romney. But Romney has been such a poor candidate that I'm not sure whether I should start rooting against Santorum. May be Romney will end up being the weakest candidate against Obama. May I should start rooting for Paul and Newt, too and hope for a brokered convention.

  •  Santorum's campaign slogan for the general: (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    HoundDog

    I came from behind.

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