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I know I shouldn't get too worked up about political predictions but it has been bugging me for a long time that normally very good analysts (Charlie Cook, I'm talking to you) have rated the Hawaii senate race as a tossup. This is absurd just based on the location. Hawaii has elected 1 Republican senator in its admittedly short time in the Union. So we have a state in which every Senator has been Democratic since my parents were in college. Then you add on the fact that this is a presidential election year which will result in a higher turnout, especially for Democratic voters as they help the President and their favorite son win his second term.  Just for good measure lets throw in some amazingly good poll numbers.
Stop the madness and make this a safe Democratic seat.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Close call? Poll says 36 t0 56? That's weird. (0+ / 0-)

    I'm a good example of one of Hawaii's big problems. I lived out there for most of ten years. Oahu, mostly Kaneohe side. I used to go back every other year for a week or two. Till the economy went to crap. Now I can't afford it. I used to tell my kid, when you get old enough to really enjoy it, we're going to Hawaii. Now he's 16 and I don't mention it any more. I can barely afford to do stuff around here.

    I remember the conservatives way back then. "All these hippies are the problem." Hippies like me I guess, who worked 60 hours a week making jewelry to sell to the tourists. Till the tourists dropped off. Then I had to leave. I'm sure there are still millions of people who would love to visit the Aloha State. If they could afford it.

    Conservatives; stupid then, stupid now.  

    I think I'll stick with the smart guy.

    by PowWowPollock on Tue Feb 14, 2012 at 03:39:01 AM PST

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