OK, I admit it, I'm a bit of an Intrade nut. I check the site several times a day to see what the probability is for Obama's re-election, for Rubio to be Romney's VP pick, etc. I find that site more interesting than polls because people are putting their money where their mouth is and also the "wisdom of crowds" is usually pretty accurate.
Recently a market for Walker being recalled was added to the site. I first I had a sadz because it started out a point or two more probable than Obama being re-elected - like 61.7% for Walker winning the recall vs 60.1% for Obama being re-elected - and darn it, I want Obama to be re-elected and I don't want Walker to win the recall. But today Walker started dropping and dropping fast. About 61% this AM. Down to 57% at noon PDT. Now at 55%. Maybe someone's been indicted? The only thing I could find on Google is that WI SoS Democrat Doug La Follette has filed to run - is he that popular? On November 2, 2010, La Follette won re-election over challenger David King, a Milwaukee Republican, 52% to 48% - not exactly a blowout. What's going on?
BTW, if you're interested,Obama's been in a tight 59-61% range recently, currently 60.7%.