Skip to main content

LATE night last night for the Severe Weather Gang. (Somebody gave us a name last year-Weatherdude and his **. Anybody remember? Severe Weather Gang is a boring name.)

The threat has shifted both East and North-yesterday the SPC moderate area (15% chance) was mostly Wisconsin, and today the moderate area includes Minnesota. The Twin Cities metro area is on the edge of the 15% warned area. La Crosse is right in the middle of it.

More below the squiggle.

Edited 4:57pm Central And another watch posted, this time for eastern Missouri and Western Illinois.

Photobucket

Edited 4:38pm central- Another tornado watch area posted. So far these are all expected to have weaker storms-only a low chance of Ef2+ storms. This last one is for most of Arkansas:

Photobucket

Edited 4:19pm central-Multiple isolated tornadoes in western Minnesota/northeastern Nebraska, right around that arc of storms. The sun has just started popping out-not good timing.

Here is another screen grab from that wind site. I think I am addicted.

Photobucket

Edited 3:49pm central
New tornado watch area posted

Photobucket

Here is the most recent visible satellite image.

Photobucket

I've been watching a band of storms west and a bit north of Minneapolis and they are starting to throw off some rotating thunderstorms. Since most of the spc-warned area has not cleared off today, there hasn't been much chance for the atmosphere to heat and destabilize.

Hopefully that will keep any outbreaks isolated and weaker than yesterday's storms.

Edited 1:24pm Central-new TOR-CON levels. Ohio and Pennsylvania (I missed that one!) are out of the picture. Just the one tornado watch posted so far. Lots of night TOR CON levels again.

Sunday April 15
AR west, central - 4
AR east - 3 night
IA northeast - 7
IA northwest - 3
IA central, southeast - 5
IL northeast, central, southwest - 4
IL south - 3 to 4 night
IN northwest - 3 to 4
KY west - 3 night
LA northwest - 3 to 4
LA north, west - 3 night
MI upper - 3 to 4
MI lower - 3 to 4 night
MN southeast - 7
MN southwest - 4
MN east-central - 5
MO northeast, central, south - 4
MS northwest - 3 night
OK southeast - 3
TN west - 3 night
TX east - 3
WI southwest, west-central - 7
WI southeast, east-central - 4 to 5
WI north - 3 to 4
Other areas - less than 2

Edited 11:16am, Central time: the first tornado watch has been posted:

Photobucket

TOR CON levels so far-these will change, of course:

Sunday April 15
AR - 3
IA east - 6
IL north - 4
IL central, south - 3
IN northwest - 2 to 3
LA northwest - 3
MI upper - 3
MI west - 3
MN southeast - 6
MO east-central, south - 3
NY west - 2
OH northeast - 2
OK southeast - 3
PA northwest - 2
TX southeast - 4
TX rest of area east of I-35 - 3
WI southwest, west-central, central - 6
Other areas - less than 2

Original diary:

Before I get to the SPC maps, I want to show you the wind maps. Yesterday somebody posted a link to hint.fm/wind, which is a mesmerizing plot of wind speed and direction. I took screen caps at several points yesterday:

i wish I'd thought to get a morning shot, but I didn't think of it until 2pm:

04142012_2pm 90%

Here is 9am this morning:

Photobucket

And here is the SPC outlook for today, specifically for tornadoes:

Photobucket

Timing on this is late afternoon/early evening.

And please-no political comments. Start your own diary for those.

Originally posted to imonlylurking on Sun Apr 15, 2012 at 07:54 AM PDT.

Also republished by Severe Weather Liveblog.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site