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chart showing first-time benefit claims back to 2007
(Rachel Maddow Blog)
For the week ending June 9, seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits rose to 386,000, the Department of Labor reported Thursday. Analysts had expected claims to drop to 375,000 for the week.

The claims show continued weakness in the job market and hint that the government's next monthly jobs report likely will be no better than those of the past three months. That report will be released July 6.

Thursday's number is 6,000 more than the previous week's revised claims of 380,000, which were originally reported as 377,000. This makes three consecutive weeks that initial claims have been above 380,000. This week last year, seasonally adjusted first-time claims were 418,000.

The four-week running average preferred by most analysts because it flattens volatility in the weekly number was 382,000, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average of 378,500.

For all unemployment insurance programs, including the federal government's emergency extensions, there was a total of 5,824,739 people making claims for the week ending May 26, a decrease of 145,990 from the previous week.

These numbers are moving sharply downward as we get closer to September when the total number of weeks an individual can claim benefits falls from 99 weeks to 73 weeks in the worst hit states and 40 weeks in states with lower unemployment rates. Tens of thousands of jobless Americans are now exhausting their benefits each month without finding work. The last monthly job report showed 5.4 million Americans have been without work for at least 27 weeks.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Labor on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:05 AM PDT.

Also republished by ClassWarfare Newsletter: WallStreet VS Working Class Global Occupy movement, Progressive Hippie, German American Friendship Group, and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Worse than that (10+ / 0-)

    Not good for consumer spending going forward.

    But the biggest surprise to some (not ZH readers who were warned that 700,000 Are About To Lose Their Extended Jobless Claims Benefits), a massive 135K people fell off the Extended and EUC claims as the 99 week cliff hits more and more. Recall that last week 105K dropped of extended claims. This means that in the past two weeks alone 240,000 people no longer collect the last possible form government unemployment benefits, the most in a two week period since December 2010!.
    http://www.zerohedge.com/...

    Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable. - JFK

    by taonow on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:17:50 AM PDT

    •  As noted, tens of thousands of people... (12+ / 0-)

      ...are losing their benefits each months as we approach September. Worse yet, if nothing is done by Congress between now and December 31, some 3 million Americans will lose their unemployment benefits at year's end.

      Don't tell me what you believe, show me what you do and I will tell you what you believe.

      by Meteor Blades on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:30:04 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  EUC08 Errors Exposed (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HeyMikey, radical simplicity

      I have specific evidence, that shows that one of the reasons people have run out of aid TOO EARLY  is because the Federal Government screwed up the "implementation" of the "extended benefits'" laws and regulations affecting Determinations, Payments and Adjudication of EUC08.

      The US Department of Labor published this ERROR (among several others), in the UiPL 23-08+ EUC Implementation Guidelines (Q&A sections), that ALL States Nationwide have used, since 2008, and can be summed up in this example that California EDD has used to harm thousands and thousands of claimants  (A):

      A. "Pursuant to Department of Labor operating instructions, once a claim for an extension of EUC benefits is established, all benefits on that extension must be exhausted before an extension of EUC can be filed on a second unemployment claim."

      B. Code of Federal Regulations for Extended Benefits says: "§ 615.5 Definition of “exhaustee....The individual's Extended Benefit Account shall be terminated upon the occurrence of any such week, and the individual shall have no further right to any balance in that Extended Benefit Account."

      The DOL is supposed to COMPLY with this Administrative Law/Code of Federal Regulations, but this mistake I stumbled across, DOES NOT and all States have followed this INCORRECT "policy" that has SHORTED THE UNEMPLOYED of these "Emergency Designated Funds" (under the ARRA). I won an appeal based on this SERIOUS CONTRADICTION (B was upheld by Cali judges). I got back almost $3000 in denied benefits, and I am now FIGHTING the FEDS to REPAIR THIS $Billion+ MISTAKE that has harmed up to 4 million EUC08 claimants for YEARS (the HR4213/PL 111-205/Part Time Penalty "benefit year issue" many thousands have had is part of this ERROR too).

      I am very sad to also report, that it seems that the FEDS INTEND to try to cover this up, without refuting my evidence nor the standing decision from CUIAB Case A0-265448 10/20/11. My Recovery Fraud complaint DOL RATB-2011-DOL-9DF2506-O is being ignored.

      The DETAILED evidence is all here:
      Facebook Investigate the EUC08 Errors
      http://www.facebook.com/...

      If this harm, waste, denial and fraud, by the US GOVERNMENT is repaired, not only does a LARGE SUM of AID get pumped right back into the economy, BUT ALSO, the "Unemployment Rate" will have to be "re-examined"  and the "three-month-look-back triggers" might get TURNED BACK ON in many States that lost these benefits, as people ran out of aid too early and stopped being "counted" (last 20 weeks of 99).

  •  Have we blamed the repubs loud enough yet... (5+ / 0-)

    you know the old saying

    Lead, follow, or get out of the way.

    Repubs, we won the presidential election so we are leading. You can either follow, making suggestions if you like. But... GET OUT OF THE WAY or face eviction in Novenber.

    Constitutions should consist only of general provisions; the reason is that they must necessarily be permanent, and that they cannot calculate for the possible change of things. Alexander Hamilton (1755-1804) Just A Real Nice Guy, thinking out loud.

    by arealniceguy on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:18:36 AM PDT

  •  Romney has asked (7+ / 0-)

    the people to sacrifice the middle class to appease the job creators.  50/50 chance they will.  

    I'm from the Elizabeth Warren and Darcy Burner Wing of the Democratic Party!

    by TomP on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:54:17 AM PDT

  •  I wonder if seasonal adjustments explains this? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Supavash, helpImdrowning

    The first time claims are NOT seasonally adjusted, I believe.  Yet, here in June, I imagine we're seeing many claims related to the end-of-school year, as support staff are laid off for the summer. That is, do we usually see a higher level of first-time claims in June than other months.

    Otherwise, this somewhat mystifies me. Challenger Gray reports have not had big numbers of mass layoffs. I get that companies aren't hiring as much, but where are these high numbers for first-time unemployment claims coming from? Who is firing / laying off to cause this?

    Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866

    by absdoggy on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 06:59:41 AM PDT

    •  Why do you believe (incorrectly) that the... (6+ / 0-)

      ...claims are not seasonally adjusted? For the previous five years, there has been no surge in first-time claims at this time of year.

      Don't tell me what you believe, show me what you do and I will tell you what you believe.

      by Meteor Blades on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 08:21:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Didn't know this, ty. Mystifies me even more (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Glen The Plumber

        Perhaps I am insulated here in Hampton Roads, VA with the military and DOD spending propping us up, but I just wonder where the loss of jobs is coming from. Are we just churning small business jobs faster and faster?

        Liberalism is trust of the people tempered by prudence. Conservatism is distrust of the people tempered by fear. ~William E. Gladstone, 1866

        by absdoggy on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 08:37:08 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I don't know if there is a site (0+ / 0-)

      That aggregates the WARN Act filings but if you were to Google WARN Act and the state name you can find listings of hundreds (in some cases thousands) of jobs disappearing now or in the weeks and months from now.

      Many of the layoffs are small but these layoffs have a cascading affect that bleeds into nearby businesses - if the business was shutting down, suppliers and resellers if the business is paring down, etc.

      Though it should be noted that millions of small businesses are not subject to this Act.

  •  chart's recent weeks: trend increasing! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Supavash, squarewheel

    I hope this trend breaks and goes back to declining next week.

    The most important way to protect the environment is not to have more than one child.

    by nextstep on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:05:44 AM PDT

  •  Austerity and Europe (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    radical simplicity

    The Teapublicans have snuffed out government support of the economy, and the loss of confidence and financial security among European customers of US and Chinese manufacturers has taken care of the rest.  Without serious intervention I fear we're headed back into a recession.

  •  Any public sector/private sector breakdown? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    radical simplicity, belzaboo

    Everything on other data seems to indicate that private employers are actually hiring, too slowly but enough to more than balance their layoffs -- but public employee layoffs are swamping that. We need to keep hammering on that and not allow the Republicans to keep lumping them together with a narrative that "Obama is destroying business / job creators."

  •  4-week avg. is more indicative of trend(s)... (7+ / 0-)

    ...and that's getting significantly uglier, too. Stating the obvious: this is pretty bad news.

    "I always thought if you worked hard enough and tried hard enough, things would work out. I was wrong." --Katharine Graham

    by bobswern on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 09:51:35 AM PDT

  •  MB looks like a bottom may be starting (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sunny skies

    on your  chart.

    One thing that has my attention is the recent double dip recession hitting up to 12 countries, and could that, or when will that effect the US economy?

    Thoughts?

    FDR 9-23-33, "If we cannot do this one way, we will do it another way. But do it we will.

    by Roger Fox on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:40:51 AM PDT

    •  Depends on Europe... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      radical simplicity

      If the euro zone breaks up, or stays together via an austerity deal that pushes Europe deeper into recession, Europe will buy a lot less American stuff, which will hurt America's economy even if we do everything right.

      And obviously we're far from doing everything right.

      A lot also depends on the terms of whatever deal gets cut to address the pending "taxmageddon" spending-sequester-and-tax-increase. And I think there will be some deal, but probably not till after the election.

      "The true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals." - Barack Obama

      by HeyMikey on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 01:56:40 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Everybody in the universe can go fuck themselves (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Jerry J

    I just thought I'd put that out there. Present company excepted, OF COURSE.

    This just sucks. I don't like this. Fuck this.

  •  Nice timing. who engineered THIS? (0+ / 0-)
    These numbers are moving sharply downward as we get closer to September when the total number of weeks an individual can claim benefits falls from 99 weeks to 73 weeks in the worst hit states and 40 weeks in states with lower unemployment rates.
    Or need I ask?

    Oregon: Sure...it's cold. But it's a damp cold.

    by Keith930 on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:30:20 PM PDT

  •  Not a surprise, but sad (0+ / 0-)

    This is when the massive cuts in state and local budgets are cleaving people out of their "government" jobs.

    The 27k being cut from HP won't be in this count, but will probably be in the next one. Most of the teachers being laid off will be applying for benefits next week and the week after, since school just ended in most of the country, and you have to wait a certain number of days before filing. I've seen several posts on facebook and elsewhere from teachers saying goodbye to their jobs. I imagine, when the next round of numbers comes out, we'll see an absolute bloodbath.

    I feel terrible for the people getting whacked. The process of acclimation to life without income is deeply stressful.

  •  Romney Will Slash "Unemployment" By Cutting UI (0+ / 0-)

    By making unemployment invisible he will claim a propaganda victory

    There’s always free cheddar in a mousetrap, baby

    by bernardpliers on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:41:53 PM PDT

    •  Reagan tried that with state mental hospitals (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      JesseCW

      Funny thing though...as the number of mentally ill in state facilities decreased, the homeless population increased.

      It's called squeezing the balloon.

      Oregon: Sure...it's cold. But it's a damp cold.

      by Keith930 on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:46:34 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I've got an idea. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    JesseCW

    Now let’s try the bottom-up idea. Instead of ’rescuing’ the richest &%#!@$^* in the world, then waiting for all of that to trickle down, How about DIRECTLY HELPING the unemployed (the only way possible, now that the super-rich have their books balanced and have no incentive to participate in a real-world economy) with government sponsored (as were/are the tax-cuts for the rich) DIRECT EMPLOYMENT PROGRAMS.
    We’ve noticed (over the last 35 or so years) that sending money to the top hasn’t worked. I know I’m not the only one who thinks that sending those same trillions to the bottom of the economy would have already pulled us out of this downward economic death-spiral. I wish they would at least humor the idea of sending some trillions to the bottom of the economy, just to see if the idea would work as well as progressives have been saying for the last 3 or 4 decades.

    •  The CCC was the most popular of all new (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Mike Taylor

      deal programs, surpassing even Social Security.

      For what we spent in "stimulus", we could have provided 8 million good jobs for 2 years, or 4 million for 4 (probably better policy).

      “The administration should be worried about the level of despair here.” ~Markos Moulitsas at NN12

      by JesseCW on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:47:01 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Until recently, I figured that Obama was likely (5+ / 0-)

    to win a second term in office. I'm starting to have my doubts. It looks to me as though Brand Obama has reached the end of its useful life for the corporatists and now they seem ready to discard him in favor of Brand Romney. I expect Romney to outspend Obama and, if this turns out to be the case, he'll more than likely win - especially if the Euro crisis worsens.

    "I wish I could tell you, in the midst of all of this, that President Obama was waging the kind of fight against these draconian Republican proposals that the American people would like to see. He is not." -- Senator Bernie Sanders

    by Sagebrush Bob on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:51:57 PM PDT

    •  it's truly the economy (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Sagebrush Bob

      I don't think that the spending will make that much difference, I really don't.

      but when the economy nose dives, as it will, people will think that giving Romney a chance is worth it.

      They're going to suffer, but I've notice that for the last 30 years they've enjoyed the suffering and keep voting for more of it.

      oh well...

      and if Obama gets elected, we get to look forward to the grand bargain to begin dismantling SS and medicare.

      It'll just happen faster if Romney gets in.

      big badda boom : GRB 080913

      by squarewheel on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:26:30 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He'll win, but he'll win by default. (0+ / 0-)

      I expect he'll take it by 4-5%, and that he'll take it with 6 million fewer votes than he got last time.

      This, of course, will be sold to us as a ringing endorsement of his decision to govern 10 degrees to the right of how he campaigned.

      “The administration should be worried about the level of despair here.” ~Markos Moulitsas at NN12

      by JesseCW on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:48:27 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I'm not so sure anymore. (0+ / 0-)

        Between the state of the economy and the money rolling in for Romney (combined with Romney's willingness to say ANYTHING if he thinks it will get him elected), I'm starting to think that an Obama victory will be an upset.

        I'm in a battleground state and I've been getting repeated Romney robocalls telling bald faced lies about how much more Obama is supposedly spending on his campaign than Romney and seeing lots of bullshit ads on TV quite a bit already.

        Also, a lot of former Obama supporters I know are either lukewarm about him or, like me, have no intention of voting for him.

        Hell, I voted for Reid because he ran against that nutjob Sharron Angle but I'm not sure I could even bring myself to do that again. I sense that I'm not alone in that opinion here.

        Of course, I've been wrong before so I could be wrong this time too.

        "I wish I could tell you, in the midst of all of this, that President Obama was waging the kind of fight against these draconian Republican proposals that the American people would like to see. He is not." -- Senator Bernie Sanders

        by Sagebrush Bob on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:57:25 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Are there no (0+ / 0-)

    prisons bridges in dire need of repair?
    Are there no workhouses water-mains breaking daily because they have worn out?

    Are there no sane Republicans in congress?

    I'd rather be a "Tree-hugger" than a "Planet-raper" and a Destroyer of Worlds -- But I'm funny that way. I want a living Earth, not just a living room.

    by Anthony Page aka SecondComing on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 07:57:21 PM PDT

  •  Maybe... (0+ / 0-)

    all those RICH JOB CREATORS should start ...uh, I dunno... creating jobs?

  •  This is not good......frown.... (0+ / 0-)

    What the hell is going on....after months and months of growth all of a sudden the wheels come off.

    I know there is a conspiracy to not hire by companies but this is just awful, there needs to be mometum because the only true opening that idiot-fake Romney has is an opening to beat the President up on jobs and a future outlook.

    We cant trust America to blame the real job killers, the GOP to accept the blame for stalling....they will stick it to President Obama no matter what.

    The President should have worked on jobs.....more than healthcare.....and yes I know that the Affordable Care Act is not bad legislature but it costs us so much....with no gains....nothing but a target and with the SC it could mean nothing.....its...jobs....jobs....jobs that what Dummy Citizens will act on and a feeling of if Obama is flailing against the GOP why not just go back to them....yuck, yuck....yuck!!!

    "Alan Grayson is my hero", alnc 11/3/10!!

    by alnc on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 09:54:06 PM PDT

    •  There is no "Conspiracy". There's this thing (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      wsexson

      called "Capitalism".

      The way it works is that if scared desperate workers will go flat-out for peanuts, if they will work off the clock, and if the job market is so depressed you can pick and chose the best of the best....

      you don't need as many workers.  

      If you don't need them, you don't hire them.  Capitalism is a system that rewards screwing every employee just as hard as they will let you.

      How can you sit here and call people "Dummy Citizens" because their highest priority is whether or not they can pay the rent and buy food?

      Can't you understand that it's not stupid for 99% of the people to put food and shelter before medical care?  Unless they're in an extreme medical emergency, we're just talking about Maslow's basic hierarchy of need here.

      They're not "Dummies".  They're people who got fucked over.

      “The administration should be worried about the level of despair here.” ~Markos Moulitsas at NN12

      by JesseCW on Thu Jun 14, 2012 at 10:53:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Already lost my benefits 7 months ago (0+ / 0-)

    And still no job for me.  I try not to feel too ashamed when I pull out my food benefits card at the grocery and I have a masters degree.  

  •  The other ugly thing about that graph is.... (0+ / 0-)

    We controlled the House and Senate those last two years under bush.  We passed his so called budgets.... I'm ashamed to say the President Obama voted yes on those votes when he was a Senator.   We can only hope the right doesn't figure that out and start broadcasting that all over faux news.

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