Here are the updated districts in my "Outlook" series. I used the Cook PVI on the registration numbers and election results. Averaging these numbers gave PF's that are mostly Republican-leaning, as most of these districts voted more Republican than the state. They all voted more Republican than the state in the Senate race, and all but one did so in the governor race.
U.S. House
District |
Registration |
CPVI |
2010 Sen. |
2010 Gov. |
PF |
CA-03
|
R+3.3
|
D+2.8
|
R+6.3
|
R+3.0
|
R+2.5
|
CA-07
|
R+9.1
|
R+0.9
|
R+9
|
R+4.1
|
R+5.8
|
CA-09
|
R+4.4
|
D+4.3
|
R+3.8
|
R+2.2
|
R+1.5
|
CA-16
|
D+0.2
|
D+5.2
|
R+7.2
|
R+2.6
|
R+1.1
|
CA-21
|
R+0.6
|
R+0.7
|
R+11.1
|
R+4.8
|
R+4.3
|
CA-24
|
R+6.9
|
D+4.3
|
R+6
|
R+6.5
|
R+3.8
|
CA-26
|
R+6.0
|
D+4.0
|
R+6.3
|
R+7.3
|
R+3.9
|
CA-36
|
R+10.0
|
R+2.1
|
R+10.2
|
R+10.2
|
R+8.1
|
CA-41
|
R+3.6
|
D+5.9
|
R+1.6
|
R+0.3
|
D+0.1
|
CA-46
|
R+0.4
|
D+6.3
|
R+0.3
|
R+1.5
|
D+1.0
|
CA-47
|
R+1.2
|
D+6.3
|
R+1
|
R+2.1
|
D+0.5
|
CA-52
|
R+11.2
|
D+2.5
|
R+9.2
|
R+11.0
|
R+7.2
|
State Senate (odd-numbered districts)
District |
Registration |
CPVI |
2010 Sen. |
2010 Gov. |
PF |
SD-05
|
R+8.0
|
D+0.6
|
R+8.8
|
R+6.0
|
R+5.6
|
SD-19
|
R+1.6
|
D+7.9
|
R+2.2
|
R+3.4
|
D+0.2
|
SD-27
|
R+5.4
|
D+4.7
|
R+5.7
|
R+7.2
|
R+3.4
|
SD-31
|
R+6.2
|
D+3.8
|
R+5.4
|
R+4.0
|
R+3.0
|
SD-39
|
R+3.8
|
D+8.6
|
R+2.0
|
R+3.8
|
R+0.3
|
State Assembly
District |
Registration |
CPVI |
2010 Sen. |
2010 Gov. |
PF |
AD-08
|
R+8.2
|
EVEN
|
R+7.9
|
R+3.0
|
R+4.8
|
AD-16
|
R+5.0
|
D+8.3
|
R+2.8
|
R+3.9
|
R+0.8
|
AD-21
|
R+1.6
|
D+2.2
|
R+8.9
|
R+5.7
|
R+3.5
|
AD-32
|
D+2.1
|
D+0.3
|
R+9.6
|
R+11.1
|
R+4.6
|
AD-40
|
R+9.0
|
D+0.2
|
R+8.4
|
R+6.3
|
R+5.9
|
AD-44
|
R+8.4
|
D+2.5
|
R+8.2
|
R+9.5
|
R+5.9
|
AD-60
|
R+10.1
|
R+1.1
|
R+10.7
|
R+9.2
|
R+7.8
|
AD-61
|
R+2.8
|
D+8.7
|
R+0.1
|
D+1.1
|
D+1.7
|
AD-65
|
R+9.7
|
R+1.9
|
R+10.6
|
R+11.2
|
R+8.4
|
AD-66
|
R+7.1
|
D+2.8
|
R+6.4
|
R+7.5
|
R+4.6
|