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The NY primary for federal offices Tuesday chose a GOP candidate to oppose Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, and several notable Congressional candidates, mostly Dems from the city.

Very low turnout, which means the base usually won.

Good, IMHO.

Wingnut Wendy Long, the most conservative candidate, natch, won the GOP US Senate primary easily over two regional candidates. Long is a wealthy Manhattan lawyer who clerked for Clarence Thomas, worked to get John Roberts and Samuel Alito onto the Supreme Court, and advised Romney in 2008 and 2012.

Long can raise some money from her wingnut welfare network, which will be wasted when she barely breaks 40 in November.

Gillibrand has many advantages -- name recognition, a blue state in a presidential election year, a remarkable record in her three-plus years in the Senate, pro-choice and pro-marriage equality, solid fund-raising, a steadily growing national profile, and opposition to the unpopular-in-NY Romney/House-teabagger program to comfort the comforted and afflict the afflicted.

Plus she is attractive, intelligent, hard-working, and extremely impressive in person and on TV.  

Gillibrand would have landslided the other possible GOP candidates in November too, but beating Long will be special.

Thoughts on other races, below.  

The other federal offices on the primary ballot were Congressional races -- good news there too.

NY-4 -- The Nassau GOP machine candidate won by 10. Eight-term Democratic Congresswoman Carolyn McCarthy beat the machine guy by 8 in the tea-party wave year.

NY-6 -- (Roughly Gary Ackerman's district, open seat) Grace Meng, an Asian-American Assemblymember, won by 20-plus. Meng will be the first Asian-American elected to Congress from NY, and a reliable Democrat.

NY-7 -- Nine-term Democratic Rep. Nydia Velazquez beat a tool of the Brooklyn Democratic boss like a drum. Several Brooklyn Kossacks (Scott, Michael, Elana, etc.) helped.

NY-8 -- (Roughly Ed Towns' district, open seat) This got some national wingnut media attention, because they really, really wanted an anti-semitic former Black Panther to be a Democratic candidate for Congress. Didn't happen, by more than 3-1. Hakeem Jeffries will be much better than Towns.

NY-13 -- Overcoming lots of mostly-earned negative attention in the media, Charlie Rangel won by about 6. Second-place finisher Adriano Espaillat will certainly try again, and Rangel is 82.

NY-18 -- Late-entry Democrat Sean Maloney won by 16. He can raise money, and will be an active challenger to teabagging Nan Hayworth.

NY-19 -- Julian Schreibman won the Dem nomination by about 3-2. He has an even chance against incumbent Chris Gibson, mostly because the former NY-20 is now the much more Dem-friendly NY-19.

NY-21 -- A tea party type was creamed by 2010 loser Matt Doheny. But Democratic Rep. Bill Owens remains the most endangered NY Congressional incumbent.

NY-22 -- Another tea party type, this one challenging 2010 lucky rich guy Richard Hanna, gets clocked, by 70-30.

NY-23 -- Nate Shinigawa easily won the Dem primary to face incumbent Tom Reed in November. The Massa meltdown still lingers here, I fear.

NY-27 -- Also too, tea party favorite David Bellavia again fails to win a primary, 3-2 Tuesday. Kathy Hochul won a special for roughly this seat in May 2011 (after the tea party wave) by attacking her opponent for being a Republican who wants to gut Medicare and Social Security. She must do that again.

So, Wingnut Wendy wins, yet most other very conservative/tea party types like her lose by a lot in GOP primaries.

The Dems avoid a Barron embarrassment, and primary-elect solid candidates in every other Congressional race.

The Republicans primary-elect same-old, same-old establishment types, who will not inspire many tea-party activists to door-knock or phone-call in October.

Tuesday was a great night for NY Dems.

Both in the Dem and the GOP primary results.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Interesting... (9+ / 0-)

    that the Tea Partier got crushed so bad against Hanna, when he was the guy (for Kossacks who don't follow all this stuff every single day) who said women should donate their money to the Democratic Party.  :-)

    Any thoughts on Occupy candidate George Martinez in NY-07, who looks like he'll finish with 3% of the vote?  There were comments in the liveblog that said he wasn't all that he seemed.

    I know some Kossacks were behind Becker in NY-18... is everyone going to solidify behind Maloney to defeat Hayworth?

    •  Re: NY-07 (8+ / 0-)

      From what I've heard, the incumbent is very progressive, which would probably sap the strength out of an Occupy-related challenge. Any accusations that said Occupier was in it for himself (which were made) would therefore take serious answering.

      Male, 22, -4.75/-6.92, born and raised TN-05, now WI-02, remorseless supporter of Walker's recall. Pocan for Congress and Baldwin for Senate!

      by fearlessfred14 on Tue Jun 26, 2012 at 11:13:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Re: George Martinez (7+ / 0-)

      My one thought is WTF did he bother.

      Particularly if he had vetting problems, that do not matter now.

      Re: NY-18 -- the voters spoke, and Maloney is an impressive candidate.

      Friends of Becker and Alexander may, naturally, be disappointed by Tuesday's result, but hopefully they will come to see the larger picture -- Hayworth is very vulnerable; Maloney is our candidate now; and he needs/deserves the support of every active Democrat in NY-18.

      A public option for health insurance is a national priority.

      by devtob on Tue Jun 26, 2012 at 11:24:58 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Re: Maloney (8+ / 0-)

      This resident of NY-18, plus a helluva lot of Dems I know will be coalescing behind Maloney.  Back in 2006, we had a hard-fought primary here.  The winner, John Hall, went on to defeat a 7-term incumbent.  I sure hope we can unite to defeat Taliban Nan.

      Ultimately, the only thing that matters with respect to preserving choice is who will be nominating the next Supreme Court Justices.

      by Its the Supreme Court Stupid on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 01:28:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Re NY-07, (8+ / 0-)

      the only reason anyone was challenging Velazquez is because she has aroused the vengeful ire of the Kings County Democratic Chair, Vito Lopez. And how did she do that? By forcefully supporting the Superfund designation for the Gowanus Canal, a body of water as polluted as Lopez is corrupt. Her main opponent, Dilan, was transparently seen as Lopez' stalking horse.

      If Martinez were really representing OWS, he could have chosen far better targets than the reliably very progressive Velazquez. We have plenty of lazy, corrupt machine Dems in Brooklyn.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 06:43:43 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Bill Owens has been a loyal democrat (13+ / 0-)

    I still remember him casting that very big vote for health care right after winning a special election in 2009. He deserves our support and he deserves reelection. His district was one where no democrat had previously won for about, roughly, a million years.

    The definition of INSANITY: Voting Republican over and over and over and expecting the economy to get better.

    by pollbuster on Tue Jun 26, 2012 at 11:00:33 PM PDT

  •  I'm afraid Citizens United will be a factor (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    devtob, majcmb1, weck

    devtob:

    Gillibrand would have landslided the other possible GOP candidates in November too, but beating Long will be special.
    I am really afraid that Citizen United has tilted the playing field and unlimited money can change the election.

    In Hawaii the former Repugnants governor will most-likely be the Repugnants candidate for U.S.Senate.  The U.S. Chamber of Commerce has spend $500,000 which goes a very long way in our small media market.  I am afraid the money will change her chances since she left with low polling numbers.  

    •  Gillibrand has plenty of bucks to her (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      4mygirls, devtob, Andrew C White, weck

      own, good recognition, and an attractive candidate to boot.
      Money can sway when minds haven't been made up, but here it's likely to be wasted.

      Necessity is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.-- Wm.Pitt the Younger

      by JeffSCinNY on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:55:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Not a chance. (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, Albanius, Andrew C White, weck

      Not only is Gillibrand hugely popular, especially downstate for her work on women's and LGBT issues, she is a fundraising demon.

      In fact, I am so confident of her victory that I haven't sent her any money, preferring to put my limited resources into races where funding really will be an issue.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 06:48:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Gillibrand won in 2010 too (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, weck, lina

      in a special election against CU money. CU may have tilted the playing field, but a Senator as popular as Gillibrand in a blue state, or Klobuchar in a purple state, is still essentially safe. Corporations that want to take down a purple state progressive will pour money into the slightly winnable Ohio race instead.

      Male, 22, -4.75/-6.92, born and raised TN-05, now WI-02, remorseless supporter of Walker's recall. Pocan for Congress and Baldwin for Senate!

      by fearlessfred14 on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 09:36:02 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Wingnut Wendy. love it. n/t (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    devtob, weck

    Still trying to think of something thought-provoking or hilarious for this space.

    by LuLu on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:00:18 AM PDT

  •  I'm so thrilled Nydia won. (7+ / 0-)

    Not only because she's a fantastic Congresswoman in her own right, but because it's another setback for county boss Vito Lopez.

    Fuck me, it's a leprechaun.

    by MBNYC on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:07:45 AM PDT

  •  This comment caught my eye this morning- (7+ / 0-)

    from a local paper article about Wendy Long

    I'm a registered Republican that chose not to vote in this election for the first time in many years.

    We need to send a message to the state GOP leaders that we will not tolerate the jokes that they've been giving us to go against the incredible lightweight Gillibrand.

    Any competent,well known candidate that could have generated even a little enthusiasm would have had a great shot at knocking off Gillibrand, who has quietly become the most liberal Senator based on her voting record.

    Now we'll be forced to watch as she spends an insurmountable bankroll and steamrolls another hapless GOP sacrificial lamb.
     

    Send a message by not voting, brilliant, tell all your republican friends!

    Oh for crying out loud!

    by 4mygirls on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:18:31 AM PDT

    •  Maybe the state GOP leaders know something (5+ / 0-)

      the writer doesn't?

      Such as, whether you like her positions or not, Gillibrand is no lightweight. She's politically adept and a very formidable fundraiser.

      Also, what "competent,well known candidate" could this person possibly have in mind? All the ones I know, are not competent.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 06:57:21 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Numerous republicans at the poll (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Deejay Lyn, weck, lina, devtob

      I worked at yesterday came in asking who were these people they were supposed to vote for. They had no idea and no enthusiasm for any of them. It's a shame because they came in wanting to participate in the process but completely discouraged by it. As a partisan Democrat I love seeing discouraged Republicans but as someone who believes in the democratic process I think it sucks.

      "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

      by Andrew C White on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 09:44:44 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Maybe she just could not pull the trigger (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob

      It has to be disheartening to have nut cases run and maybe this is the push needed to switch parties.

  •  NY-18 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LI Mike, weck, lina

    So, now we get to choose between a teabagger and a carpetbagger. Isn't that special.

    Hige sceal þe heardra, heorte þe cenre, mod sceal þe mare, þe ure mægen lytlað

    by milkbone on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:46:15 AM PDT

  •  I voted for Jefferies but don't really know much (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sidnora, devtob, weck, lina

    about him other than he wasn't Charles Barone...which is why I voted for Jefferies

    So now that I have opted for the mystery package  what did I get?  

    Until now I was (always) represented by Nadler...  am I going to be disappointed?

     not many republicans in my polling center came out to vote...  over 3 times as many Democrats voted then republicans.  I figure the idea of going from Nadler to Charles Barone was enough to get Democrats out of their apts and down to the voting room, for a Primary...to make sure the Dem candidate was Jefferies and NOW I hope that I will not be disappointed by the person who will probably end up being my NEW Congressman because I haven't had a NEW Congress rep in like ummm (checks calender) forever  :)

    "You've got to be an optimist to be a Democrat, and a humorist to stay one" - Will Rogers

    by KnotIookin on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 04:50:16 AM PDT

    •  If you're used to being (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, stevenaxelrod, weck, lina

      represented by Nadler, yes, you'll be disappointed. Nadlers, unfortunately, don't grow on trees. OTOH, most of your new district was previously represented by Ed Towns, and for those folks, Jeffries will be a considerable improvement.

      Jeffries is competent, energetic and progressive, but he is tied to Vito Lopez.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 07:01:23 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  ed towns old district and my part of nadlers (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        weck, devtob, sidnora

        old district have different issues...   happy towns old constituents will get a better rep but my part of 'town' will feel the loss of nadler.

        I wonder if nadler is going to move his district office, it is now on the Jeffries side of the new district divide.

        "You've got to be an optimist to be a Democrat, and a humorist to stay one" - Will Rogers

        by KnotIookin on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 09:17:54 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  I went to law school... (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, stevenaxelrod, Deejay Lyn, weck

      ...with Jeffries.  He was a class behind me and although I did not know him directly, we had several friends in common.  I did attend one campaign fundraiser of his.

      He was always a bright guy and clearly had political ambitions.  He has had a very good record as an Assemblyman.  He was the sponsor of the bill to curtain stop and frisk, and has been a primary proponent of ending "prison based gerrymandering" whereby prisoners are counted as residents of their prison community, not their home community.

      The one thing I do not like is that he appears to be very pro-funding of private education, including parochial schools.

      But overall, he is very smart, progressive on most issues, and has proven to be an effective legislator.  The people of Brooklyn will be well represented.

      If missiles were falling where my two daughters sleep, I would do everything in order to stop that. -- President Barack Obama

      by JPhurst on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 08:45:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Thanks for the run down (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sidnora, devtob, weck

    CD#1's incumbent Dem, Tim Bishop, is up against outsourcer Randy Altschuler, and the money on Altschuler's behalf is immense.  

    •  I worked in NY-1 in 2010, (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, weck

      and I may end up going out there some again this year. Bishop will need $$, no doubt of that, but my hunch is that if Altschuler couldn't beat him in the Tea Party Wave election, with a huge money advantage, he's not going to succeed this time, either.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 07:05:56 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Gibson (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    devtob, Andrew C White, weck

    You really think the Dems have a shot here?  Hoping.

  •  I have to ask what is meant by this: (0+ / 0-)
    NY-6 -- (Roughly Gary Ackerman's district, open seat) Grace Meng, an Asian-American Assemblymember, won by 20-plus. Meng will be the first Asian-American elected to Congress from NY, and a reliable Democrat.
    "reliable Democrat"

    What did you have in mind as far as reliable, or as to not reliable? Any examples?

    H'mm. I'm not terribly into this, anymore.

    by Knarfc on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 08:18:02 AM PDT

  •  Do you think Owens is more endangered than (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    devtob, weck

    Hochul?

    His district hardly changed party ID. Hers got a lot more R. And do you think Louise Slaughter is really endangered? Emily's List put her in the top three for support--along with challengers Tammy Duckworth and Val Demings, who're going after Deadbeat Dad Joe Walsh and Taliban Dan Webster respectively.

    •  No, Hochul is easily the most endangered Dem (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      devtob, Deejay Lyn, weck, lina

      which is a shame because she has done a good job. Owens is probably a rather distant second to her in terms of being endangered.

      "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

      by Andrew C White on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 09:08:35 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Is Bellavia on the Conservative line for NY27? (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        devtob, Andrew C White, lina

        Kathy would again benefit from splitting the R's and might be able to win again. Collins has popularity issues, and is self funded, Bellavia popular in large rural parts of district, but has little name recognition.

        The R that is my partner, didn't even bother to vote yesterday, and he is an avid consumer of RWMedia.

        If love could have saved you, you would have lived forever.

        by weck on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 10:04:56 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Just checked (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          weck, lina, devtob

          Collins has the Con line. Someone named Megan Lavin has the Independence line however while Hochul has the WFP line.

          http://hosted.ap.org/...

          "Do what you can with what you have where you are." - Teddy Roosevelt

          by Andrew C White on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 11:38:53 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  RATS! I had hoped she would split the vote again, (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Andrew C White, devtob, stevenaxelrod

            She is fabulous; has been working the district since being nominated the first time and is well liked wherever she goes. It has expanded to include parts of Monroe County (Rochester), and she is from the Buffalo area so her work is cut out for her. Fortunately, Collins is also from the Buffalo area.

            Collins lost his last election so there is hope;  it will require an enormous GOTV, but if the interest from the R's stays as low as yesterday it will work out.  Partner got a lot of direct mail from Collins but didn't look at any of it.  He opens Wromney's stuff about 50% of the time before tossing it.

            One of Collins ads was a smiling BO + Kathy;  I thought it was a screw-up, you had to go to the back to determine the sender.  Please, let his campaign be filled with incompetence!

            If love could have saved you, you would have lived forever.

            by weck on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 12:39:38 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Thanks, Andrew (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Andrew C White, devtob

            If love could have saved you, you would have lived forever.

            by weck on Wed Jun 27, 2012 at 01:52:52 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

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