Composite projection over the jump -- plus two bonus counterfactual projections!
The morning edition of this overview is cross-posted daily at the 2012 Electoral College Calculator blog.
The projections are unanimous, with the exception of Nate Silver projecting FL for Romney, so the composite projection is as follows:
Sorry for the lack of variety in these reports. I blame the data.
With justification, apparently: Nate Silver wrote yesterday about the lack of volatility in the numbers.
So in an effort at variety, here's how the map would look given a uniform swing of 2% to Romney, courtesy of Prof. Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium (to find these "swing" scenarios, right-click on the interactive Java map).
On the other hand, here's how it would look with a uniform swing toward Obama of 2%.
Maps created using the 2012 Electoral College Calculator.