Tammy Baldwin (D) 36
Rasmussen, 7/25, likely voters:
Tommy Thompson (R) 41
No, Baldwin wasn't down by 16 a month ago, and no, the race hasn't shifted by 23 points in a single month, and no, Baldwin isn't up by seven today. PPP has it a 45-45 tie. Marquette University gives Thompson a small edge. Both of those pollsters have shown Baldwin closing a gap, but as is almost always the case in elections (particularly absent scandal or gaffe), the movement is gradual. This race is a toss-up.
But imagine the poor schlub at Rasmussen tasked with writing up their b.s.?
Baldwin was in a much weaker position in mid-June.That's one way of spinning it.