The latest polling composite, courtesy of Talking Points Memo's Polltracker:
As I've noted in weeks past, Obama is hovering near 50 percent in most of these states while Mitt Romney is having a hard time exceeding 44 percent in most of them. Add up the states that Obama gets more than 48 percent, and you get 300 Electoral Votes. Obama has opened up some daylight in Florida while Ohio is looking surprisingly good for him. (I wrote up Ohio yesterday.) Meanwhile, his best numbers are coming out of Pennsylvania (where he breaks 50 percent), despite the Romney camp's insistance that they can make the state competitive ("Keystone Pipeline!").
The fact that Romney can't even get to 45 percent in nine of the 14 states above (and that includes two states—Arizona and Missouri—that I should really exclude from his chart) is shocking and a testament to the fact that no one likes him.
Interestingly, the national polling continues to show a deadlocked race, with Obama enjoying a small edge in the composite excluding Rasmussen:Compare that 48.1 to 46.3 percent edge with the battleground state numbers in the chart above and it's obvious that where it counts, Obama is over-performing and Romney is under-performing. What it means is that Romney will run up the score in Texas and maybe lose by less gaudy numbers in California. Big deal. Obama is doing what he needs to do where it matters.
But even those national numbers should really worry the conservative billionaires bankrolling the sleazy Super PACs currently targeting Obama. They are supposed to be eroding Obama's support. Instead, the opposite is happening.
In other words, their money is being wasted.