Skip to main content

The latest polling composite, courtesy of Talking Points Memo's Polltracker:

It's hard to look at those numbers (and trends) and conclude anything other than Pres. Barack Obama is in a dominant position heading into the fall campaign.

As I've noted in weeks past, Obama is hovering near 50 percent in most of these states while Mitt Romney is having a hard time exceeding 44 percent in most of them. Add up the states that Obama gets more than 48 percent, and you get 300 Electoral Votes. Obama has opened up some daylight in Florida while Ohio is looking surprisingly good for him. (I wrote up Ohio yesterday.) Meanwhile, his best numbers are coming out of Pennsylvania (where he breaks 50 percent), despite the Romney camp's insistance that they can make the state competitive ("Keystone Pipeline!").

The fact that Romney can't even get to 45 percent in nine of the 14 states above (and that includes two states—Arizona and Missouri—that I should really exclude from his chart) is shocking and a testament to the fact that no one likes him.

Interestingly, the national polling continues to show a deadlocked race, with Obama enjoying a small edge in the composite excluding Rasmussen:

Compare that 48.1 to 46.3 percent edge with the battleground state numbers in the chart above and it's obvious that where it counts, Obama is over-performing and Romney is under-performing. What it means is that Romney will run up the score in Texas and maybe lose by less gaudy numbers in California. Big deal. Obama is doing what he needs to do where it matters.

But even those national numbers should really worry the conservative billionaires bankrolling the sleazy Super PACs currently targeting Obama. They are supposed to be eroding Obama's support. Instead, the opposite is happening.

In other words, their money is being wasted.

Originally posted to kos on Wed Aug 01, 2012 at 11:11 AM PDT.

Also republished by The Federation and Daily Kos.

Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags


More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

SME in Seattle, GainesT1958, ljb, Mimikatz, Sylv, Alma, dwellscho, Odysseus, slinkerwink, Timaeus, native, daninoah, kaleidescope, greenbird, TheGreatLeapForward, byteb, donna in evanston, SanJoseLady, Vico, eeff, TX Unmuzzled, acuppajo, expatjourno, New Sweden, whenwego, Loquatrix, ellefarr, mkfarkus, denig, bincbom, jalbert, kitebro, Alna Dem, CocoaLove, wader, Texknight, ammaloy, kharma, menodoc, TexDem, hoolia, potatohead, defluxion10, Sophie Amrain, zerelda, side pocket, mungley, NapaJulie, Sybil Liberty, TexMex, Longwing, Gowrie Gal, vcmvo2, ExStr8, Bluesee, Ckntfld, blueyedace2, revbludge, chimene, sc kitty, one of 8, ZappoDave, llywrch, stagemom, Brooke In Seattle, boofdah, PSzymeczek, Sun Tzu, aaraujo, GreyHawk, sofia, Overseas, Little Lulu, markdd, jane123, coolbreeze, Shaking the Tree, sillia, kathny, hlee1169, The Sheeping of America, golem, SciFiGuy, The Wizard, fou, blueoasis, Rosaura, Libby Shaw, JVolvo, NearlyNormal, armadillo, chicating, Clive all hat no horse Rodeo, Texdude50, Msanger, pgm 01, john07801, Winston Sm1th, Cronesense, camlbacker, gloriana, noofsh, joedemocrat, MI Sooner, jayden, SeaTurtle, bobswern, jnhobbs, millwood, OIL GUY, Librarianmom, Wreck Smurfy, Rumarhazzit, christianlsv, uciguy30, GeorgeXVIII, A Person, wblynch, Palafox, MKinTN, rogerdaddy, seriously70, fuzzyguy, HappyinNM, rontun, ms scarlett leadpipe, ScottyUrb, Senor Unoball, Foundmyvoice, bythesea, filby, royce, smartdemmg, Kathy S, Gemina13, jalenth, immigradvocate, statsone, maxcat06, bijoudesigncom, MrsTarquinBiscuitbarrel, BerkshireDem, WSComn, 135790, juca, Gorilla in the room, Zotz, shopkeeper, elziax, zizi, aj2k, johnosahon, Denise Oliver Velez, kl5, Ibis Exilis, realwischeese, jan0080, astral66, Larsstephens, BlueOak, Railfan, OrangeMike, NJpeach, gramofsam1, Tea and Strumpets, Interceptor7, michelewln, Crabby Abbey, Lost and Found, barbtries, womankind, samanthab, pixxer, laserhaas, DerAmi, sharonsz, MsGrin, ericlewis0, Floande, cocinero, leu2500, not4morewars, JanG, Onomastic, Jasel, kerflooey, MidwestTreeHugger, Hill Jill, Bob Duck, bgblcklab1, slowbutsure, EcosseNJ, Just kos, Mr MadAsHell, cooper888, gbinwc, mikejay611, jakewaters, Jed Lewison, sethtriggs, vjcalaska, thomask, Muskegon Critic, awsdirector, BarackStarObama, floridablue, CherryTheTart, worldlotus, Imhotepsings, Vatexia, BendixG15, blue aardvark, jolux, BoulderStevo, Auriandra, DEMonrat ankle biter, Davui, allergywoman, ArtemisBSG, tennegirl, Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom, anodnhajo, cwsmoke, pistolSO, Siri, IndieGuy, Farkletoo, JGibson, xenothaulus, joeschmeaux, mapamp, hardart, sallystrutt, pittie70, doroma, Buckeye54, wxorknot, redstella, avsp, arizonablue, Kinak, Glen The Plumber, George3, databob, Candide08, Sue B, GoGoGoEverton, nomandates, DamselleFly, Panacea Paola, 6ZONite, Xavier Onassis EMTP, poopdogcomedy, howabout, Icicle68, OjaiValleyCali, Smoh, Catkin

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site