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I just went to my Facebook page to catch up with what's going on with family and friends. To my utter surprise there was one of those "Trending Articles" alerts. Now, usually those alerts have to do with celebrities in the news that would appeal to teenage girls more than adults. Imagine my surprise at seeing the article that is currently trending was from The Hill:

“There are a lot races that are close to the line we're not going to win now because they're going to battle out who's going to kill grandma first, ObamaCare or Paul Ryan's budget,” said one Republican strategist who works on congressional races. “It could put the Senate out of reach. In the House it puts a bunch of races in play that would have otherwise been safe. ... It remains to be seen how much damage this causes, but my first blush is this is not good.”

Many Republicans in tough races this year, especially in the House, voted for Ryan’s proposal, which makes it hard for them to distance themselves from it.

And while Republicans are expected to keep the House, the more seats they lose, the closer the Democrats will be to a potential takeover in 2014.  The Senate is too close to call; the GOP only needs to gain four seats (if President Obama wins reelection) to take control.

GOP concerned Ryan could cost party House and Senate seats

Read the article to learn more like they're actually passing around a memo on how to keep hitting Obama on his $700 billion cut from Medicare, and all will be okay. LOL! I've read/seen several examples of that being debunked today, including on the NBC Nightly news. The only thing I wish Todd and bothered to mention was the fact that Ryan's plan also has that $700 billion cut in it. I'm sure the Obama-Biden Truth team will be out with a new ad any minute now.

Shameless self-promotion: Please take some time to check out the diary I actually spent a lot of time writing, Rachel Maddow: "Welcome Congressman Ultrasound [Ryan] to the Republican Ticket", because while we will continue to hammer Romney/Ryan on the Ryan Budget and their desire to end Medicare as we know it, Rachel did a fantastic job pointing to something that isn't being reported: Ryan's co-sponsorship of two federal bills, one is a personhood bill and the other one is "a federal version of Bob McDonnell's Virginia forced ultrasound bill. He sponsored a federal bill to force women to seeking an abortion to undergo a medical procedure regardless of whether or not they want it, regardless of whether or not their doctor thinks its the right decision, but just because the government says you have to."

While I realize this diary is interesting too, I just threw it together in a matter of minutes. The other one was a lot of work.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (33+ / 0-)

    For me, Mitt reminds me of Jeff Bridges in Starman. He's like an alien that hasn't read the entire manual. You know, he's going, "Nice to be in a place where the trees are the right size. -- Robin Williams on Letterman 26 Apr 2012

    by hungrycoyote on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:05:49 PM PDT

  •  What a pity! (16+ / 0-)

    We can take back the House as long as we keep up the drumbeat on the Ryan budget and the party of Bain and no taxes. I don't think we'll lose the Senate either.

    -7.75, -8.10; All it takes is security in your own civil rights to make you complacent.

    by Dave in Northridge on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:16:44 PM PDT

    •  I know, and when you read the rest of the (12+ / 0-)

      article it gets even better. They're actually passing around a memo on how to keep hitting Obama on his $700 billion cut from Medicare, and all will be okay. LOL! I've read/seen several examples of that being debunked today, including on the NBC Nightly news. The only thing I wish Todd and bothered to mention was the fact that Ryan's plan also has that $700 billion cut in it. I'm sure the Obama-Biden Truth team will be out with a new ad any minute now.

      For me, Mitt reminds me of Jeff Bridges in Starman. He's like an alien that hasn't read the entire manual. You know, he's going, "Nice to be in a place where the trees are the right size. -- Robin Williams on Letterman 26 Apr 2012

      by hungrycoyote on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:27:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I'm still optimistic about taking over the House.. (10+ / 0-)

        And I'm growing more optimistic every day about keeping the Senate as well. Barring unforeseen circumstances, I think the down ballot effect from a deflated Romney campaign will be significant.

        And while Republicans are expected to keep the House, the more seats they lose, the closer the Democrats will be to a potential takeover in 2014.
        We'll know better by the second week of September.

        Thanks for the diary.

        "That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons of history." ~ Aldous Huxley

        by markthshark on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:56:06 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  See the exact same pattern: (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        hungrycoyote, Dave in Northridge

        First (lest I forget), please add the above video to your diary itself, it presents an even stronger case for what Cong. Repugs are up against.

        Second, I think that this issue has caught the tea partier's completely flat footed and dangerously so - b/c Obama is going to completely eviscerate the Romney/Ryan plan, he will go bullet point by bullet point how Paul Ryan is going to have grandmother's starving and without healthcare - - all of which is terrible for Romney (and good for John McCain).

        But it is also terrible for every fucking local pol (like our deplorable Cathy McMorris - Rodgers, R-Mars) will have to answer to bubble headed local Teevee people, "yes, but - it says here that there will be no medicare. . . "

        And at that point the tea partiers of the world, like Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who have never run a real campaign and never,ever anticipated hard questions during this one are going to have to explain to THEIR voters why they voted to give Granny a government "voucher" to help her with her medicine and assisted living.

        Sooooo, they need a lie, a lie so big that it will not even be questioned b/c NO ONE lies about things THAT big, a lie like "Obama STOLE $700B for European Healthcare"

        Nevermind that the same amount of money was stolen by Wall street to keep the banks afloat.  Nevermind that Obama "stole" nothing, Congress allocated stimulus funds that never touched the ACA.  Oh, and that ACA - its not European Health care b/c it doesn't go far enough, it is simply that health care that covers everyone, no pre-existings, 26 y/os staying on coverage. . . . . . .

        A big problem, defending Ryan, demands a BIG lie and this lie is sooooo big that I don't think everyday people will stop and question it.

        My REC button is not working. I hate not recing comments/diaries - I feel so self-absorbed and I hate that people think that I am just following their comments. Tech is notified, but I am so embarrassed that I had to write this.

        by 4CasandChlo on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:23:21 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Okay, I added the video to the body (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Dave in Northridge

          of the diary.

          I agree. They're going to try and tell BIG lies about this. I've seen and read it mentioned a few times that when Priorities USA did focus groups on the what's in the Ryan Budget, the reaction was that people couldn't even believe that the Republicans would even put the things in that budget that they did.

          I think the Obama campaign has kept that in mind while preparing their strategy, and they are doing a great job of hitting back hard and fast every time a Republican lie comes out, so I have an optimistic attitude right now.

          For me, Mitt reminds me of Jeff Bridges in Starman. He's like an alien that hasn't read the entire manual. You know, he's going, "Nice to be in a place where the trees are the right size. -- Robin Williams on Letterman 26 Apr 2012

          by hungrycoyote on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:31:32 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  It's also debunked at the President's Truth Team (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Dave in Northridge, FiredUpInCA

        site, which states that the $700 billion reflects reduced funding for Medicare Advantage, not regular Medicare, and over a period of some years.

        It also says that the Ryan Budget makes the same $700 billion reduction.

        Here is the link.

        At the same site, too, look for the "Report an Attack" section!

  •  The Republican Rats Are Leaving The Sinking Ship.. (9+ / 0-)

    This is not just trending on FB.  Six Republicans in competitive races are now distancing themselves from Paul Ryan:  Linda McMahon, Denny Rehberg, Chris Collins, Richard Tisei, George Allen & Brendan Doherty.  

    And.....the big cheese himself, Mitt Romney, went from saying the Ryan Plan was "marvelous" to meh by Sunday.  

    •  But that's the thing Civics 101 (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      defluxion10, hungrycoyote, Powell, Templar

      No matter how hard Romney tries to say  I have my own Plan(but I won't tell you what it is).

                  The simple reality is congress usually dumps a president's plan and devises it's own budget and we know what the GOP will do were they in the majority. So we're back to Romney having  enough working fingers.....

      The 1st Amendment gives you the right to say stupid things, the 1st Amendment doesn't guarantee a paycheck to say stupid things.

      by JML9999 on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:57:01 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Yes, but the fact that it is trending on FACEBOOK (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Powell, PorridgeGun, Actbriniel, Farkletoo

      really blew me away. I expect to see "Jennifer Anniston's getting married" trending on Facebook or some article about a boy band I never heard of, not an article about politics.

      It's starting to look like the Paul Ryan pick is more disastrous for Romney than Palin was for McCain. Even after McCain picked Palin, a lot more time went by before we started realizing what a mistake that was.

      For me, Mitt reminds me of Jeff Bridges in Starman. He's like an alien that hasn't read the entire manual. You know, he's going, "Nice to be in a place where the trees are the right size. -- Robin Williams on Letterman 26 Apr 2012

      by hungrycoyote on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:07:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  "And while Republicans are expected......" (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, Powell, Delevie

    Sounds like Rovian "The Math"

    But hey it's "The Hill"

    The 1st Amendment gives you the right to say stupid things, the 1st Amendment doesn't guarantee a paycheck to say stupid things.

    by JML9999 on Mon Aug 13, 2012 at 11:54:11 PM PDT

  •  Their 'concern' is my heartfelt desire. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, Powell, terabthia2

    The sooner more and better Dems replace the Tea Party goon squad, the better for us and our country.

    At the end of the day, people power is going to prevail. ~ Bernie Sanders 8/5/12

    by 4Freedom on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:00:48 AM PDT

  •  Maybe they will hide... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Powell, hungrycoyote, terabthia2

    Ryan in Dick Cheney's secret bunker till this whole election thing blows over.

  •  I have a vision of Ryan being chased by old people (7+ / 0-)

    riding on those motorized supermarket carts. Shaking their canes overhead at him when he comes to the state of Florida.

    That is, once they realize what he wants to do with THEIR medicare, of course.

    I'm old...

    "We are a Plutocracy, we ought to face it. We need, desperately, to find new ways to hear independent voices & points of view" Ramsey Clark, U.S. Attorney General.

    by Mr SeeMore on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:04:50 AM PDT

  •  HAHAHAHAHAHA (6+ / 0-)

    Photobucket

    It is a terrible thing to see and have no vision. ~ Helen Keller

    by Pam from Calif on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:15:29 AM PDT

  •  Absolutely: potential for Dem gains in House (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, BasharH, Templar

    just got a LOT bigger.  I hope the Democrat in every House race is taking notice and preparing to kick GOP butt, and kick it hard.  

  •  I look forward to seeing polls this coming week (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    hungrycoyote, Delevie

    Looking at the polling data Nate provides, it looks to me like the % of people saying Paul Ryan is a good or excellent pick are probably equal to the % of people already decided to vote for Romney.  

    There is supposed to be a "VP pick bump" for the presidential nominee, in the week after the VP pick is announced.  But this time?  Hard to say if there will be much of a bump at all.  I'm guessing it will be between -1 and +3 points.  

    •  You know ... I saw those numbers today, and (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Torta, BasharH, Delevie, terabthia2

      I wondered if some of the ones who were saying it was a good pick in those polls ... were elated Democrats.

      For me, Mitt reminds me of Jeff Bridges in Starman. He's like an alien that hasn't read the entire manual. You know, he's going, "Nice to be in a place where the trees are the right size. -- Robin Williams on Letterman 26 Apr 2012

      by hungrycoyote on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 12:55:21 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  There will probably be a bump... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      hungrycoyote, Torta

      But how long it lasts will be the question.  I don't think this bump lasts too long, especially because Democrats have a ready-made line of attack on Ryan and now Romney with this Medicare anvil.  House Republicans can run but they can't hide. And any GOP Senate candidate who was in the House long enough to vote for either of the two Ryan budgets will be vulnerable.  I actually think this favors Tea Party candidates in any remaining GOP primaries this year.  They will probably not have been serving in the House, although they'll go along with Ryan's budget regardless.  At least they will not have voted for the budget.

      I am warming up the popcorn.  No butter though because if I buttered all the popcorn I've been having this campaign season I would be 500 pounds.

      The most dangerous... programs, from a movement conservative's point of view, are the ones that work the best and thereby legitimize the welfare state. Krugman

      by BasharH on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 02:30:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  O took $700M for the uninsured; Ryan wants it for (3+ / 0-)

    more tax cuts for the rich.  I think I saw Wasserman-Schulz making that point some time today on MSNBC.

    Ryan wrote only 2 laws which were passed.  One renamed the Post Office in Janesville.  The other changed the tax on arrows from 12.4% to $.39.  This literally raises the tax on arrows costing less than $3.19 and cuts the tax on more expensive arrows.  The more expensive the arrow, the bigger the tax cut!

  •  The GOP would be saying there was bipartisan (0+ / 0-)

    opposition to the bill, and only the extremist in one party supported it, all because 5 members of the other party crossed over. But Democrats simply have a much worse messaging machine.

    -1.63/ -1.49 "Speaking truth to power" (with snark of course)!

    by dopper0189 on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 04:33:46 AM PDT

  •  It's not just about Medicare (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Icicle68

    To me we need to be hammering on everything else in the Ryan budget, as much or more than Medicare. Hammer on the things that affect children and families --

    No Environmental Protection Agency -- no federal role in environmental protection at all.
    No disaster relief (even while they're blaming Obama for not doing enough to mitigate the drought -- hypocrites)
    No food stamps (or at least a severe reduction = hungry children)
    No special education funding
    Severe cutbacks in Medicaid = people dying

    I'm imagining an ad that shows the actual text of the Ryan budget plan, highlighting these areas, and explaining that this is their philosophy of government: there shouldn't be anything in there for helping people.

  •  GOP has no shot of taking Senate (3+ / 0-)

    They have to win SIX seats, not four.

    The Dems have 53 right now including the Independents.  The GOP needs 4 to have a 51-49 majority.

    HOWEVER that's provided they run the table.  They're going to lose Maine and while it is possible King would caucus with the GOP, it's very unlikely.  Then there is Mass.  Warren is looking strong.  If the Dems flip those 2 seats that means the GOP will need SIX, not four to retake the Senate.  

    That means they would have to take just about every close race MT, MO, VA, WI, NE, ND.  That ALSO means they can't lose any more in IN, AZ, NV.

    The chances of them winning all nine of those races are slim to none.  Especially considering the Dems are currently in the lead in 5 of them and neck and neck in 3 others (depending on which poll in MO you believe).  

    Plus with Ryan as VP the race just got harder for Flake in AZ and all the others.  It's very possible that instead of a GOP majority the Dems can take say 8-10 of the races above and come out with a 55-45 or 56-44 majority, losing only 1-2 races while flipping 4 or so.

    I would worry about the House and focus there.  25 is the magic number and that number just became easier to surpass.  

    This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

    by DisNoir36 on Tue Aug 14, 2012 at 06:19:26 AM PDT

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