We must fight this to the finish line. Overconfidence will kill us. This is no time to get cocky!
Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says
In 2012, “What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida,” Bickers said.Yeah we can nit pick this to death but this kind of stuff energizes our friends on the Republican side as much as 538 does for us.
The authors also provided caveats. Factors they said may affect their prediction include the timeframe of the economic data used in the study and close tallies in certain states. The current data was taken five months in advance of the Nov. 6 election and they plan to update it with more current economic data in September. A second factor is that states very close to a 50-50 split may fall an unexpected direction.
I hope that the paradigm has changed and older models are no longer effective. I hope that the electorate recognizes that much more then the numbers need to be considered.
I hope that everyone stays scared, and if you are in the Philly area you devote your time here:
Voter Education Field Campaign
PA Voter ID Coalition Field Headquarters:
310 W. Chelten Avenue
Philadelphia, PA 19144
VOLUNTEERS NEEDED Click Here to Register
Link not working? Paste: (http://signup.lawyerscommittee.org/...)
Assignments: Door-to-Door Canvassing, Phone Banking, Transportation Program, Data Entry and Packet Assembly
It does us no good if an Obama voter goes to the poll and is turned away!
It's ours to win,
It's ours to lose!