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The first Florida-based poll conducted since the close of the Democratic National Convention shows former governor Charlie Crist lapping the prospective field of Democratic candidates eyeing the 2014 gubernatorial race.

Crist is the top choice of 61% of likely Democratic voters, followed by former Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink with 25% support. Orlando mayor Buddy Dyer comes in at 7%, state Senator Nan Rich at 3.5% and Florida Democratic Party chair Rod Smith at 3.4%.

Sen. Rich is the only candidate officially running for governor. Dyer and Sink have said they will make a decision about whether to run after the presidential election. Crist has drawn extensive speculation that he intends to run for governor as a Democrat in 2014.

These new poll numbers will certainly intensify the speculation.

Crist received a tepid response from many of Florida's most prominent Democrats after he delivered a prime-time address at the DNC. Most analysts have opined that Crist faces a difficult road were he to seek the Democratic nomination.

But Crist's approval ratings among Democrats and Independents demonstrate his electability, were he to run.

Seventy-three percent of those polled here have a favorable opinion of Crist. Alex Sink also enjoys high marks from Democratic voters with 55 to 21 percent favorable-to-unfavorable rating. But Dyer, Rich and Smith each received unfavorable or unknown ratings from Democratic voters.

As for the veracity of St. Pete Polls data, I wrote this analysis last month about its numbers vs. actual results and determined, “Its results in the most important races outweigh its askew numbers in down-ballot campaigns."

The poll was conducted by an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the demographics of the active voter population. The demographics used were: race, gender and age.

The voters polled were chosen at random within each of Florida's 120 State House districts. The number of voters chosen from each district were proportional to the the number of democratic voters within that district.

In order to qualify respondents as active voters, only those voters that had voted in a recent election were called, and those voters were asked what political party they were registered with. Only if they responded that they were a registered Democrat were they then asked the other questions in this poll.

The polling memo is here.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (6+ / 0-)

    Peter Schorsch's SaintPetersBlog.com is one of the most widely read political blogs in Florida.

    by saintpetersblog on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 04:14:03 PM PDT

  •  if Charlie were to run would he be required to (0+ / 0-)

    give up his independent status and become a Dem.  If so, I would think that from what he said at the DNC that it would be off the table.

    •  Yes. Sink had a try. CC could have a good chance, (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Olympia, Bush Bites, emsprater

      given the botched (predictably) governorship of the present incumbent, general good will towards Crist, and, I'd think, at least a bit of moderate Republican empathy and support for him.

      Perhaps the single most idiocy of Republican governors in Florida, NJ, and Wisc., among others, was their rejection of transport infrastrucrure improvements. The single dumbest was NJ---for decades growth and convenience would be frustrated by not getting that third tunnel. Stupid shortsightedness---think of NYC not building the third tunnel for water from upstate because it would be expensive and take years to finish.

      "A young man who wishes to remain a sound Atheist cannot be too careful of his reading. There are traps everywhere ". C. S. Lewis

      by TofG on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 04:40:36 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Scott's done so much damage in just two years (0+ / 0-)

    it's pretty awful that he's got two more years in which to wreck the state even further.  But it is a relief to know some kind of end may be in sight.  

    How goes with the legislature?  From what I've read, even Republicans are trending toward preferring Democratic candidates.

    Scott’s undoing begins with dwindling support in his own party. Just 53% of Republicans approve of his job performance, down from 60% in April. 17% of Republicans would rather take their chances with unknown Democrat Nan Rich in the gubernatorial election than vote for Scott.

    "Injustice wears ever the same harsh face wherever it shows itself." - Ralph Ellison

    by KateCrashes on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 04:39:28 PM PDT

    •  Ick... pasted wrong quote (0+ / 0-)

      And now of course I can't locate the one I thought I had pasted to the clipboard.  It said though that Republicans were inclined toward Democratic candidates in Florida by about 40 to 38.  Indies even more so.

      "Injustice wears ever the same harsh face wherever it shows itself." - Ralph Ellison

      by KateCrashes on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 04:42:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  This sickens me because .... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Bush Bites, JackND, floridagal

    if Democrats had actually listened to folks in Florida like myself, Charlie would be the Senator now instead of Rubio.  But no, we couldn't coalesce around an electable candidate who would block a teabagger simply because there was a democrat in the race.  We all knew the democrat ( who can remember his name now?) had no chance of winning, but hell would freeze over before democrats would act in their own best interests and support an electable candidate to block a kook by voting for a NPA candidate.

    'Destroying America, One middle class family and one civil liberty at a time: Today's GOP'

    by emsprater on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 04:59:27 PM PDT

    •  Kendrick Meek. (0+ / 0-)

      What a joke.

      Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

      by Bush Bites on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 05:12:14 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks, I couldn't recall his name. (0+ / 0-)

        I didn't consider him a joke, but it was very apparent that he didn't have a real chance at electability.  So, as a result, we got Rubio as a punishment.

        'Destroying America, One middle class family and one civil liberty at a time: Today's GOP'

        by emsprater on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 06:41:15 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He inhereted his congressional seat from his mom. (0+ / 0-)

          And never ran in a competitive race before.

          So, that said "joke" to me.

          Seemed like a nice guy, though.

          Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

          by Bush Bites on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 07:02:53 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Florida Dem Party seems to be self destructive. nt (0+ / 0-)

    Repubs started up the car, hit the throttle and sent it over the cliff, and now they're complaining that the black guy hasn't fixed it fast enough.

    by Bush Bites on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 05:10:47 PM PDT

  •  I find this poll pretty hard to believe (0+ / 0-)

    But here in Florida anything can happen. Still, I wouldn't put too much stock in this one early, early poll, there's a lot of noise out there.

  •  suddenly (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    corvo

    the prospect of the entire state sinking into the Atlantic doesn't seems so bad.  Fuck.

    I just genetically engineer them, I don't nominate them for President.

    by happymisanthropy on Sun Sep 09, 2012 at 05:55:59 PM PDT

  •  Indeed. Why should Democrats (0+ / 0-)

    elect a Democrat . . . when they can elect a Republican!

    Too sad for words.

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