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Republicans and pundits who cannot figure out why President Obama is winning this campaign really ought to watch this new Obama campaign ad, released on Saturday:

Full transcript below the fold.
The premise of the Romney campaign—and of many political pundits—is that America is in such bad economic shape today that the presidential election is Romney's to lose. According to this line of thinking, the reason why Romney is behind is that he and his staff have run a bad campaign.

But as this ad demonstrates, that analysis is flawed: America is better off today than it was four years ago. That's not the same thing as saying that America is as strong as we want it to be. "We're not there yet," the ad says—we still haven't fully recovered. But, as President Obama says in the ad's final clip, "We're not going back, we are moving forward."

Ultimately, this election is a choice—all elections are choices. And when it comes to the economy, the choice that Mitt Romney represents would be a return to the policies that created our problems in the first place. The choice President Obama represents is the one that put us on the path to recovery from the 2008 collapse.

The economy isn't the only issue in this campaign, but to the extent that it is an issue, it's analytical malpractice to ignore the direction in which the economy is heading. Yes, you can look at the 8.1 percent unemployment rate and say "that's too high." And you'd be right. But when you consider that Bush's economic policies caused unemployment to double and that it's been dropping since President Obama's first year in office, you also have to concede that things are now getting better.

The bottom-line is that with respect to the economy, four years ago virtually every economic statistic was heading in the wrong direction. Today, they are headed in the right direction. Based on that fact alone, President Obama has a strong claim to reelection. The fact that Mitt Romney is running the campaign of a bumbling idiot is just gravy.

But, I'll admit, as far as gravy goes ... it is delicious.


He keeps saying it: "This President cannot tell us that you're better off today than when he took office." - Mitt Romney

Here's where we were in 2008: "Worst financial collapse since the great depression" ... "American workers were laid off in numbers not seen in over three decades."

And here's where we are today...30 months of private sector job growth. Creating 4.6 million new jobs.

We're not there yet. But the real question is: Whose plan is better for you?

The President's plan asks millionaires to pay a little more to help invest in a strong middle class, clean energy, and cut the deficit.

Mitt Romney's plan? A new two-hundred-fifty-thousand-dollar tax break for multi-millionaires. Roll back regulations on the banks that cratered the economy, and raise taxes on the middle class.

"They want to go back to the same old policies that got us in trouble in the first place" - Bill Clinton. "We're not going back, we are moving forward." - President Obama.


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Comment Preferences

  •  Renewable Energy Jobs: Slamming Brakes On Here (20+ / 0-)
    “We haven’t had the industry come to a stop like this before in a long, long time,” said Walt Hornaday, president of Cielo Wind Power, an Austin-based wind farm developer. His company is pursuing work in other countries, but otherwise, he said, “we would definitely be looking at very large layoffs.”
    Texas Wind Boom Threatened by Expiring Tax Credit
    September 14, 2012 - When Brad Sawyer graduates next spring from Texas State Technical College in Sweetwater, he hopes to get a job as a wind turbine technician, working on the towering three-bladed machines that dot the West Texas countryside.

    “I think that the jobs will be there,” said Sawyer, who is in the wind energy technology associate’s degree program. However, he added, if the federal government changes its policy on wind power, things could get “pretty tight.”

    Sawyer and wind power companies are closely watching developments in Washington, where a tax credit benefiting wind farms is due to expire at the end of this year. If Congress does not renew the credit, the implications could be especially significant in Texas, the top wind power state, which contains about a fifth of the nation’s turbines and is building expensive transmission lines to support more growth. Some of the state’s leading Republicans, despite advocating for wind power in the past, are doing little to aid it now.  read more>>>

    But not in Japan:

    New investment in renewable energy projects in Japan
    Sep 12, 2012 - Japan has approved more than 33,000 renewable energy projects that can receive subsidies under a new energy law that took effect on July 1, as the country phases out nuclear power after last year's Fukushima disaster.

    Of those, 81 are solar power projects with capacity of 1 megawatt (MW) or more each, totalling 243 megawatts, data for the first month of the scheme from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) showed.

    Six wind power projects totalling 122 MW have also been approved, as have homeowners and small companies which have installed solar panels on their roofs, totalling 202 MW, and small-sized hydro power projects coming to 0.2 MW.

    These projects need to sign contracts with utilities by March 2013 to allow them to sell electricity at the premium set for the current business year, which runs until March 31.  read more>>>

    Vets On FLOTUS and SLOTUS, "Best - Ever": "We haven't had this kind of visibility from the White House—ever." Joyce Raezer - Dec. 30, 2011

    by jimstaro on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:27:40 AM PDT

  •  I do like that the ad uses "cratered" as a verb (15+ / 0-)

    There's no little that's new in political ads that even a single word used in a new way can be a decent hook.

    Romney '12: Berlusconi without the sex and alcohol!

    by Rich in PA on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:29:10 AM PDT

    •  Romney's Plan: From Crater to Grave! n/t (11+ / 0-)

      Romney '12: Berlusconi without the sex and alcohol!

      by Rich in PA on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:29:45 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  One of my favorite words. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      notanoldlady, Olympia, dewtx

      Succinct, descriptive, graphic.


      by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:35:52 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Avalanche is another word that (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        could be used because that is what Willard is facing.  Leonard Cohen says it best in one of his songs:

        Leonard Cohen Avalanche Lyrics:

        Well I stepped into an avalanche,
        It covered up my soul;
        When I am not this hunchback that you see,
        I sleep beneath the golden hill.
        You who wish to conquer pain,
        You must learn, learn to serve me well.

        You strike my side by accident
        As you go down for your gold.
        The cripple here that you clothe and feed
        Is neither starved nor cold;
        He does not ask for your company,
        Not at the centre, the centre of the world.
        [ Lyrics from: ]
        When I am on a pedestal,
        You did not raise me there.
        Your laws do not compel me
        To kneel grotesque and bare.
        I myself am the pedestal
        For this ugly hump at which you stare.

        You who wish to conquer pain,
        You must learn what makes me kind;
        The crumbs of love that you offer me,
        They're the crumbs I've left behind.
        Your pain is no credential here,
        It's just the shadow, shadow of my wound.

        I have begun to long for you,
        I who have no greed;
        I have begun to ask for you,
        I who have no need.
        You say you've gone away from me,
        But I can feel you when you breathe.

        Do not dress in those rags for me,
        I know you are not poor;
        You don't love me quite so fiercely now
        When you know that you are not sure,
        It is your turn, beloved,
        It is your flesh that I wear.

  •  Romney is losing because of... (11+ / 0-)

    ...the poverty of his ideas:

  •  So.... (13+ / 0-)

    turns out people are not as stupid as the Rovian schemers thought they were. The right just assumed people would blame Obama because things aren't "back to normal" yet. But people actually can remember three years back.

  •  It's always been a choice. (14+ / 0-)

    Go back to the shit we know doesn't work and we know caused the problem.

    Go forward with what isn't working as fast as we'd like, but what we can see is working.

    Not too tough a choice.

    Ds see human suffering and wonder what they can do to relieve it. Rs see human suffering and wonder how they can profit from it.

    by JTinDC on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:33:31 AM PDT

  •  I LOVE that last line. (6+ / 0-)
    But, I'll admit, as far as gravy goes ... it is delicious.

    We don't want our country back, we want our country FORWARD. --Eclectablog

    by Samer on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:34:19 AM PDT

  •  I was listening to MSNBC on the commute (13+ / 0-)

    and they just can't understand how Obama isn't behind by double digits.  But Carter, one of them said, was leading Reagan by 8 points in October (I'm guessing that was total bullshit, but I digress) and Obama's going to lose his edge on foreign policy by the election, so those overconfident Democrats are probably gonna be in for a rude awakening.

    It sounded like fucking FOX.

    And it's EVERY single media outlet parroting that shit.

    How isn't Romney 10 points ahead!!!???

    Well, maybe people place more blame on Bush and the intransigent GOP.  You know, like the polls these assholes commission seem to indicate.

    The Liberal Media really wants to prop up Romney and take down Obama.  The question is why.  I can't figure that one out, not with the stock market reaching for the sky.


    by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:35:18 AM PDT

    •  I'll tell you why the media (6+ / 0-)

      is trying to boost Romney - it's not October dammit! How can they report on the "October surprise" election game changer if the Romney campaign goes out with a whimper in September? Mitt's ruining everything!

    •  VOTER ID LAWS (6+ / 0-)

      will hurt Democratic turn-out.

      That is the one thing that, like the guy in PA said..."Will hand Romney the Whitehouse..... Done."

      I truly do worry about that.

      But I hope Romney turns off even more Republicans who won't even get out and vote......

      But that "I hate Obama" meme is really strong among the racist GOP.... who will vote.

      -6.13 -4.4 Where are you? Take the Test!!!

      by MarciaJ720 on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:41:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Carter trailed in October (5+ / 0-)

      so they are just lying.

      The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

      by fladem on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:44:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I know. (4+ / 0-)

        And he had been primaried to within an inch of his political viability by Ted Kennedy.

        And the stock market sucked, interest rates were obscene, and a bunch of helis crashed in the Iranian desert.


        by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:49:07 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Not To Mention ABC's Nightline (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          dewtx, AmazingBlaise

          Every night they signed off with the number of days that the US embassy staffers had been held by the Iranians.  That went on for the entire campaign, not just before.  Nightline never stopped noting it.  How could Carter's seeming fecklessness be ignored with that?  Of course, the revelations that Reagan-Bush had conspired with the Iranians with their own private foreign policy was rapidly forgotten in the days following St. Ronnie Ray-gun's inauguration.  Except for Cronkite, we've never had a liberal media.  We had a media which used to tell the truth and the truth had a liberal bias, which is anathema to true believers.

          "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

          by PrahaPartizan on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 11:04:00 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Walter Cronkite closed every newscast (0+ / 0-)

            with the hostages too.

            Carter did not project strength and resolve.  He was a Debbie Downer too.

            Obama is not Carter, and Willard ain't Ronnie.  The entire attempt at comparison is complete bullshit.


            by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 11:21:51 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  And Reagan/Bush bribed Iran (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NM Ward Chair

          not to release the hostages until 30 minutes after Reagan had been sworn in -- Bush Sr. went there to do the negotiations. Then they blasted Carter day after day for being too weak to get the hostages home. It was absolutely shameless. And the same people and their proteges are still in the saddle. I'm sure they would provoke something like this, if they were well-organized and competent enough to pull it off.

    •  Here's a link to the Carter's poll numbers in '80 (11+ / 0-)

      Tracking the Polls in the 1980 Presidential Campaign  

      You are right.  It was total BS.  It's pathetic that they are still trying to create a fake narrative to explain what is really happening.  The slow painful death of the GOP.

      Let's not forget that Carter's numbers plummeted during the Iran hostage situation.  No one knew about the tow missiles Reagan's campaign promised Iran if they kept the hostages until after the election.

    •  The "liberal media" is biased. (0+ / 0-)

      Simply put, because of the corporate structure of the news, the message is pretty streamlined.  And when there is someone who "threatens" the power and financial structure of the U.S., then it is up to the "gate-keepers" to push a counter-narrative that will dominate the news cycle.

      Although there are a smattering of great reporters out there, the majority do what their corporate overlords tell them to say. Thus, the message blandly stays the same regardless of the news outlet.

      However, their message attempting to tear the POTUS down is not working because Romney and Ryan are not likable.  Secondly, people are beginning to realize that their livelihoods are at stake. Consequently, I also think that a lot of folks are tired of having their intelligence insulted with the "propaganda" that continually runs as news stories.

      Thus, no one wants to go back to the Bush years, unless they are nuts.  That was eight long years of hell.

        If there was a choice between a man who is trying to work for the betterment of the people or another man who merely wants to use his office as another "acquisition" similar to a hostile takeover, I think the American public is tired of having a leader who treats his constituents as serfs.

      They would rather have someone lead who understands everyday working people in this country instead of an unfeeling automaton who does the bidding of the GOP puppet-masters.

      "Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety." --Benjamin Franklin

      by politicalceci on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:46:36 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Repubs bet on American amnesia & stupidity & lost (10+ / 0-)

    They believed that the typical low information voter or inexplicable "undecided" independent actually wouldn't remember that the crash happened under Bush because of Bush's policies.  They bet that the same voter would not realize that the reason the economic improvements weren't better was because the Repubs were holding the economy hostage as the only way to get back into power.

    Considering the amount of stuff on both the right and the left I've read over the last 4 years that suggest that many Americans really cannot read a calendar (ie, distinguish between September 2008 and January 2009), it wasn't a completely crazy bet.

    But now it looks like they overestimated that number.

    It almost gives me some faith in the electorate.

    But the fact that this isn't shaping up as a Democratic landslide is depressing.

  •  Another big problem Romney has (14+ / 0-)

    is that he doesn't want to just return us to W's economic policies, but double down on them - not just return us to W's foreign policies, but muscle them up even more - not just return us to Bush's social policies, but make them more intrusive and controlling.

    Sometimes I think the democratic campaign should just say, "Mitt Romney will make our lives worse - a lot worse - than even George Bush managed to do."

    "In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican." - H. L. Mencken

    by SueDe on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:37:10 AM PDT

    •  'Roided Bush Policies (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      NM Ward Chair

      We all know what happens to folks who tend to abuse such chemical enhancements.  There's nothing quite like having rage-filled impotent policies.  Isn't that a Teabagger's wet dream?

      "Love the Truth, defend the Truth, speak the Truth, and hear the Truth" - Jan Hus, d.1415 CE

      by PrahaPartizan on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 11:07:27 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I saw this ad and thought (8+ / 0-)

    Wow, SPOT ON !!!!!

    It is positive, reminds the voters of just where we were 4 years ago and shows the audience how far we have come.

    Excellent, excellent ad.

    -6.13 -4.4 Where are you? Take the Test!!!

    by MarciaJ720 on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:37:23 AM PDT

  •  Must every post of yours note that he's "winning"? (5+ / 0-)

    I agree he is ahead in the polls, and I don't see a clear path for Romney, but your diaries are reading like spiking the football and a big set up for bad karma.

    •  They DO seem just a tad overdone (2+ / 0-)

      especially since the "choice" is mightily finely sliced - for all intents and purposes Obama has continued the past economic policies that fucked us over in the first place.

      But at least he's personally not completely batshit crazy.

      That's * something * - right?

      •  Precisely (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Roadbed Guy

        Anyone pulling the lever for Obama and against Romney needs to keep in mind that Obama is still the person who detains people without trial, has an asassination list, doesn't hesitate to sword rattle, bailed out banks, signed a banking/credit regulation law that was mostly written by the people it will regulate, and gave the biggest subsidy ever to insurance companies. Of course it's unlikely Romney would deviate from these policies, but I don't see an Obama win in November much of a happy victory for justice.

        •  And you didn't even mention his horrific (0+ / 0-)

          education and energy policies.  Whether Romney could be worse on those is an open question, it's difficult to imagine how so.

          In any event, let's call it a wash - and, to grasp at straws, say Obama's SC nominees will be considerably better than Rmoney's (which, they probably will be, despite solidifying the court's drift to the right . . .)

    •  Word. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Support Civil Liberty

      Not a vote has been cast.  Polls are surveys, not election results.


      by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:46:19 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I just saw a "news" show - on a channel I watch (5+ / 0-)

    regularly but there must be something going on there since none of their regular programing is on - that must be either a fox show or clone.  The "news" caster stated that Romney is winning and proved it by showing how much less Obama is ahead of him in various states this year than he beat McCain by in 2008.  Nothing smells so good in the morning as Republican desperation.

    "If you trust you are not critical; if you are critical you do not trust" by our own Dauphin

    by gustynpip on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:38:21 AM PDT

  •  I'm waiting for Romney to carve a backwards (13+ / 0-)

    "B" on the side of his face.

    When the going gets rough, the average go conservative. --Henry Rollins

    by Beelzebud on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:39:38 AM PDT

  •  Absolutely, surprised it took so long. (5+ / 0-)

    It is so obvious that we are infinitely better off than we were 4 years ago, in late 2008.  The ad writes itself.

    •  During the Conventions (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      texasmom, eps62, bartcopfan

      I posted Status updates on my personal Facebook account...

      "I'm Better off today than I was 4 years ago Because......"

      And I had a different reason every day.  Stock market is up, way, up, Obamacare, no more pre-existing condition problems for people like myself and my husband, etc.

      I got a few people who hit "like" but most said nothing.  But I also had people sending me messages saying, "Thank-you."

      -6.13 -4.4 Where are you? Take the Test!!!

      by MarciaJ720 on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:44:22 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Clinton said it best. (8+ / 0-)
    "We left him a total mess, he hasn't cleaned it up fast enough, so fire him and put us back in."
    Romney's campaign thinks it's about messaging when it's really about who they are.
  •  Andrew Sullivan (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    fumie, eps62, Mr MadAsHell, khyber900

    thinks that ad is the argument that might nail down the election.


    by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:43:50 AM PDT

  •  sure we're better off now (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    notanoldlady, GOPGO2H3LL, eps62

    then we were in 2008 thats a given, the voters know it  and the gop knows it, the pundits who knows.

    listen america if you want to have a bush 45 then vote romney, if you want a forward direction vote obama and give him a dem congress, the republicans have run the car into a ditch, let the dems as they always do repair that car,

  •  Great ad ... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    notanoldlady, eps62
  •  The key is to get it on the air and keep it there (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    notanoldlady, GOPGO2H3LL, eps62

    I think the window for effective tv advertising is soon to close.  In NC we're all pretty sick of the ads across the spectrum. Romney and his allies (ie Rove, Kochs, RNC) are vastly outgunning Obama, yet the polls show little movement in our state, which Romney will probably barely win.

    So....Where is this ad running and how big is the buy ? Is it going to be seen by the folks that need to see it?

    This is a good diary, but those of us reading it are pretty much here for the choir singing and subsequent preaching anyway.

  •  Was it Melissa Harris-Perry who tweeted ... (7+ / 0-)

    "Tax cuts don't lead to economic growth, a 65 year study finds."

    People's lives aren't washing machine detergent.  Republicans can't just stick a "New and Improved" label over the same old crappy suds and make us all believe our clothes will get cleaner.

  •  I Agree, But... (4+ / 0-)

    Romney has still run a lousy campaign.

    "Some men see things as they are and ask, 'Why?' I dream of things that never were and ask, 'Why not?"

    by Doctor Who on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:46:40 AM PDT

  •  The best part about the ad is... (8+ / 0-)

    that it ends on a more positive note than any of the Romney ads.

    People are getting sick of the negative ads. This one will hopefully stand out.

  •  Mmmm, graaaavvyyy... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    (smack, smack) Delishusssssss!

    Romney's campaign is like watching a burning car going downhill toward a cliff edge. A nightmare in slow-motion (for him, heh heh heh...)

    Religion is regarded by the common people as true, by the wise as false, and by rulers as useful.

    by stvkos on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:51:00 AM PDT

  •  Funny how you never hear (5+ / 0-)

    Repubs saying, "You can't change horses midstream" & "You must stay the course" when a Democrat is in office.You would think it would apply no matter who's in office....?

    "Let us never forget that doing the impossible is the history of this nation....It's how we are as Americans...It's how this country was built"- Michelle Obama

    by blueoregon on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:51:25 AM PDT

  •  Four years ago, we bailed out AIG. (8+ / 0-)

    Now the government is selling  shares and should make back most of the bailout money.

    The Dow Jones dropped 449 points 4 years ago, after dropping over 500 points two days before. Today it is almost at an all time high.

    Four years ago, the American people were not sure whether they would be able to access their bank accounts. No longer a worry today.

    This is why Obama should be winning. GOTV!

    You can't scare me, I'm sticking to the Union - Woody Guthrie

    by sewaneepat on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:51:47 AM PDT

  •  good ad... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    eps62, fumie

    I would also love to see something in the "harry and  louise " mode with a couple discussing the fact that economists estimated our presidents jobs plan would have created millions of jobs but the gop blocked it. "Think how much better things  would be under president obamas plan. we need to vote for someone who has a plan for our jobs. sounds like the only plan the republicans made is a plan for our president to lose his. we have to reelect president obama."

  •  They are losing because of the Republican bubble (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    (Credit to Bill Maher)

    How can you fight reality when you don't know what reality is?

    You can't take the sky from me!

    by wrights on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:54:37 AM PDT

  •  Mitt Romney's only accomplishment (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Icicle68, eps62, SquirrelQueen

    in Massachusetts was health care reform.  He was so proud of that accomplishment, and rightly so, that in his gubernatorial portrait, the health care law is prominently featured.

    And now, at every campaign event, he declares that he shall slay Obamacare, which of course is federal Romneycare (an idea promoted by Romney himself.)

    So we've got a guy who's basically running as a father declaring his intent to kill his child to appease the rubes he needs to pursue some dark personal ambition.  To kill the one good thing he's done for others.

    Gosh, who doesn't want to jump on that fucking train.


    by GOPGO2H3LL on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:56:49 AM PDT

  •  Let's be honest. He's winning because Romney is (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bryduck, jakewaters

    a rich, unlikeable, gaffe prone robot who allows himself to be blown hither and yon by the polls, by the Tea Party and by his grossly incompetent advisers.  

    The President has done a lot of good things in the past four years, but he has lost the enthusiasm of a lot of people because hasn't delivered on a lot of his promises - and he is the victim of a lot of bad news lately.  

    If the Republicans had run a someone like Huntsman or Portman, even Pawlenty, we might be really nervous right now.  

    But hey, a win is still a win.  Election Day can't come soon enough for me.  

    He only employs his passion who can make no use of his reason. - Cicero

    by SpamNunn on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:58:14 AM PDT

  •  Are "we" better off? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Not me me me. Republicans are the me me me party. Dems are the we party. We are all in this together party. Big difference.

    "I AM my brother's keeper. I AM my sister's keeper." Hot fudge sundae if you can name that quotation.

    “My first choice is a strong consumer agency,” she said. “My second choice is no agency at all and plenty of blood and teeth left on the floor.”

    by mrobinson on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 08:59:16 AM PDT

  •  The right direction? (0+ / 0-)

    There are some metrics that definitely point to that.

    But there are many metrics going in the wrong direction as far as most Americans are concerned.

    Median household income drops again for the 4th year.

    Less Americans are working this year than last.  Less Americans are now working than in 1981!  And unemployment has only "improved" because there are less people working.

    Gas prices continue to go through the roof, taking even more of a household's reduced income.

    GDP? Anemic.. stagnant.. definitely not in the right direction.

    Inflation, aside from gas prices are stagnant at around 3.5%.  But when your income is not rising at all, it begins to add up.  And the price of everything is starting to rise due to the droughts.

    So, maybe on paper we are "headed in the right direction".  But, only barely.. and most Americans disagree.  Most Americans don't "feel" it.  Nearly 60% feel we are on the wrong track.

  •  "America sucks now" is not a winning (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jakewaters, eps62, asm121

    ...message for Republicans.

    "An inglorious peace is better than a dishonorable war." -Mark Twain

    by humanistique on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:04:17 AM PDT

  •  The gamble (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    eps62, happymisanthropy

    The republican party made a gamble that if they could block and slow the recovery of the economy and obstruct President Obama's policies, that voters would punish Obama and reward the republican nominee in 2012.

    But there's a problem with this gamble.  It requires voters to erase all memory of the policies of the previous administration and to forget where the economy and the country were on January 20, 2009.  

    It also requires voters to ignore the fact that we have a Republican Congress that has adopted the cynical political strategy of obstruction and the purposeful destruction of the economy designed around the sinister plot of making a democratically elected president of the United States a one-term president.

    And it requires voters to simply ignore the fact that republicans and right-wing groups have created a national campaign to disenfranchise voters.  Republicans were counting on voters to choose political partisanship over their belief in the right to vote.


  •  That 'cut the deficit' crap makes me nervous (0+ / 0-)

    I'm afraid of a grand bargain - safety net cuts in return for tip money from the 1%.

    I'd rather see a much stronger focus on reviving the economy, spending money on worthwhile items like infrastructure, education, etc.

    I've been reading lots of Digby...

    "Life is a bitch, and then you die. And then you come back." Old Buddhist proverb

    by RubDMC on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:10:00 AM PDT

  •  Over on Political Wire, a must read. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MBishop1, EcosseNJ

    An analysis of two thousand polls from many elections, in a new book, show that we knew basically in April who was to be the president. And attitudes change only gradually in the last six months. From this book, A Presidential Timeline,
    Ezra Klein concludes:

    "The Romney Campaign is in trouble."


    "listen: there's a hell of a good universe next door; let's go." --ee cummings

    by Wildthumb on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:10:52 AM PDT

  •  oh my! i find myself actually agreeing (0+ / 0-)

    with the pundits: romney and his staff are running a bad campaign. unfortunately, the only way to fix that problem is for the republicans to get two new candidates, the ones they presently have don't lend themselves to running a good campaign.

    a campaign can only go so far on smoke & mirrors. at some point, the voters want to see/hear the actual candidates, not their campaign staff/spokespeople. this is the great weakness of the romney/ryan campaign, romney & ryan.

  •  Effective Ad (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    I think the Republicans believed their own Kool-Aid going in that Obama was such an abject failure that they just needed to show up. Well, that is not working out for them; they may be able to close the gap but it is pretty late to change minds. OFA has defined the Republican ticket pretty brutally over the summer.

  •  Nice Post (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    You don't see this case being made much in the media.  Luckily Team Obama has ignored the Village and run a campaign that points out that things are getting better.  The media just likes to look at the unemplyment number and automaticallly conclude that America sucks and Obama should be thrown out.  The economy, the country is far more complex than one number that comes out once per month.  Look, I'm not sayign that the unemployeement number shouldn't be looked at as a major indicator, I'm just saying, as Jed does, that you have to look at where we've been, how we got there, and where we are heading.  When looking at it in those terms, Team Obama has a much better story to tell than what the media what lead you to believe.  

  •  love love love this ad, says it all plainly, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    and to the point. I have been waiting for this type of ad for awhile. Excellent.

  •  the contradiction of GOP economics (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SquirrelQueen, happymisanthropy

    The GOP offers but one policy-level solution to economic woes - tax cuts. They apply tax cuts the way medieval doctors applied leeches. And they offer one other talking point, although they don't offer solutions for it - deficit reduction.

    Problem #1 is that tax cuts and deficit reduction contradict each other. They can't sell the always-irrational and demonstrably incorrect "voodoo economics" idea that tax cuts will cause so much growth that they actually increase revenue. They don't even try that supply-side nonsense anymore (actually, supply-side has a lot of neat ideas, but all Republicans remember about it is tax cuts).

    So they suggest, they imply that deficit reduction and balanced budgets can be accomplished entirely by cutting (but not eliminating) welfare-type projects and minor bits like NPR. It's a fun talk game, but it won't work at a policy level. The ONLY thing that could be cut seriously without massive social disruption is military spending, but "the troops" are a sacred cow and no Republican can suggest out loud that military spending should be even trimmed, much less slashed. Why, how would we keep the terrorists at bay?

    The real meat of GOP economics is elsewhere... tax cuts for the rich just because they need to be that much richer, mortally wounding self-funding entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare because conservatives find them unaesthetic, and the ever-popular union-busting. But none of these really sell well. We're given drivel about trickle-down and greedy unions and inevitable entitlement doom, but none of it holds up to the slightest scrutiny.

    So basically, Republican economics are nonsense.

    Add to that the fact that they've basically ceded the entire foreign policy ground to Obama, and it's hard to tell what it is they're running on today. Economics? That's just silly. Hating Obama? Fine, but it's hard to not feed the racists that way. Jingoistic military? Hah.

    "Sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from malice."
    The All-Powerful Nateboi

    by Orbital Mind Control Lasers on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:28:04 AM PDT

  •  Let's give Obama the majority he needs ... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Just got this email from the Donnelly for Senate campaign. This is a great opportunity to pick up Richard Lugar's open seat and we've opened up the lead!

    The latest poll numbers are in, and Joe Donnelly has opened a narrow lead over Tea Party favorite Richard Mourdock, 45% to 42%.  

    This is great news – but it also paints a huge target on Joe’s back for Karl Rove, the Koch brothers, and their Wall Street backers heading into the final weeks of the campaign.

    The only way we can hang on to this lead through the coming onslaught of vicious, misleading secret-donor backed attacks is to make sure Joe has the resources to fight back against every lie, distortion and smear they throw at us.

    Last week, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report officially rated our race as a “toss up,” and New York Times election analyst Nate Silver said that contributing to Joe has an 8-times greater impact that a contribution to Massachusetts Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren.

    I can’t overstate the importance of supporting Joe right now. Today’s poll was good news, but there’s only one poll that really matters, and that’s the one on Election Day.

    Don’t let Karl Rove decide who wins this race. Take a stand by contributing $5 to Joe’s campaign right now.

    Onward to victory,

    Paul Tencher
    Campaign manager, Joe for Indiana

    Donnelly Leads Mourdock, 45-42, in New Poll

    DNCC money is starting to move into Indiana. The more action they see, they more $$s flow into this election so show Joe some love! Act Blue: Donnelly for IN Sen

    "Let us not look back to the past with anger, nor towards the future with fear, but look around with awareness." James Thurber

    by annan on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:37:08 AM PDT

  •  The question isn't why Obama is winning (0+ / 0-)

    The question is why it isn't looking like a landslide.

  •  President Obama is awesome and likeable (0+ / 0-)

    Rmoney sucks.

    The radical Republican party is the party of oppression, fear, loathing and above all more money and power for the people who robbed us.

    by a2nite on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:51:14 AM PDT

  •  Like all elections, this one's about the future (0+ / 0-)

    Whereas Romney keeps making it about the illusory past and overly dark present. When he's not lying, he's scaring people. Usually he's doing both. Voters don't like depressing leaders who keep telling them they're screwed.

    Well, they'll always have Rafalca.

    "Liberty without virtue would be no blessing to us" - Benjamin Rush, 1777

    by kovie on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 09:51:34 AM PDT

  •  I think this ad is the best one of the election. (0+ / 0-)

    I think it restates the argument of our convention that we are better off.  It's not morning in America, but the start of dawn.

    I do agree with Andrew Sullivan that this ad will push most fence sitters to side with Obama as the safer choice and the one that offers the clearer path forward.

    Listening to Obama in Cincinnati today you could tell the audience was into that message. They actually didn't care that much for the outsourcing stuff (though they liked the line, 'talk the talk'...'walk the walk').  Before, Obama was slightly ahead because he was the better candidate than Romney.  Now, he is more solidly ahead because he is the better candidate and has the better vision.

    Alternative rock with something to say:

    by khyber900 on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 11:17:30 AM PDT

  •  Also they are wrong to say 'BO unpopular'. (0+ / 0-)

    That was AD Stoddard's argument today on 'why Mr.Moneybags should be crushing BO'.

    Most of these folks just believe their own b/s, having forgotten where it came from - Thugs.  The same Thugs who, at the time they were peddling this, had deciided to undermine the country just in hopes of it hurting BO.  The same Thugs who, at that time, were playing chicken with bankrupting the US by stiffing its creditors - and got us a credit down expressly blamed on the Thugs by the creditors.

    But some of them are knowingly mendacious on this.  Simply put, Bo is not 'unpopular'.  The country is highly polarized.  The Thugs and talking heads have been working to make and keep it that way for over 20 years (hello!, impeachment! 'Clinton murdered folks'! TheGin-grinch).

    When 1/2 the country is primed to hate you, an approval rating at or near 50% is about as popular as you can get without an economic super boom ala the second 1/2 of the 90s. And going from BushDepression to super-boom is 3 years is nothing short of impossible.  

    And most of the voters know that.

    Which is why BO is at 50%.

  •  As others have said, (0+ / 0-)

    I have been WAITING for this ad and I am glad they are running it now.  People must be reminded of how awful and fearful everything was the last time we were in the grip of the GOP.  Many people were so frightened by the crash that they have decided to put it out of their minds and pretend it didnt happen, it must all be Obama's fault somehow.  This is a vivid reminder, and I love the "passing the torch" succession of Clinton-Obama.

    It's the third and fourth nights of the convention distilled into whatever, a minute?

    I'm going to send them $20.12 right now for that.

    Still enjoying my stimulus package.

    by Kevvboy on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 11:54:07 AM PDT

  •  Is it (0+ / 0-)

    because he's not insane?

    "If it were up to me, I'd take away the guns."--Cheryl Wheeler

    by lyvwyr101 on Mon Sep 17, 2012 at 12:58:44 PM PDT

  •  woman on the bus gets it right (0+ / 0-)

    I was chatting on the bus Friday, both of us on our way to work. She asked me who I was supporting for President, and I didn't want to get into an argument so just said "I'm pretty happy with the President we've got." She agreed, saying, "He got handed such a big mess, it's gotten a bit better but he needs another four years to finish cleaning it up." From her dress and speech I'm guessing she doesn't read lefty blogs or magazines or Krugman, probably doesn't watch much news when she gets home late from a physically demanding job -- but she gets it.

  •  What I want. (0+ / 0-)

    I want to be inspired.
    I want a leader that lifts me up, and makes me feel proud.
    I want a speech that will make my eyes tear, and feel embarassed that I am moved by it.
    I want truth so honest, it is corney, ideals that are pure and uncorruptable.
    I want respect, not hate, for all, not just some.
    I want to believe in the goodness of mankind, that I am not alone in the struggle.
    I want to feel I am here for a greater purpose, that there is more to life than material gain.
    I want the maximum common multiplier, not the lowest common denominator.
    I want to be part of Martin Luther King's dream.

    Now you know who I want to lead this country.
    I know he feels the same.

  •  The Mansion at :32 (0+ / 0-)

    looks a lot like the Bush family's Walker's Point compound in Kennebunkport, Maine.  If it is, well played Obama for America, well played.  Any Mainers here that can confirm?

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