writing this from a rest stop on the Ohio Turnpike on my way to volunteer in Iowa for Christie Vilsack v Steve King.
But this is important enough to put up.
You can read the article on the poll here
Likely voters in the commonwealth favor Obama 52 percent to 44 percent. Among all voters, the president is up 50 percent to 43 percent, identical to his margin in a survey in early May
- which is odd, to have bigger lead among likely voters than among registered voters, but I'll take it.
bama has overwhelming support among young voters in the poll and near-universal backing from black voters, reassembling two key components of his winning coalition from four years ago.
and this:
The poll was conducted by telephone Sept. 12-16 among a random sample of 1,104 adults Virginia, including 934 registered voters. Interviews were conducted on conventional and cellular telephones, and carried out in English and Spanish. The margin of error for registered and likely voter samples is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
I will say what I have said before.
1. If Obama carries the Old Dominion by 5 or more points, he will bring Kaine into the Senate, holding the seat Jim Webb is giving up
2. If Obama has Virginia's 13 electoral votes, it is almost impossible to find a path to 270 for Romney
and remember - the poll is before the meltdown of yesterday, and the additional news from the video of today.