Skip to main content

Ok, so when I saw Purple Strategies new swing states polls come across the ticker I closed my eyes and braced myself.   PS is a consulting group headed by Lannie Davis and Michael Steele ........ ugh, you say!   Yes, these guys are unctious cretins but they make there money, not by being right, but by convincing swing-district Ds and Rs that they can cobble a winning "third way" campaign.   Their polls have consistantly been R leaning this season but that's not totally bad:  if an umpire is always calling the outside strike, you can figure out the strike zone.   Thus before reading the polls I figured they would have about a 2% slice from the norm and I was proven correct.   The news is solid, RINO/DINO confirmation that the Preznit is in good shape.  Numbers after the flip.

NOTE:  I'm showing Purple Strategies numbers, no including what I see as a 2 pt. Red handicap.

Leading off with the biggie:

Arizona:         Romney 48, Obama 45    Romney +3
* Even if you don't factor in a house effect, O-3 in AZ would still be HUGE news!   Romney can't afford to defend states like AZ.   I'll betcha' Montana is soft too.

Ohio:         Obama 48, Romney 44    Obama +4
* There you have it,  bake in the 2 pt slice and you get the 6 pt lead we have become accustomed to.   This is Pennsylvania redux.   In a month Mitt will be pulling the $$$.

Florida:         Obama 47, Romney 48    Romney +1
* Plus 2 and you've got O+1, which is where this race has been for months.

Virginia:         Obama 46, Romney 43    Obama +3
*Confirmation that VA. is sliding out of play.   The new Ohio.

Colorado:      Obama 48, Romney 45    Obama +3
* This is nice to see.   CO started this season off strong for O but has seen a lot of tightening.  Great in-state Dems will insure this stays O+.

North Carolina:Romney 46, Obama 48    Obama +2
*Second poll in 24 hours showing Obama up in this state which everyone seems to forget went blue their last chance to vote POTUS.   That last poll BTW showed a lead for our favorite incumbant of +4.   Add a 2pt slice to this PS poll and you get:  +4 !   Sounds about right.

Mitt is running out of money.   Donors are backing out of committments and he's going dark in competitive states.   He is physically and mentally shot (ask his wife, poor thing).   Obama is looking at a big win and that will mean a big wave.   The Senate is safe and the Hizzie is in range.  

BOO-YAAAHHHHH !!!!

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site