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from Matt Miller of the Center for American Progress in this Washington Post op ed>:

Take all of the undecided voters that matter, 4% each in the six states that Paul Begala say are still in conflict, VA, FL, IA, NM & Co (Begala says it is 916,643 people..

Miller says to simplify the arithmetic  assume it is an even million voters.  

Pay them each $100 for <2 hours of their time.

The Obama campaign should pay (yes, pay) undecided voters to watch two videos in full — the Romney 47 percent debacle in Boca Raton; and Bill Clinton’s speech at the Democratic National Convention.
As Miller puts it,
Here’s my thinking. For starters, does anyone doubt that if an undecided (and thus presumably open-minded) voter watched these two videos, he or she would break the president’s way? I’m surely a biased viewer, but it seems to me that even people who don’t follow politics closely would be put off by Romney’s condescension and persuaded by Clinton’s case.
I happen to agree that anyone thinking who looked at those two videos would be swayed, and not in Romney's favor.

Of course I also note the following.

1  NM is not a swing state at this point.

2.  The other 5 states have a total of 75 electoral votes.  If Obama wins them all he has 332 electoral votes (losing IN, NC and 2nd CD of Nebraska from the 358 EVs held by the jurisdictions he won in '08).  Give them all to Romney and he loses, winning only 257 EVs.   Obama does not need them all, just any one of VA, OH or FL get him to or above 270.

Regardless of what you think of the idea, the difference between the two conventions started to define the election clearly, with Clinton's speech perhaps the key at the DNC.  The events since then have been Romney's disastrous response to Libya and the video from Boca Raton.

But it does not even take $100 million.  Each of us can urge those undecided to use the links and take a look at the two videos.

It is a modest proposal.

And Miller is right, even were the Obama campaign to spend money in such a fashion

Sometimes determining the outcome of an election is just the media’s civic duty. Think of Operation Video as this year’s October Surprise.  And the beauty part is that there’s nothing remotely dirty or sneaky about it.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (11+ / 0-)

    "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

    by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 03:48:38 AM PDT

  •  Sounds like a great stimulas idea to me. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    DocChap, teacherken

    If I was out of work and heard that offer I'd say I was independant just to get the bucks.

    Sways voters AND stimulas too.

    Only problem I can see is Adelson would probably offer two hundred to the same group to watch a few rMormoney lie, repeat lie, repeat videos.

    Conservatives supported slavery, opposed women’s suffrage, supported Jim Crow, opposed the 40-hour work week, the abolishment of child labor, and supported McCarthyism. from 'It's The Conservatism, Stupid' by Paul Waldman July 12, 2006

    by arealniceguy on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 04:01:23 AM PDT

  •  A fine idea, but. . . (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    teacherken

    . . . for a lot less money, you could update this video:

    http://www.youtube.com/...

    and pay the undecideds each $10 for about 10 minutes of their time.  Same probable outcome.

  •  If New Mexicois already (0+ / 0-)

    in the Obama column, and he's being ceded Wisconsin and Ohio, then he's already won.

    BTW, I think you meant the 2nd CD of Nebraska, which is supposedly too close to call right now.

    •  yeah 2nd C of NE I will fix thanks (0+ / 0-)

      "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

      by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 04:36:05 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  No no no no, delete this diary! Illegal as hell! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        SpamNunn

        Ken, it's rare that I don't fully agree with & endorse what you have to say, but I don't think you thought this one through.

        Basically it could be interpreted as paying voters for their votes, and that is illegal as hell.  

        The chances that Obama would actually do something like this are zero because he knows the law and he's inherently cautious about tactics.

        But none the less, the case can be made that even putting this idea out there gives our enemies ammo:  "See, they're so desperate they're talking about buying votes!"   (And I know you know that I'm not above suggesting "controversial" tactics from time to time, including gray ops and other nonviolent civil disobedience.  But no way I'd recommend paying voters.)

        The closest you want to get to offering something to people for coming to see these films, is a slice of pizza and a soft drink.  Even that might be borderline, but it would probably fly.  

        "Minus two votes for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

        by G2geek on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 06:15:48 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  sorry, but no it could not (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          HeyMikey

          and I am quoting from an op ed piece in a major newspaper so there is absolutely no reason to delete the diary

          and please note what I said - you could just send the links

          "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

          by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 07:12:19 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  two mistakes don't equal a right answer. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            SpamNunn

            Just because someone put it in an op-ed column doesn't mean they checked it with lawyers or with campaign analysts for that matter.

            And seeing as it appeared in the Wa Po, it would not surprise me to see right wing loons howling that Obama supporters are so desperate that they're willing to buy votes.  

            Really: you know how many wild tactics I routinely advocate in these pages.  This one utterly fails on all counts.  Sorry to be harsh but I'd bet you the downpayment on a house that any half-dozen campaign lawyers you polled would say the same thing.

            "Minus two votes for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

            by G2geek on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 07:30:28 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  Of course not (0+ / 0-)

          Paying voters for their time, a month before an election, cannot possibly be construed as paying for their votes.

          Mitt Romney is free to hire me for $100 per hour, for any number of hours. During that time, he can give it his all to show me what a rat Obama his, and how the R/R plan will be the salvation of the U.S.A. He won't be buying my vote, I assure you.

          -5.38, -2.97
          It's too big a world to be in competition with everyone. The only person who I have to be better than is myself. - Sherman T. Potter

          by ChuckInReno on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 09:17:12 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  A sound principle (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    misslegalbeagle, ChuckInReno

    but the optics make me a little uncomfortable.
    YMMV, of course.

    "That the people have a right to bear arms for the defence of themselves and the State ..."- Vermont Constitution Chapter 1, Article 16

    by kestrel9000 on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 04:20:31 AM PDT

  •  I'm not sure that remaining 4% is smart enough (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    shypuffadder, HeyMikey

    to tell who will look after their interests. If they were smart they wouldn't still be undecided at this point. The choice is clear - go back to what screwed everything up or keep moving foward with what is working, slower than we'd like, but is working.

    This isn't a new choice. It's the same choice we've had for decades and will continue to happen as long as it comes down to a choice between the GOP and Dems.

    Ds see human suffering and wonder what they can do to relieve it. Rs see human suffering and wonder how they can profit from it.

    by JTinDC on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 04:27:39 AM PDT

  •  I think the undecideds are seeing things for free. (0+ / 0-)

    The GOP had a lousy convention.

    The Dems had a great one.

    Two weeks ago, Mitt Romney tried to make political hay over the death of a U.S. ambassador.

    He then followed that up with last week's exposure of the "47%" video.

    Over the course of these events, President Obama's numbers have strengthened.

    Why pay people to see what they're obviously seeing for free every week?

    Okay, Mitt, it's a new week. I eagerly await your next blunder.

    How about I believe in the unlucky ones?

    by BenderRodriguez on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 05:26:25 AM PDT

  •  Isn't buying votes illegal? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    G2geek

    He only employs his passion who can make no use of his reason. - Cicero

    by SpamNunn on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 05:36:01 AM PDT

    •  not buying votes - get real (0+ / 0-)

      you would not be paying them to vote, but paying them to watch video -  that is perfectly legal

      "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

      by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 05:47:24 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  it's close enough that it could be used by... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        SpamNunn

        ... our enemies, and anything they can use, they will use.  

        See also my other comment.  I agree with most of what you have to say, but IMHO this idea is a lead balloon in the worst way, and I also think this diary should be deleted.  

        Really: this comes darn close to something that's a felony.  That even exceeds the guidelines for Gray Ops: doing things that "look like" felonies, even if they're not actually felonies, is a major no-no.  

        Offer people a slice of pizza and a soft drink.  Offer them cookies and milk.  But no way offer them actual money.  Eee-yow!

        "Minus two votes for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

        by G2geek on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 06:18:49 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  again, I am quoting from Wash Post op ed (0+ / 0-)

          so this diary is not newly introducing something

          and besides, I offered the idea that one merely needs to get friends to click on the links

          "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

          by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 07:13:27 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  and the guy in WaPo was wrong too. (0+ / 0-)

            In fact since he's in a major newspaper which implies endorsement from the editor in chief and the publisher, he should have been obligated to check it with lawyers first.

            See also my other reply to your reply above.  

            "Minus two votes for the Democrat" equals "plus one vote for the Republican." Arithmetic doesn't care about your feelings.

            by G2geek on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 07:31:55 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

      •  I am very real. (0+ / 0-)

        Don't try this in Florida:

        104.061 Corruptly influencing voting.--

        (2) No person shall directly or indirectly give or promise anything of value to another intending thereby to buy that person's or another's vote or to corruptly influence that person or another in casting his or her vote. Any person who violates this subsection is guilty of a felony of the third degree, punishable as provided in s. 775.082, s. 775.083, or s. 775.084. However, this subsection shall not apply to the serving of food to be consumed at a political rally or meeting or to any item of nominal value which is used as a political advertisement, including a campaign message designed to be worn by a person.

        He only employs his passion who can make no use of his reason. - Cicero

        by SpamNunn on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 08:25:33 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  it is no different than something Romney did (0+ / 0-)

      already here in Iowa (I am in Ames right now) a while back - he offered swag to college students to get them to attend a rally

      "We didn't set out to save the world; we set out to wonder how other people are doing and to reflect on how our actions affect other people's hearts." - Pema Chodron

      by teacherken on Mon Sep 24, 2012 at 05:48:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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