I'll be honest, I wasn't in the mood to do this today and not many people are paying attention, so I was going to skip it. Then, I figured it might be a good palate cleanser for those who are paying attention.
The first order of business is a correction. The stats I report in these diaries come from Dr. Michael McDonald at George Mason University. He has done an amazing job aggregating and processing the data from across the country. His data has been mainly solid, but yesterday there was an error. He over-reported voting from Franklin County, Ohio. He corrected it last night, so that data should be accurate today.
The adjusted stats from Ohio still look very strong. So far, 16,185 voters have cast ballots, either in person or through absentee ballots, with 49 counties reporting.
Here is what it looked like in Franklin County on Tuesday morning:
Young people actually camped out to vote. This would seem to blow away the idea that Democratic voters and young people are not enthusiastic about voting this year.
Updated stats for NC and IA after the jump.
Estimates are made using the early voting statistics gathered by Dr. Michael McDonald at George Mason University and combining it with most recent polling in the state.
Total number of early ballots received: 143,260.
CALIFORNIA reports 512 ballots cast as of Tuesday evening (only 11 counties reporting, excludes LA and other large counties)
IOWA reports 94,135 ballots cast as of Thursday morning.
MAINE reports 48 returned ballots as of Monday morning.
NORTH CAROLINA reports 22,301 returned ballots as of Thursday morning (with 2 non-reporting counties).
OHIO 49 counties report 16,185 returned ballots as of Wednesday evening.
SOUTH CAROLINA reports 1,753 returned ballots as of Thursday afternoon.
SOUTH DAKOTA reports 8,326 returned ballots as of Thursday morning.
---
North Carolina
Still using the ARG poll. Absentee ballots from NC are still coming primarily from older Republican voters. There are still 2 counties in NC not reporting.
Breakdown of Early Voting Ballots to Date
GOP |
DEM |
IND/OTH |
52.8% |
28.6% |
18.6% |
Candidate |
Estimated votes |
Estimated % |
Obama |
7,640 |
34.3% |
Romney |
13,737 |
61.6% |
Iowa
As of this morning, Iowans have returned 94,135 ballots. This is ~25,000 more since yesterday. This is the roughly the same increase seen between Monday and Tuesday. So, at this point, at least, 25,000 Iowans are voting a day, or 25,000 ballots are being counted a day. So far, these ballots have been heavily Democratic. Still using the WeAskAmerica poll.
Breakdown of Early Voting Ballots to Date
GOP |
DEM |
IND/OTH |
18.7% |
63.4% |
17.8% |
Candidate |
Estimated votes |
Estimated % |
Obama |
63,336 |
67.3% |
Romney |
24,720 |
26.3% |
Comparing total votes for NC and IA, the popular vote has Obama up 61-33. This isn't really indicative of anything, but it is still fun to look at.
For more information on methodology, please see my original diary here. The raw math is here.