Brown's relentless campaign of attacks seems to be failing. Warren leads again in the last two polls of the race.
The first, from Western New England University Polling Institute, gives Warren a 50 percent to 45 percent advantage, with a "yawning gender gap."
Democrats favor Warren, 85 percent to 11 percent, while Brown wins near-unanimous backing among Republicans, 98 percent. Nearly half of likely voters, 46 percent, identify as independents, and they support Brown by a wide margin, 62 percent to 35 percent.The second comes from the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which commissioned Harstad Strategic Research to poll the race last week. It finds the momentum on Warren's side.
Male voters support Brown, 56 percent to 38 percent. But Warren holds an even more commanding advantage among female voters, 61 percent to 35 percent.
Elizabeth Warren has opened up a significant lead in the Massachusetts Senate race, according to our recent survey. Fully 50% of voters support Elizabeth Warren versus 44% for incumbent Scott Brown – the first time either candidate has reached the 50% threshold in our polling this year.
That's a reversal from early August, when Harstad found Brown leading 47-44. The polling memo also notes two good signs of momentum for Warren: She's got a higher vote ceiling than Brown, with six percent of undecideds saying that there is "a fair chance" they'll vote for her on election day, as opposed to four percent for Brown; and 47 percent of voters say they are more likely to vote for Warren because of they have seen or heard in the past few weeks, versus 48 percent who say they are less likely to vote for Brown based on their impressions from the last few weeks. That suggests that his negative campaign is backfiring on him.
But since attack is the only card Brown has to play at this point, don't expect him to relent.