or more electoral votes.
The states are in alphabetical order in 3 different groups. The first group of states all have an over 90% chance of an Obama win according to Nate today at fivethirtyeight.com and they add up to 237 Electoral Votes. The second group are probably Obama wins according to Nate today and they add up to 290. The third group is Florida and Virginia which are still in play, and winning them would bring us up to 331 electoral votes. I'm dreaming of a landslide mandate.
These States have an over 90% chance of going Obama.
California – 55 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (55).
Connecticut - 7 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (62)
Delaware - 3 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (65)
District of Columbia – 3 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (68)
Hawaii – 4 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (72)
Illinois – 20 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (92)
Maine – 4 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (96)
Maryland – 10 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (106)
Massachusetts – 11 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (117)
Michigan – 16 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (133)
Minnesota – 10 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (143)
New Jersey – 14 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (157)
New Mexico – 5 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (162)
New York – 29 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (191)
Oregon - 7 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (198)
Pennsylvania – 20 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (218)
Rhode Island – 4 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (222)
Vermont – 3 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (225)
Washington – 12 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (237)
These 237 electoral votes are in the bag for Obama. All of them have an over 95% of winning according to Nate (except Pennsylvania that has a 91.1 chance as of today).
Group 2 wins would bring us to 290!!!
Colorado – 9 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (246) – 50.8 % of winning according to Nate as of today.
Iowa – 6 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (252) 62.7% of winning according to Nate as of today.
Nevada – 6 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (258) 67.3 % of winning according to Nate as of today.
New Hampshire – 4 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (262) 68.8% of winning according to Nate as of today.
Ohio – 18 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (280) 68.9% of winning according to Nate as of today.
Wisconsin – 10 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (290) 74.9 % of winning according to Nate as of today.
These all look very good for Obama. All of them have an over 62.7% of winning according to Nate (except Colorado that has a 50.8 chance as of today) and would bring us up to 290 electoral votes.
We can go to 331!!!!
Florida – 29 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (319) 34.1% of winning according to Nate as of today.
Virginia - 13 Electoral Votes EV – Subtotal = (331) 47.1% of winning according to Nate as of today.
Florida and Virginia are still in play and if you look at the early voting, the Hispanic vote and the debate in Florida next Monday, maybe we can bring these states around, especially if we can GOTV we would bring the total up to 331 electoral votes.