There were two changes today in the projection due to PPP's polls showing Romney ahead by 1 in both IA and NH. Both of them moved from Likely D -> Lean D. We still are ahead there due to the fact that good polls for us, in IA (by Marist) and NH (by UNH) cancel out PPP. The other 2 maps are unchanged.
Safe D: ME(R)^
Likely D: MO(D), OH(D), PA(D), FL(D)
Lean D: AZ(R)^ CT(D), MA(R)^, VA(D), WI(D)
Toss Up: IN(R), MT(D), ND(D)
Lean R: NV(R)
Safe R: NE(D)^
Senate without Toss Ups, Angus King as Dem: 53-44-3.
Senate assuming candidate with tiny leads wins: 55-45. (GOP picks up NE and MT, Dems pick up ME, MA, AZ, IN).