Will someone enlighten me, please? The mainstream narrative has it that the momentum is with Romney. Front-page article in today's NYT, for instance. Yet Nate Silver has Obama's odds of winning at over 70%, up 4% in the last week.
In Nate I trust, yet when I listen to Todd and read the NYT and so on and so forth, I start assuming they know something Nate doesn't know.
But then there's the Cook Political Report: when you look at the internals, Obama's looking pretty solid and the situation seems stable overall.
What's with this dissonance? Will someone please explain?