Nate Silver is too many, thanks to his accuracy, his transparency and, IMO his willingness not to let his personal biases influence what the cold hard numbers tells him is happening is the latest threat to the right wing bloggerati (The Telegraph).
And at the moment, Silver’s facts are being fired like bullets into the heart of the Romney campaign.
First of all, I love this article because it calls Nate Silver a "psephologist" which I had never heard of in my life. SO I looked i up and as I could guess form the context it is one who studies political elections. Hooray! New Word for Gangster Octtpus!
Anyway, Nate posted this yesterday, In Polls, Romney’s Momentum Seems to Have Stopped...
And it is that reputation for accuracy that is so damaging to the Romney campaign’s attempt to sustain their precious “momentum” narrative. People listen to Silver. And over the past 48 hours, the narrative is starting to shift. “Mitt-mentum? Not so fast” – US News & World report. “Romney’s Momentum Seems To Have Stopped” – Political Wire. “The momentum myth” – Washington Post.Of course, Nate being all intellectual and stuff is probably a big turnoff to the right wing. But the article goes on with some likely very prescient foresight:
In fact, Silver is proving so damaging to their chances that Republican’s are drawing up a strategy for countering him. “Nate Silver continues to lead the Democrat Graveyard whistling choir”, Republican blogger Robert Stacy McCain wrote on Tuesday. National Review decried “Nate Silver’s Flawed Model”. “Everyone but Nate Silver thinks Obama’s lead is evaporating fast”, said Business Insider.
But the truth is we don’t. And the Romney camp knows it.
Here’s a prediction. As the election clock continues to tick down, and the momentum narrative continues to melt away, the attacks on Silver will intensify. We should expect a Fox News feature. More negative blogs. Maybe even a smear or two.It has already started, but it will pick up...until election day, when Nate is likely shown to know what he is doing because...science.
But the number’s don’t lie. At the start of this week, Barack Obama’s chances of winning Ohio were 70 per cent. Today they’re at 75. Wisconsin has moved up to 86 per cent, Nevada 78, Iowa 68, New Hampshire 69, Colorado 57, Virginia 54. Overall, his chance of wining is now put at 73 per cent, his highest for 18 days. That's not momentum; that's Omentum.The right wing is very worried, but they can try and discredit "poblano" all they want, the numbers don't lie.