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the Now-cast is now up to 78.6%

You can see the details at his blog

here are the probabilities by states

WI  86% for Obama
NV  79
OH 76
IA  72
NH 70
CO  57
VA  54
FL  37
NC  18
At 76% or above, Obama has 271 EVs
at 70% or above, Obama has 281 EVs
at 54% or above, Obama has 303 EVs

the trend towards Obama continues, even with polls from the likes of Rasmussen included at the state level

NOTE -  Purple Strategies oversampling in OH, CO, and VA ARE included in the analysis

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