It wasn't a very prolific polling day, but from what we saw, it was pretty much the status quo.
The national tracking polls remained stubborn and poor-to-mediocre today. Rasmussen showed Romney gaining a point and leading 50-46. Gallup stayed at 51-46 among likely voters and a 48-48 tie among registered voters. They also, ridiculously, showed Obama losing a net 6 points in approval in one day of tracking, which shows how volatile their entire operation is. Obama stayed constant at a 2 point lead in the IBD/TIPP poll, and gained a point to take a two point lead in the Ipsos-Reuters tracker. It looks like ABC/WaPo did not publish their tracking numbers today. PPP's tracking poll moved from a tie to a one point Romney lead late tonight. Overall, perhaps a slight move towards Romney today among the trackers, but nothing significant.
State polls offered some bright and not so bright spots for each candidate today. The Washington Post showed Obama with a 4 point lead in Virginia, 51-47. The RCP average of Virginia is now tied, which is great news for the President, considering that a win in Virginia is probably just a bonus for him at this point.
The best state poll for Romney just came in late tonight from the Ohio Newspaper Consortium, which showed the Buckeye State tied at 49-49. According to polling and weather guru Harry Enten, this poll has a very good track record. This will decrease Obama's lead in the state in the averages, though he still is ahead. If I had to guess, I would bet Obama's lead is somewhere between this tie and the 4 point margin CNN showed yesterday.
It's gonna be a barnburner of a last week. Trying to stay cautiously optimistic, and keeping an eye on those Nate Silver projections.