When Nate Silver tells Politico...
"Romney, clearly, could still win."...he's saying that in the exact same context as this last weekend's football game between the New England Patriots and the St. Louis Rams.
Before Sunday's game New England came in as a 7 point favorite and about a 3 to 1 straight odds to win the game.
Coincidentally, that's pretty much where things stand with Obama and Romney.
So, before the game... COULD St. Louis have won?
OF COURSE, it's a football game, with two professional teams.
Anything COULD happen.
Hell, election day 2008... even John McCain COULD have won.
Now, back to yesterday.
What happened in the New England/St. Louis game where New England was a 3 to 1 favorite?
Final score... New England 45, St. Louis 7.
See, in the end, you can only put your money on one team, and those who bet on New England made money.
And those who put their on New England are much happier then those who chose to put cash -- straight up -- on St. Louis.
And those who put their money on St. Louis... thinking it was a 50-50 bet... well, would be what I currently call Republicans.
What Nate Silver is saying is the same as what the Princeton Election Consortium is saying... same as what every poll aggregator is saying... same as what Intrade Markets are saying... same as what any honest, informed, and the willfully educated person is saying:
The odds are WITH the President and a Romney victory will be a massive upset.
And those who cannot understand that... should shut their fucking faces.