(Bumped - Barbara Morrill)
Obama 49 (48)
Romney 49 (48)
Of those who watched the last presidential debate, Obama won 49-39 (44-36 among independents), which gives Team Blue an objective 3-1 in the debates. Too bad the first one was so outsized in influence.
Of particular importance given the difficulty in getting base Democrats to the polls, Obama is winning 59-41 among those who have already voted (14 percent of sample), 54-42 among those who plan to vote early (18%), and 53-44 among those who plan to vote absentee (7%). Romney is winning those who expect to vote on Election Day 53-44 (62%).
It's almost as if there are two elections—the one before Election Day, and the one during.