At the risk of saying something extremely cynical, this has been a good few days for Obama's already strong-ish reelection chances. And every poll I've read from the swing states indicates that Obama's leading in early voting there. So what's up with this?
Currently, Romney holds a seven-point edge among early voters (50% to 43%); because of the small sample, this lead is not statistically significantand...
because of the small sample, this lead is not statistically significant. At this point four years ago, Obama led John McCain by 19 points (53% to 34%) among early voters.
Can someone explain this one to me? I thought early voting usually favors Democrats, or does this include the usually GOP-leaning absentee ballots? Like, someone point me to a Nate Silver tweet or something.
Also, yeah, not a diary. I know.