Skip to main content

How does Obama get to the 270 votes he needs in the Electoral College?

The following states all have an over 95.5% chance of an Obama win, according to Nate Silver tonight at 538 and they add up to 237 electoral votes.

California – 55 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (55).
Connecticut - 7 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (62)
Delaware - 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (65)
District of Columbia – 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (68)
Hawaii – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (72)
Illinois – 20 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (92)
Maine – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (96)
Maryland – 10  Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (106)
Massachusetts – 11 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (117)
Michigan – 16 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (133)
Minnesota – 10  Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (143)
New Jersey – 14 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (157)
New Mexico – 5 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (162)
New York – 29 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (191)
Oregon - 7 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (198)
Pennsylvania – 20 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (218)
Rhode Island – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (222)
Vermont – 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (225)
Washington – 12 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (237)

Mitt Romney had a debate bump. Barack Obama is getting a Storm Surge. Frankenstrom is Romney's worst nightmare.

The following states are all probable Obama wins according to Nate tonight and adding them to the first group brings us up to 303.

Colorado – 9 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (246) – 62.6% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Iowa – 6 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (252) 78.4% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Nevada – 6 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (258) 85.2 % of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
New Hampshire – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (262) 75.2% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Ohio – 18 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (280) 79.9% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Virginia - 13 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (293) 61.3% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Wisconsin – 10 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (303) 88% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.

These states are all looking good for Obama. All of them have at least a 75.2% of winning, according to Nate tonight (except Colorado that has a 62.6% chance and Virginia that has a 61.3% chance, as of tonight) and would bring us up to 303 electoral votes. Even if we take away Colorado and Virginia we still have 281 electoral votes.

We will get to 332!!!!

When we add Florida to these states we can claim a strong mandate. Florida has a good chance of coming through.

Florida – 29 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (332) 41.2% of winning, according to Nate as of tonight and the numbers for Obama are on the rise there.

I feel more confident every day that Obama will win in Florida. Obama's poll results there have been improving daily. Several recent polls have him winning and others have him very close. If you look at the early voting, the strong Obama campaign organization there, the Hispanic vote, the final debate in Florida bounce and the Sandy Surge, we can bring Florida around, especially if we can GOTV there. Then we will bring the total up to 332 electoral votes.

Obama now has over 300.4 Electoral Votes, according to Nate Silver and a 79% chance of winning the election.

I predict 332 Electoral Votes. It's going to be a landslide mandate.

Poll

What will Barack Obama Electoral Vote total be?

0%1 votes
5%6 votes
37%40 votes
46%50 votes
10%11 votes

| 108 votes | Vote | Results

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  I dast not vote in the poll, (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    immigradvocate

    because anything can happen.  However, I DO believe that the public has caught on to the fake that the Republican candidate is and that the Democratic one has the ability, honesty, and judgment to be reelected.  My vote for him will be wasted since I reside in Kentucky, but that does not mean that I will not vote; Ben Chandler needs to be reelected and THAT is a viable race here.

    Besides, there are state legislators to choose.  It is important to vote, if even only for dogcatcher.

    Warmest regards,

    Doc

    I would rather die from the acute effects of a broken heart than from the chronic effects of an empty heart. Copyright, Dr. David W. Smith, 2011

    by Translator on Wed Oct 31, 2012 at 11:11:51 PM PDT

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site