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How does Obama get to the 270 votes he needs in the Electoral College?

The following states all have an over 95.5% chance of an Obama win, according to Nate Silver tonight at 538 and they add up to 237 electoral votes.

California – 55 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (55).
Connecticut - 7 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (62)
Delaware - 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (65)
District of Columbia – 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (68)
Hawaii – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (72)
Illinois – 20 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (92)
Maine – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (96)
Maryland – 10  Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (106)
Massachusetts – 11 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (117)
Michigan – 16 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (133)
Minnesota – 10  Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (143)
New Jersey – 14 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (157)
New Mexico – 5 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (162)
New York – 29 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (191)
Oregon - 7 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (198)
Pennsylvania – 20 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (218)
Rhode Island – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (222)
Vermont – 3 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (225)
Washington – 12 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (237)

Mitt Romney had a debate bump. Barack Obama is getting a Storm Surge. Frankenstrom is Romney's worst nightmare.

The following states are all probable Obama wins according to Nate tonight and adding them to the first group brings us up to 303.

Colorado – 9 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (246) – 62.6% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Iowa – 6 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (252) 78.4% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Nevada – 6 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =   (258) 85.2 % of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
New Hampshire – 4 Electoral Votes – Subtotal =  (262) 75.2% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Ohio – 18 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (280) 79.9% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Virginia - 13 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (293) 61.3% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.
Wisconsin – 10 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (303) 88% of winning according to Nate as of tonight.

These states are all looking good for Obama. All of them have at least a 75.2% of winning, according to Nate tonight (except Colorado that has a 62.6% chance and Virginia that has a 61.3% chance, as of tonight) and would bring us up to 303 electoral votes. Even if we take away Colorado and Virginia we still have 281 electoral votes.

We will get to 332!!!!

When we add Florida to these states we can claim a strong mandate. Florida has a good chance of coming through.

Florida – 29 Electoral Votes – Subtotal = (332) 41.2% of winning, according to Nate as of tonight and the numbers for Obama are on the rise there.

I feel more confident every day that Obama will win in Florida. Obama's poll results there have been improving daily. Several recent polls have him winning and others have him very close. If you look at the early voting, the strong Obama campaign organization there, the Hispanic vote, the final debate in Florida bounce and the Sandy Surge, we can bring Florida around, especially if we can GOTV there. Then we will bring the total up to 332 electoral votes.

Obama now has over 300.4 Electoral Votes, according to Nate Silver and a 79% chance of winning the election.

I predict 332 Electoral Votes. It's going to be a landslide mandate.


What will Barack Obama Electoral Vote total be?

0%1 votes
5%6 votes
37%40 votes
46%50 votes
10%11 votes

| 108 votes | Vote | Results

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