I know, we're all drowning in poll numbers. And we've learned that you can't always trust them.
But did you know there's a way to greatly increase their accuracy? According to a new research report, the trick is in asking people not "Who do you plan to vote for?", but "Who do you expect to win?".
In the cases studied in which these answers differed, the "expectation" answer beat the "intention" answer almost 80% of the time.
This seems like good news for Obama, since websites like Intrade show that most people expect him to win.