Like many here I am a junky of polls, Wang and Natey. I am sure my digitizing has been done better by others. But fallow the exploding chad below to see my calculation to sanity.
In Ohio if difference is less than one half of one percent either side can request recount.
If as many people voted as last time that would be a difference of >28,000 votes.
So if by the end of the count one is +30 or +40 K in the lead, that candidate will take Ohio.
Obama has consistently polled on avg. at about +2% on aggregate of polls. This should, if it holds, give him a margin of 110,00 - 120,000 votes. Which translates into a projection cushion of 70 - 90K, if estimates of early voting and long term polling hold.
This size lead is to wide for anyone to steal. And that is the money shot of my post.