I was so encouraged with the enormous early voting lines and the latest Public Policy Polling headlines on North Carolina and Florida that I'm going to call this race almost another electoral landslide for Obama with all the swing states going to Obama.
Here's why from Public Policy Polling:
Florida and North Carolina too close to call
PPP's final polls of the cycle in Florida and North Carolina suggest that they may be the closest states in the country this year. In Florida Obama leads 50/49, but to be more specific 473 respondents chose Obama and 472 picked Romney. It's a similar story in North Carolina- the candidates are tied at 49 there based on rounded numbers, but if you break it out to decimal points Romney's up 49.4% to 49.2% with 457 respondents having chosen him to 455 for Obama. Both states are likely in for a long night on Tuesday.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
Down below the squiggle for more:
Being part of the GOTV movement for Obama and phone calling for him into swing states and observing the OFA ground game, I think Romney is so far behind in GOTV that Obama will overwhelm him on election day in all the swing states. Obama's OFA staff and organization is probably the best ever in electoral politics and will be a textbook case of how to win campaigns. Hands down!
According to Mother Jones, Romney had no (Yes, zero) IT staff on their payroll as of Labor Day this year. Obama had dozens for six years. Romney can't possibly catch up in three months. Romney just throws money away on political consultants and lets them do the phone banking along with some local GOP support.
Between Joe Biden's incredible debate performance and President Obama's blowing Romney out of the water in debates two and three, Obama regained the momentum and never gave it back.
Plus President Obama and VP Joe Biden has the best message as we all know as Democrats, liberals, progressives and moderates.
While Colorado and New Hampshire were trending Romney lean a few weeks ago, they look like a good solid lean now for Obama.
Romney blew his chances in Ohio will the Jeep advertising fiasco and the polls have gone straight over the Obama from that time. In the rest of the Midwest, Iowa and Wisconsin are not in play any longer for Romney. I'm giving all the Midwest swing states to Solid Obama.
You can check the latest polling numbers easily on at:
http://www.pollheadlines.com
Plus you can check each state's latest polls by insert each swing state name after the "=" sign in the below URL or skip to the Swing State menu at the bottom of each web page. For instance, substitute Virginia instead of Florida in the below URL string:
http://www.pollheadlines.com/...
Here is my worksheet showing the electoral college breakdown with my state to state predictions. Sorry of the small font. I used the latest polls from each of the swing states plus I gave Florida and North Carolina to Obama based on the latest PPPolling even though it was very close due to Obama's better GOTV:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
Best case scenario with my revised predictions showing Obama winning 348 to 190 Romney electoral votes. (Revised at noon Central 11-5-12)
11:44 AM PT:
Electoral Map with my Electoral College predictions with Obama winning a near electoral landslide. Obama winning 247 to 191 for Romney.
Note: Could not adjust Nebraska split of congressional districts for the electoral college.