what I am seeing is a series of backlashes that helping the Democrats, from Obama to Senate and even some House candidates.
In no particular order these are
1. Attempts at voter suppression - this has energized our base. Some weaker voters are infuriated that the votes of anyone, particularly African-Americans and Hispanics, may be being targeted.
2. Xenophobia - whether it is Republicans blocking action on the Dream Act or Arizona and "show me your papers" this has energized Latinos - registration is up, participation is up, and the Republican share of the Latino vote is down.
3. Anti-unionism - starting with going after SOME public employees in Wisconsin and ALL public employees in Ohio, this has led to major pushback, which included the resounding defeat of Ohio's SB5 last year. Since OFA was involved in that effort, it enabled organization and identification of reachable voters
4. Lying - the lie too far was obviously the auto industry, specifically the lies starting with Jeep. Whatever chance Romney had in Ohio disappeared once that lie was exposed.
In a sense, Republican stupidity has been among our strongest weapons this cycle.